Articles

Patriots Schedule In Question?!

by Jazz Ray

Sunday, Feb 01, 2026

The New England Patriots are in the Super Bowl, again, but a good slice of the mediasphere would have them change their name – temporarily at least – to the New England Yeah-Buts.The problem is that the Patriots are where they are because of a schedule that was among the weakest in NFL history – courtesy of their 4-13 record in 2024 and league rules which pit the weakest against each other.There is no doubt that the Pats got fat playing a litany of bad teams in 2024 that never got better – Tennessee, Jets, Saints, Browns, and the like. One Boston writer referred to NE’s feather-soft schedule as the March of the Tomato Cans. Eleven of NE’s 20 games so far have been against teams that fired their coaches.All of the above, plus a hefty dose of skepticism surrounding out-of-nowhere QB Drake Maye, has made the Seahawks a solid 4.5-point favorite heading into Sunday. A recent 9-pundit panel on ESPN found absolutely zero takers on the Yeah-Buts Patriots to win straight up. Even against the spread, punters still like Seattle by a 3-2 margin, though much of the money has yet to be committed.Is there THAT much of a divide between the Patriots and the NFC-champion Seattle Seahawks? Will New England’s carriage turn into a pumpkin on the world stage this coming Sunday?No one knows, of course, but a look at how they fared against common opponents before bettors get in line to buy that ticket.Seattle and New England each played Pittsburgh, Carolina, New Orleans, Tampa Bay, and Houston this season.***The Seahawks defeated the Steelers by two touchdowns, while the Patriots lost to Pittsburgh by a touchdown when they fumbled the ball at the goal line late in the game. Advantage Seattle.*** The Seahawks crushed New Orleans in a game that was never a game, while the Pats had one of their worst games in earning a six-point win. Advantage Seattle, there, too.***Against Tampa Bay, Seattle’s defense had a rare letdown and the Seahawks took one on the chin, 38-35. New England, meanwhile, went into Tampa and defeated the Buccaneers (who were playing well at the time). Advantage, New England.***New England’s Week 4 four-touchdown whooping over Carolina came when the Panthers were actually playing decent football. By the time Carolina took a routine L to the Seahawks in Week 17, they were pretty much cooked. Advantage, New England.***Atlanta came within a point of beating New England in early November, and the Seahawks were rolling and dominating defensively when they stuck it to the Falcons five weeks later. Advantage, Seattle.***Houston had not yet embarked on its season-ending 9-game winning streak when it lost a Week 7 Monday Nighter by one score in Seattle, 27-19. A few months later, the Patriots took apart Houston in the playoffs by a similar (28-16) score.No advantage.The Patriots have a slew of new players this season. Twelve of the 22 starters weren’t around last year when the franchise was still trying exorcise the ghosts of Bill Belichick and Tom Brady. Many of them were not even born or were in diapers in 2002 when New England's first iteration of Yeah-Buts stunned everyone on both ends of Rt. 90 and defeated the thought-to-be unbeatable Rams in the Super Bowl that started the dynasty.Can it happen again? Sure. Will it? Who knows?This much, though, is certain. New England has not lost a game outside of Gillette Stadium this year, and they head into the Super Bowl with a possible MVP at quarterback and the odds-on favorite to win the Coach of the Year Award. Not bad places to start.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 02/01/2026

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Feb 01, 2026

The Sunday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. The National Basketball Association has 10 games on its docket. The Boston Celtics host the Milwaukee Bucks on ESPN at 3:40 p.m. ET as a 13.5-point favorite with the total set at 216.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Four more NBA games tip off at 6:10 p.m. ET. The Miami Heat host the Chicago Bulls as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 235.5. The Toronto Raptors play at home against the Utah Jazz as an 11.5-point favorite with a total of 233.5. The Detroit Pistons are home against the Brooklyn Nets as a 12.5-point favorite with an over/under of 215.5. The Sacramento Kings travel to Washington to play the Wizards as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 228.5.  Two NBA games start at 7:10 p.m. ET. The San Antonio Spurs host the Orlando Magic as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 225.5. The New York Knicks play at home against the Los Angeles Lakers in the first game of the Sunday Night Basketball doubleheader on NBC as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 229.5. The Los Angeles Clippers play in Phoenix against the Suns at 8:10 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 214.5. The Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road in Portland to face the Trail Blazers at 9:10 p.m. ET as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 230.5. The Oklahoma City Thunder visit Denver to face the Nuggets in the nightcap on NBC at 9:40 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 227.5. The National Hockey League has three games on its slate. The Carolina Hurricanes host the Los Angeles Kings at 3:07 p.m. ET as a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning are the technical home team against the Boston Bruins in the Stadium Series at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa Bay on ESPN at 6:37 p.m. ET. The Lightning are a -225 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Vegas Golden Knights play in Anaheim against the Ducks at 9:37 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule tips off at noon ET with 25 games involving Division I opponents. Seven of these NCAAB games are on major national television, with two tipping off at noon ET. Three NCAAB games on major national television tip off at 1:00 p.m. ET. Purdue is on the road against Maryland on CBS as a 13.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 149.5. Florida plays at home against Alabama on ABC as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 175.5. Furman is home against Chattanooga on ESPN2 as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 144.5.Iowa State travels to Kansas State on Fox at 2:00 p.m. ET as an 11.5-point road favorite with a total of 155.5. Memphis hosts Tulane on ESPN2 at 3:00 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 147.5. Nebraska plays at home against Illinois on FS1 at 4:00 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 133.5. Matchweek 24 in the English Premier League continues with four matches. Three EPL matches begin at 9:00 a.m. ET. Aston Villa is at home against Brentford on the USA Network as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Manchester United hosts Fulham as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Nottingham Forest plays at home against Crystal Palace as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Manchester City visits Tottenham at 11:30 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5.  

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Harry's Top 5 Receiving SUPER BOWL Props

by Harry Gagnon

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026

My first installment of Super Bowl 60 Props on BigAl.com was all about the running game and now for number two I'm covering my Top 5 receiving props for Sunday in Santa Clara. #1 Seahawks Tight End AJ Barner OVER 2.5 Receptions -155Barner is the perfect receiver to go short and underneath for extremely safe passes early in the game. It is smart to go safe to squash those early butterflies Sam Darnold might just have. Barner had 10 receptions in a regular season game against the LA Rams anf has had at least 3 receptions in 5 of his last 8 games overall.#2 Patriots Wide Receiver Damario Douglas UNDER 10.5 Receiving Yards -110Douglas isn't at the top of Drake Maye's list of favorite receivers on New England. Douglas is averaging only 1 reception a game in the playoffs and he had 0 in the terrible weather in Denver.#3 Patriots Wide Receiver Stefon Diggs OVER 43.5 Receiving Yards -115Diggs is the star receiver on the Patriots and he's going to be looked at plenty by Drake Maye. Over Diggs last 3 regular season games he had 282 yards and in Diggs career he has had over 43 yards 9 times in playoff games.#4 & #5 Seahawks Wide Receiver Rashid Shaheed+360 Anytime TD and 17/1 First Touchdown ScorerSince being traded from the New Orleans Saints in the middle of the season Shaheed has been a valuable asset to the offense and their special teams. Shaheed is a speedster that could strike in different ways. He got "big play" potential and has a 51 yard grab in the playoffs against the Rams and he started dismantling of the Niners in the divisional round game with a 95 yard kickoff TD at the beginning of the game. Well there you have my Top 5 Receiving props in the Super Bowl and stay turned for more props as we get closer to the Big Game !!!!!!

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Anatomy of Backing Miami (FL) in the National Championship Game

by Hollywood Sports

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026

I suffered a lackluster month in football, but I did find a moment of clarity in backing the Miami (FL) Hurricanes as an underdog in their national championship game clash with the Indiana Hoosiers.I considered Indiana to be a really good team — but my instincts did not like this situation for them at all. The situation reminded me of the 2003 Fiesta Bowl when Ohio State upset an undefeated Miami (FL) team that was the reigning national champions, which was loaded with future NFL players as an 11.5-point underdog. This Hoosiers team was not as talented as that historic Hurricanes team — but the circumstances were similar, with this game risking seeming to be a fait accompli after their blowout victories against Alabama and Oregon in their two playoff games. I didn’t love that this was just their third game since December 6th. In hindsight, I’m not sure either victory will age well. The Crimson Tide could not run the ball — and that left their offense exposed against well-coached top-level defenses. And then it only took five minutes into their game with the Ducks that I was cursing myself for backing a Dan Lanning-coached team in a big game. Oregon quarterback Dante Moore made costly mistakes early and often in that game, which immediately impacted the game script. The Ducks’ defensive line was not as stout as previous incarnations under Lanning. Those two victories helped inflate the line and probably push it past the touchdown key number. The Hoosiers scored no more than 27 points four times this season. Four of their victories were decided by 10 points or less — including two wins against Ohio State and Penn State by just a field goal and one win (against Iowa!) by only five points. The common thread in those four games is that Indiana failed to rush for more than 118 yards in those contests — and they did not generate more than 3.5 Yards-Per-Carry in those four games. Now they faced a Miami (FL) run defense that ranks sixth in the nation by holding their opponents to just 3.0 Yards-Per-Carry. Head coach Curt Cignetti’s teams at James Madison and now Indiana had been point spread covering machines — his teams had a 33-19 ATS mark in his head coaching career, including an 18-10 ATS record with the Hoosiers. But the cracks in the armor, where his teams do not consistently overachieve, were against teams with tough run defenses. In his career, his teams had failed to cover the point spread in 6 of their 10 games against teams that hold their opponents to no more than 3.5 YPC, including a 3-3 ATS mark with Indiana. In his six games with the Hoosiers, when the Total is set in the 42.5-49 point range, they were just 3-3 ATS. God help us, I was backing Hurricanes head coach Mario Cristobal with his sketchy game management — and the penalties his team was destined to commit would be infuriating. But I did have confidence that Cristobal would not engage in the fast pace as his team did against Ole Miss, but instead manage the game to get into the fourth quarter. Get Indiana worried that their perfect season is slipping away! Inspire confidence in his players, who should have their beliefs enabled by the NFL Hall of Fame alumni patrolling the sidelines next to them. Miami’s strength is their physicality on both sides of the line of scrimmage — something that Alabama and Oregon lacked. For the sake of argument, I conceded that the Hoosiers are the better-coached team (but it may not be by as wide a margin as one may assume). But there was a solid case that the Hurricanes have more top-end talent with three projected first-round NFL draft picks. Defensive end Rueben Bain Jr. may be the best player on the field. These are the type of games that Cristobal gets Miami to overachieve. The Hurricanes had covered the point spread in 7 straight games against teams ranked in the top 25 in the Associated Press poll. Indiana generated 6.25 Yards-Per-Play and 9.6 Yards-Per-Attempt in the passing game — but Miami (FL) had covered the point spread in 6 straight games against teams who average 6.25 or more YPP, and they have covered the point spread in 7 straight games against teams who average 8.3 or more YPA. And while the Hoosiers score 42.6 Points-Per-Game, the Hurricanes under Cristobal had covered the point spread in 5 straight games against teams that score 37 or more PPG. Playing on their home field certainly would help — while I was not expecting an overly partisan crowd given the huge Indiana alumni base, the Miami players will have the advantage of familiarity and comfort playing on their home field (and perhaps embrace a sense of destiny as they stand next to Michael Irvin). Lastly, I thought it would be a mistake to quickly dismiss the Hurricanes as simply an also-ran ACC team. They lost two one-possession games against Louisville and SMU — but their resume featuring victories against Ohio State, Mississippi (who beat Georgia), Texas A&M, and even Notre Dame to begin the season stacked up favorably to Indiana’s best wins. ACC teams may have entered this postseason with only nine victories in their last 39 games against teams from the Big Ten or SEC, with an 11-28 ATS mark in those contests, but the ACC had won and covered the point spread in 5 of their 6 games against the Big Ten and SEC this postseason. I thought one of the lessons of this Indiana team is that success in this new era of the transfer portal and NIL means that national champions require a roster full of blue-chip players. But the flip side of that coin is that programs that recruit well — especially on the line of scrimmage — have closed the gap because the best teams are just not quite as elite as they once were. And I did not even yet mention Carson Beck, who had a 36-6 record as a starting quarterback and will have a chip on his shoulder as the once projected first-round NFL draft pick. I expected a close game — and that’s what we got. While Indiana controlled the first half and went into halftime with a 10-0 lead, the Hurricanes did stick around to make the final result in doubt in the fourth quarter. The Hoosiers pulled out a 27-21 victory, but Miami outgained them by +25 net yards while only giving up 317 total yards. In the end, it might have been Indiana’s blocked punt late in the third quarter, which they recovered in the Hurricanes’ end zone, that made the difference in the game. Miami did cover the point spread, and we won our 25* College Football Game of the Year. Thank God. Best of luck — Frank.

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Notre Dame Gets Angry About Other Gangsters Skimming Their Skim

by Hollywood Sports

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026

While the competition is extremely stiff, Notre Dame Football remains the grand master champion for the most entitled fan base in the history of athletic competition on planet Earth. After their disappointing two-loss season, here is what their athletic director, Pete Bevacqua said, out loud, in a stunning but still predictable failure of self awareness: "There is no explanation that could possibly be given to explain the outcome … As I said to Marcus (Freeman), one thing is for sure: Any rankings or show prior to this last one is an absolute joke and a waste of time. Why put these young student-athletes through these false emotions just to pull the rug out from underneath them, having not played a game in two weeks, and then a group of people in a room shatter their dreams without explanation? We feel like the playoff was stolen from our student-athletes … Any rankings or show prior to this last one is an absolute joke and a waste of time."Wait, you mean to tell me, Mr. Notre Dame Athletic Director, the TeeVee show on our rival network was fake? What’s next? There’s gambling in Casablanca? Professional wrestling is scripted? It was not the Tooth Fairy who left a quarter under my pillow?An easy tell is that when an athletic director (or anyone else) uses the term “student-athlete”,  some artistry de la bullshit is about to be unleashed. And there is some high-level tightrope walking in this case. Whose fault is it, exactly, that the student-athletes on the Notre Dame football team have not played a game in the last two weeks? Why is it that we see the Fighting Irish compete in the ACC tournament in college basketball, but they never appear in the ACC standings when it comes to college football?It is because Notre Dame continues to make the decision that their interests are better served by operating as an independent in college football and not officially affiliated with an FBS conference. The ACC would take them in a heartbeat. The Big Ten would be happy to share in the Fighting Irish’s football revenue e. But the Notre Dame interests, not of their now victimized student-athletes, but of their administration operating the business that is the University of Notre Dame, had previously come to the conclusion that operating independently in football with the benefit of their broadcasting deal with NBC (a direct rival of Disney/ABC-TV/ESPN) ensures them to make at least a nickel more than being officially tied to a conference. And make no mistake that the rules of the college football playoff system already codify certain built-in advantages only for Notre Dame. These exclusive benefits for this private institution include the following: (1) They retain 100% of the financial revenue derived from qualifying for the college football playoff. Teams coming from conferences share the revenue with all the other conference members.(2) A guarantee that they make the college football playoff if they finish in the top 12 in the final rankings — meaning that their placement cannot be bumped by the one Group of Five program or the five conference champion guarantees. However, this carve to protect Notre Dame begins in 2026. This is why the 11th-ranked Fighting Irish are on the outside looking in this year, because two Group of Five teams, James Madison and Tulane, are the fourth and fifth-highest-ranked conference champions yet rank below them.(3) The top four seeds in the playoff who currently receive first-round byes into the quarterfinals are no longer required to be a conference champion. This is a modification to the previous guidelines last year, when Notre Dame was not eligible for earning one of the top four seeds and was required to play a first-round game. This is all before the implicit assumption, all but codified in 2026, that Notre Dame can play an easy schedule filled with bad ACC and AAC teams and make the playoffs with two losses. Of course, this format is a joke given the inevitable third loss in the Conference Championship Games from teams previously ranked in the top 12, but that will only present risk to those who have to play this game — and Notre Dame gets the benefit of avoiding it. But on the other hand, the ACC and Big Ten members on the committee can continue to skim the skim by simply dropping the Irish to 13th in the final rankings. I have not seen a screw job like this since Brett Hart was pinned after a fast pin count from Earl Hebner! To paraphrase the great philosopher, Vince McMahon, reflecting on the quick count that Hart endured: Notre Dame screwed Notre Dame.The fact that the “committee” is choosing not to punish Alabama for losing a conference championship means that is the Irish would have simply parlayed their schedule of the second tier in the ACC into a conference championship game (which they could have even lost!) by sacrificing the extra nickel they make by being independent (and owning NBC) is the perfect bow on this gift to neutral observers. Of course, the beautiful irony is that if Notre Dame had simply joined the ACC years ago and qualified for the ACC championship game this season, they could have lost to Virginia and still probably made the college football playoff above the second Group of Five team. As Alabama demonstrates, the committee is not anxious to punish teams that qualify for their conference championship game but lose to another playoff qualifier. There is money to be made by all in those games, even if they represent an awkward remnant of money made in the past that does not quite fit in the new venture capital of the expanded playoff system. But Notre Dame thought they were made men, above having to jump through these inconvenient hoops that are meant for other, lesser, football, I mean, institutions of higher learning. I have not seen Catholics tie themselves in this many knots trying to explain this all away since listening to the defense as to why wine still tastes like wine after Transubstantiation for the priests at my Catholic high school. At least with Transubstantiation, embracing the “mystery” has become central to the explanation. Bevacqua feels there is no explanation that can possibly be given to their exclusion, because a resume that is headlined by wins against USC and Boise State, along with two close losses to the two playoff teams that managed to slip into their 2025 schedule, is somehow self-evident? When you are bragging about beating a four-loss Group of Five team, you are losing. Badly.Even more lacking in self-awareness, Notre Dame chose to decline their bowl invitation to, presumably, play BYU in the Pop-Tarts Bowl. As if taking their football and running home would rob the world of this classic matchup of mediocrity. While Going Galt has its appeal in some limited circles, missing those bowl practices was arrogant and a misstep they will regret. That roster needed the work, notwithstanding their statement of a 63-point victory against a three-win Syracuse team in late November when they were in style-points mode.For the record, Alabama and Miami (FL) did not have great arguments to qualify for the playoffs either. The committee is making it up as they go along, it's a mess, and the mess makes it better TeeVee (in their mind) since it creates content for their subsequent 24-7 Hot Take Sports Industrial Complex. I'm sorry if your disillusionment is recent about this selection committee that, for years, included Condoleezza Rice. How did the Tooth Fairy always find out I lost another baby tooth? Back to the subject, it is the pinnacle of entitlement when the bad arguments your rival have becomes the best reason why you should continue to get everything you want. Notre Dame and their fans look in the mirror and see Ohio State, Georgia, and Alabama. In reality, they are much closer to the rotating second tier of football teams — like Miami (FL), Texas A&M, Penn State, Florida State, name the other programs that can float from making the playoff to a below .500 record from one season to the next.The transfer portal and NIL have made it more difficult for the blue blood programs to dominate each and every season. There is a lot of mediocrity out there these days. Of course, a sweetheart schedule and owning your own broadcasting company help to artificially elevate one’s status. But when other football programs counter with the same games, it can be frustrating. It is reminiscent of Artie Piscano lamenting in Goodfellas: “What's the point of skimming if we're being skimmed? It defeats the purpose!” Let’s leave the last word on the subject to Joe Pesci’s Nicky Santaore from the same film: “You gotta know that a guy who helps you steal, even if you take care of him real well, I mean, he's gonna steal a little bit extra for himself. Makes sense, don't it? Right? Well, you go try and make these hard-headed old greaseballs understand that.”Best of luck — Frank.

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UFC Fight Night Picks: (Feb 7th)

by AAA Sports

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026

The Main Event The upcoming UFC Fight Night main event on February 7, 2026, at the Meta APEX in Las Vegas features an important and exciting bantamweight clash between No. 9-ranked contender Mario Bautista (16-3) and the surging Vinicius Oliveira (23-3) aka "Lok Dog," in a five-round bout featured on Paramount Plus. Bautista is favored in the -180 to -200 range. Bautista was last seen on the wrong end of a decision against Umar Nurmagomedov. Prior to that, he'd been riding high after a strong run of eight straight wins, most recently beating Jose Aldo (split decision) and Patrick Mix. A well-rounded fighter, Bautista combines a strong striking game (averaging 5.6 significant strikes per minute) with a solid takedown defense. He's looking to bounce back and make a push toward the top 5. Oliveira, undefeated in the UFC with four straight wins including decisions over Ricky Simon, Said Nurmagomedov and Kyler Phillips. Earlier in his career, he has shown that he possesses knockout power. The 30 year old Brazilian offers aggressive orthodox striking and has a longer reach than Bautista and finishing threat to test Bautista's resilience in what promises to be a high-stakes striker's battle with title implications on the line for the winner.The total has yet to be set but this fight would seem to have a pretty good chance at going the distance. Each of Bautista's last five fights have been decided by the judges. Likewise, each of Oliveira's last three fights have been decision victories.  The Verdict -- There's no shame in losing to Umar Nurmagomedov, as he is 20-1 and one of the best in the world. He's the only fighter to defeat Bautista since 2021. Bautista has never lost two in a row. Each of his previous losses were immediately followed by victories. His experience will serve him well and he's likely to hand Oliveira his first UFC loss. Go with Bautista The Co Main Event32-year old Amir "The Prince" Albazi (17-2) takes on 35-year old Kyoji Horiguchi (35-5) in the co-main event. The more experienced Horiguchi is a significant -325 favorite. Albazi, who comes from Iraq, is returning after a 15-month layoff following a unanimous decision loss to Brandon Moreno in November 2024. Prior to that, he'd won six straight. He brings elite grappling, submission threats, and wrestling control, having previously rattled off six straight wins. Hailing from Japan, Horiguchi is a the former Bellator and RIZIN champion making his second UFC run, rides momentum from a quick submission win over Tagir Ulanbekov in his recent Octagon return. He possesses explosive speed, crisp striking, and well-rounded finishing ability. He's 6-0 with a no-contest in his last seven.   The Verdict --  Though Horiguchi may well end up victorious, he is 35 and hasn't had a ton of time between fights. Albazi has a significant 12-inch reach advantage. If he can make that work for him, he has a real chance at scoring the big upset. Looking for a large underdog payout? Consider Albazi

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The Miami Hurricanes Defense Proved Worthy in the National Championship Game

by Team Del Genio

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026

As we previously wrote, the most predictable aspect of the college football national championship game was the formula that Miami head coach Mario Cristobal must approach to pull off the upset. The Hurricanes could not get into a shootout with the Hoosiers. Instead, Miami needed to slow this game down to a crawl, wage a war of physicality on both sides of the football, and get that game into the fourth quarter, where they remain in a position to win the game. From that, we concluded that the Hurricanes would cover the point spread and that the final score would finish under the total.Stepping back, this game featured two of the best defenses in the nation that both rank in the top five in points allowed. The Hurricanes ranked fourth in the nation by allowing only 14.0 points per game. The Hoosiers were even better by giving up just 11.1 points per game. Both of these teams averaged 30.1 seconds per play, which was in the top ten slowest paces in the country. The Hurricanes' average time of possession was 33:43 minutes per game heading into this game. Cristobal was not going to abandon his script unless they fell behind by three or more scoring possessions. Why was three the magic number? Because even down 14-16 points puts them in a position of being within one scoring possession entering the fourth quarter. That’s when the magic can happen on their home field, with Indiana confronted with the possibility of their dream season crashing. Miami cannot pass their way back into the game. Oregon had a more dynamic passing attack, yet only scored 22 points against the Hoosiers. From our vantage point, either the Hurricanes would manage to keep it close in a low-scoring game, or Indiana would eventually pull away. The Hoosiers had scored 30 or fewer points in five of their games. We see a 13-10 game like Ohio State, a 20-15 game like Iowa. We did not think that the Hurricanes could get to 24 points like Penn State. Finally, the venue for this game at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami has been a reliable source for unders. The Hurricanes share this space with the Miami Dolphins. Since 2005, in NFL games played in November through the rest of the season at this stadium, the under is 58-47-1. Since 2005, in college football games played at this stadium from November through the rest of the season, the under is 86-68-2. In games at Hard Rock Stadium when the oddsmakers installed the over/under at 47 or higher, the under trend tightens to a 51-38 mark. With these under records coinciding with two strong defenses, two offenses that slow down the pace of play, and the expected game script, we liked the under.Our projections were mostly on the money. Miami was conservative on offense in the first half and could not get much going. Three of their five drives in the 1st Half were three-and-out, and they only had one first down before a final drive that ended in a missed 43-yard field goal. Yet the Hurricanes' defense proved up to the challenge and only gave up 10 points in the 1st Half and the two scoring possessions. However, Indiana would get the ball first in the 2nd Half, which put Miami at risk of giving up a touchdown and making it a three-possession game. Yet in a critical initial 2nd Half drive, the Hurricanes held Indiana to only one first down before they punted. Two plays later, Miami running back Mark Fletcher scored on a 57-yard touchdown run to make it a 10-7 game. That’s where the score would remain before the Hoosiers’ biggest play of the game when they blocked a Hurricanes punt deep in their end of the field and scored a special teams touchdown. Both offenses picked up in the fourth quarter, with 24 combined points scored. Indiana held on to a 27-21 victory with that blocked punt touchdown representing the winning difference in the game. The Hoosiers were methodical on offense and controlled the time of possession for 36:24 minutes. Yet the Hoosiers only gained 317 yards in the game and got outgained by -25 net yards. The predicted game plan by Cristobal almost worked as Fletcher gained 92 of his 112 rushing yards in the 2nd Half. The Hurricanes covered the point spread as an underdog as the oddsmakers initially installed them as a +7.5 underdog before the market pushed that number to +8.5. Early bettors won the under after the oddsmakers initially installed the total at 48.5. The number closed at 47.5 or 48 in many spots, meaning that blocked punt touchdown spoiled those bets. Good luck - TDG.

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Win or Lose, Mario Cristobal Had Only One Formula for Miami to Upset Indiana

by Team Del Genio

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026

The most predictable aspect of the college football national championship game was the formula that Miami head coach Mario Cristobal must approach to pull off the upset. The Hurricanes could not get into a shootout with the Hoosiers. Instead, Miami needed to slow this game down to a crawl, wage a war of physicality on both sides of the football, and get that game into the fourth quarter, where they remain in a position to win the game. Three of Indiana’s victories were decided by five points or less. In those games against Iowa, Ohio State, and Penn State, there were common factors that helped those teams keep the score close. Whether or not the Hurricanes can execute this game plan remains a big question (that we answered in our play on the side in this game). But Miami’s strategy is likely to be similar to that of the Hawkeyes, Buckeyes, and Nittany Lions: run the ball, keep the Indiana offense off the field, don’t commit turnovers, and slow down the Hoosiers rushing attack. Iowa lost by just five points, 20-15. They ran the ball 31 times but for only 92 yards. Yet this approach helped their offense be on the field for 32:42 minutes. They held the Hoosiers to just 104 rushing yards despite their 39 attempts (2.7 yards per carry). Perhaps most importantly, they did not turn the ball over. In Ohio State’s 13-10 loss to Indiana, they only ran the ball 26 times. Yet with their reliable passing game with their great wide receivers, they controlled time of possession with their offense on the field for 30:13 minutes. They held the Hoosiers to 118 rushing yards on 34 carries (3.5 yards per carry). They had one turnover. Indiana’s closest scare was against Penn State when they rallied to win, 27-24, with a miracle fourth-down pass conversion. They held Indiana to 108 rushing yards on 31 carries (3.5 yards per carry). They barely lost the time of possession battle with the Hoosiers’ offense on the field for 30:37 minutes. Their two turnovers might have cost them the game. For the season, the Hoosiers averaged 5.4 yards per carry. Their average time of possession was 33:47 minutes. In their 12 other games, they averaged 2.2 takeaways per game. In their semifinal game against Oregon, the Ducks presented a blueprint for exactly the wrong way to play them. The first play from scrimmage was intercepted for a touchdown, immediately impacting the game script. In the first half alone, turnovers and a blocked punt set up three other touchdown drives of less than 20 yards. The score at halftime was 35-7. Game over. If nothing else, Miami could not do that. The Hurricanes beat Ohio State and Texas A&M in the playoffs despite scoring only 17 and 10 points. They got to 31 points against Ole Miss in the semifinals against a defense that had given up 418 yards per game when playing on the road. Indiana gives 261 yards per game. About all Cristobal can reasonably expect from his team is to score in the low-20s against this stout Hoosiers defense.  Good luck - TDG.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 01/31/26

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Jan 31, 2026

The Saturday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. The National Basketball Association has six games on its docket. The San Antonio Spurs travel to Charlotte to play the Hornets on Amazon Prime Video at 12:10 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with the total set at 225.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Atlanta Hawks play in Indiana against the Pacers at 7:10 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 232.5. The Philadelphia 76ers host the New Orleans Pelicans at 7:40 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 231.5. Two NBA games tip off at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Miami Heat play at home against the Chicago Bulls as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 235.5. The Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road against the Memphis Grizzlies as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 229.5. The Houston Rockets are home against the Dallas Mavericks on ABC at 8:40 p.m. ET as an 11.5-point favorite with an over/under of 220.5. The National Hockey League has 14 games on its slate. The Los Angeles Kings visit Philadelphia to take on the Flyers at 12:37 p.m. ET as a -112 money-line road favorite with a total of 5.5. The Colorado Avalanche play in Detroit against the Red Wings on ABC at 1:07 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Pittsburgh Penguins host the New York Rangers on ABC at 3:37 p.m. ET as a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. Two NHL games drop the puck at 4:07 p.m. ET. The Florida Panthers play at home against the Winnipeg Jets as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The Calgary Flames are home against the San Jose Sharks as a -112 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Carolina Hurricanes are in Washington to face the Capitals at 5:07 p.m. ET as a -175 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Five NHL games start at 7:07 p.m. ET. The New York Islanders host the Nashville Predators as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 5.5. The Ottawa Senators play at home against the New Jersey Devils as a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. The St. Louis Blues are home against the Columbus Blue Jackets as a -118 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Toronto Maple Leafs travel to Vancouver to challenge the Canucks as a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Buffalo Sabres host the Montreal Canadiens as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Utah Mammoth plays at home against the Dallas Stars at 9:07 p.m. ET as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5. Two more games conclude the NHL card at 10:07 p.m. ET. The Edmonton Oilers are home against the Minnesota Wild as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Vegas Golden Knights host the Seattle Kraken as a -205 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The NCAAB college basketball schedule tips off at noon ET with 138 games involving Division I opponents. Eight of these NCAAB games are on major national television, with two tipping off at noon ET. Duke plays at Virginia Tech on ESPN as an 11.5-point road favorite with a total of 148.5. Houston plays at home against Cincinnati on Fox as a 14.5-point favorite with an over/under of 134.5. Utah State is home against San Diego State on CBS at 1:00 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 145.5. Two NCAAB games on major national television begin at 2:00 p.m. ET. Wisconsin hosts Ohio State on Fox as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 156.5. Louisville plays at home against SMU on ESPN as a 9.5-point favorite with a total of 161.5. Kansas is home against BYU on ESPN at 4:30 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 159.5.UConn is on the road playing Oregon on Fox at 8:00 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 143.5. Gonzaga hosts Saint Mary’s on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET as a 9.5-point favorite with an over/under of 145.5. Matchweek 24 in the English Premier League begins with five matches. Three EPL matches start at 10:00 a.m. ET. Brighton and Hove Albion play at home against Everton as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Arsenal travels to play Leeds United on the USA Network as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Bournemouth plays at Wolverhampton as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Chelsea is at home to battle West Ham United on the USA Network at 12:30 p.m. ET as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Liverpool hosts Newcastle United at 3:00 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5.

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Early Projections -- 3 MLB Win Projections In 2026

by AAA Sports

Friday, Jan 30, 2026

Detroit Tigers OVER 84.5 Wins (-110) -- Last season, Detroit was able to win 87 games and that was with Cleveland winning the division. In 2024, the Tigers were just making a name for themselves again and putting their names on the map with an 86 win performance. As Tarik Skubal has evolved, and the rest of the Tigers have been assembled, Detroit is the favorite to win this season's AL Central at (+130.) Over the L2 seasons, Detroits been one of the youngest teams in each of it's playoff stints. Even though it's had a fair bit of success, gaining those years of experience on the biggest of stages is going to help Detroit even more for this season when everyone's not expecting it. A lot of the big named team went out and added guys to the team in the offseason. The Tigers did go geta bunch of guys to bolster their Minor League teams with potential in-season adds to the 26 man team. We think that even though there are teams with much better overall rosters going into the year, Detroit should be able to at least repeat a performance like we've seen over the last couple of seasons this year. It didn't get any worse, and the bats are only getting stronger. Milwaukee Brewers UNDER 83.5 Wins (-110) -- Milwaukee is a bit of a tricky team to look into this season. It never seems to like paying it's players the biggest of money. Jackson Chourio is probably the biggest name in the organization at the moment and he got paid quite a bit. But, the Brewers haven't been able to spend 100+ million on anyone yet other than Yelich it seems. They just traded their top pitcher from last year -- Freddy Peralta to the Mets. Now, the Brewers did stay relevant even after trading Corbin Burnes a few seasons ago. But, losing another top pitcher like that is going to be really tough. There is definitely a world where Milwaukee can be really good again this season with it's young guys showing out like it did in the second half of last year. But, the Brew Crew also lost a really solid hitter -- Isaac Collins -- to KC and that could hurt. We'll take them to finish under 83 wins. Minnesota Twins UNDER 73.5 Wins (-110) -- At the trade deadline last year, Minnesota completely changed it's roster by moving a lot of it's top players. It was due to the fact that the Twins weren't playing well with the team that they had. But, they didn't necessarily have to do all of that. With that happening though, the Twins aren't really supposed to be too competitive with anyone this season and they will feature a lot of guys with little to no experience. They still have some vets like Pablo López on the team. But, he's not going to be able to carry the Twins rotation along by himself. Minnesota's got a long rebuild ahead of it and we could see it taking at least a few seasons before the Twins become one of the best in the AL Central. The sportsbooks still have Minnesota favored to place fourth ahead of CWS. But, we actually think that the White Sox could be much closer to Minnesota than everyone thinks -- both having lots of trouble this year.  

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Harry's Top 5 Super Bowl Rushing Props

by Harry Gagnon

Friday, Jan 30, 2026

Well everyone we have made it to Santa Clara, California the sight of Super Bowl 60. We have had a successful season and over the next few days I will share with you in 4 different articles what I believe to be my best 5 props in Rushing, Receiving,Passing, and Whatever else comes my way that tickles my fancy !!!! In this article I'll be giving my Top 5 best Rushing props for the SB and why I love them. #1 Seahawks QB Sam Darnold UNDER 6.5 rushing yards -115Running the ball is not what Sam does. He loves to stay in the pocket and throw darts to his receiving crew. He had zero carries against San Francisco in the divisional round and in his last 14 games he's eclipsed 6 yards just 4 times. He also did a ton more running last season in Minnesota than he did this year in Seattle. #2 Patriots QB Drake Maye OVER 13.5 yards longest rush -1110Maye has over 100 carries in the regular season and had 450 yards which is very impressive in just his 2nd season. In the layoffs he has a 28 and a 37 yard gallup against the Chargers and the Broncos. The Patriots have designed running plays for him ulike DSeattle who do not for Darnold.#3 Seahawks WR Rashid Shaheed OVER 5 or more rushing yards -115Since he came over to Seattle in a trade with the Saints, Shaheed has helped out in numerous ways. In 11 games with the Seahawks he has had at least 1 rushing attempt in 8 games and he hasd 2 for 27 yards in the divisional round against the 49ers.#4 & # 5 are Seahawks RB Kenneth Walker III related#4 Walker. ANYTIME TD -185Walker has been a workhorse for Seattle in the playoffs with 45 touches and 4 TDS in 2 games. He's looked fantastic running the ball and inside the 5 yard line he's a must at letting he bounce to the corners and use his strength and speed to find paydirt (had 3 TDS versus San Francisco).#5 Walker MOST RUSHING YARDS IN GAME -195Now you have to lay a price here but he has 38 carries in 2 playoff games and has 178 rushing yards combined. The Patriots have played 3 playoff games and they like to split up their carries between Stevenson and Henderson, plus Maye is averaging 8 carries a game in the playoffs. It's hard to pass on Walker in this prop because he is healthy and he just gets the ball way more than everyone else.Well, those are my Top 5 Rushing Props for the Super Bowl but check back in on BigAl.com to get more props from me as we get closer to the Big Game !!!!

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Eastern Conference Top 4 February Schedules

by Nelly's Sports

Friday, Jan 30, 2026

The NBA trade deadline and the All Star Break are ahead in February as teams have recently passed the halfway point in their schedules. February will be a key month of separating the contenders from the rest of the pack in the NBA standings. Here is a look at the schedules in February for the current top four teams in the Eastern Conference standings. Detroit Pistons: While it would have been difficult to believe earlier in the season, the Pistons currently have a larger lead in the Eastern Conference standings than the Thunder have in the West, with Detroit up to 34-12 and 5.5 games clear of the second-place Knicks and Celtics heading into January 30. Detroit heads into its final game of the month with a 9-4 record since the calendar turned to 2026 while the schedule ahead of the All Star Break should provide a handful more wins. February starts with four straight home games for the Pistons with two difficult games and two favorable draws. Four road games in two-game pairs will provide a bookend around the All-Star Break including road games with Toronto and New York, chief players in the Eastern Conference picture. The end of February will provide the Pistons with a difficult home stand hosting the Spurs, Thunder, and Cavaliers over five days to close out the month and overall, seven of 11 games in February are vs. winning teams while two of the losing team matchups are Charlotte and Chicago on the road for tougher games than the records suggest. Detroit will have a hard time extending its conference lead in a difficult month of February. New York Knicks: After a disastrous 2-9 run from New Year’s Eve to Martin Luther King, Jr. Day, the Knicks have rebounded to put together four wins in a row to limit the damage in the Eastern Conference race, including picking up nice road wins in Philadelphia and Toronto in the last week. February has the potential to be a difficult month for the Knicks as well however, as only four of 12 games will come against current losing teams. Games with the Lakers, Nuggets, Pistons, and Rockets will come at home but there are also road games in Detroit, Boston, Philadelphia, and Cleveland. The final five games out of the All Star Break will provide a challenging stretch of games hosting the Pistons and Rockets before three straight road games in the Midwest. While the February schedule looks difficult, the start of March is even more treacherous facing some of the top West contenders while on the road in six of the first eight games of March as the Knicks could struggle to hold a top three position in the East this season.  Boston Celtics: The Celtics have moved into a tie for second place in the Eastern Conference standings with a 5-5 run in the past 10 games. Boston isn’t exactly going for it this season, but the Celtics remain talented enough without Jayson Tatum to continue to compete well. Boston does have a few challenging games in February however as the team’s ability to keep pace in the Eastern Conference race may be tested. The Celtics have games with the Rockets, Heat, Knicks, and Bulls, all in succession right before the break and the game in Houston will be the second of back-to-back road games. After the All Star Break the Celtics have four games out west vs. some of the better teams in the Western Conference race while also having a back-to-back road game set in Phoenix and Denver. Only four games in February will be against current losing teams and Boston could be at risk of sliding in the standings in February. Toronto Raptors: The Raptors have been a streaky team this season with a great start to the season followed by a rough December slide. Toronto has been on the upswing lately winning four of five in a west coast road tip in late January including wins over the Warriors and Thunder. February will feature only three road games for the Raptors although Toronto hasn’t offered a great home court edge going 13-11 north of the border. The Timberwolves, Pistons, Thunder, and Spurs are all visiting Toronto in February for several high-profile home games but overall, it is a preferable path compared with most of the other top Eastern Conference teams in the next month. Toronto is in a tight four-team race for the #2-5 spots in the standings and February could provide a springboard for the Raptors to chase the #2 position. Cleveland Cavaliers: With Cleveland now matching Toronto at 29-20 the Cavaliers are also in the top four in the Eastern Conference. Cleveland has won five in a row heading into January 30 and while Cleveland already has more losses than last season’s team that went 64-18 the Cavaliers this season may be peaking at the right time. The recent schedule has been favorable, and February will continue the final four games of a five-game west coast trip that could take a toll on the record before the All-Star Break. The Cavaliers host Washington in the final game before the break and then face Brooklyn in the first game after the break for favorable home games. The end of February will provide a few serious tests, however, with games in Oklahoma City and Detroit, plus a home game with the Knicks. The recent surge for Cleveland is not likely sustainable, though the race is close enough that the recent run has the Cavaliers back in play for any of the 2-5 positions in the East. 

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