Articles

Michigan Finally Silenced the Haters

by Hollywood Sports

Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024

There were plenty of casual dismissals of the Michigan Wolverines football team all season despite their being ranked at the top of most analytics-based power rankings. Anonymous Big Ten coaches were quoted by Bruce Feldman in The Athletic in the build-up to the College Football Playoffs where they predicted an easy Alabama victory. It was funny how these coaches know more about the intricacies of the Crimson Tide than they do the Wolverines considering Michigan had won 24 games in a row in conference play. There were a lot of haters in the Big Ten against Jim Harbaugh right now — epitomized by the moral panic surrounding the pending investigation regarding overzealous sign decoding schemes (every football team attempts to “steal” signs — and it is mostly a legal practice). Any doubt that the Wolverines' recent success was due to an illegal or unethical theft of inside information was debunked in November when they soundly defeated Penn State and Ohio State. Critics downplay their strength of schedule — but the Nittany Lions and Buckeyes are widely considered two of the top-ten teams in the nation and the Iowa team they beat in the Big Ten Championship Game had the best statistical defense in the nation. Granted, the Michigan passing game was not nearly as explosive at the end of the season with the Wolverines not passing for more than 147 yards in four straight games — but that was simply a whine about style points. With offensive coordinator Sherrone Moore serving as the interim head coach in three of those games, Michigan stuck to what was working with a methodical rushing attack that protected their lead. Only throwing the ball eight times against Penn State but still winning on the road by nine points should have been seen as a sign of utter domination. Quarterback J.J. McCarthy was dealing with some nagging injuries in those games so not exposing him to more hits was a way to help set up their playoff run. In the game against Maryland before the showdown with the Buckeyes, McCarthy’s foot injury kept him from planting his foot to throw the football. Still, the Wolverines scored more points against Ohio State, Penn State, and Iowa than any other opponent — those are all top-ten defenses in the nation. Critics also referenced Michigan’s six-game losing streak in bowl games. The loss in the playoffs against Georgia two years ago was not unexpected — but last year’s loss to TCU was reflective of an arrogant offensive game plan that was compounded by McCarthy throwing two pick-sixes. The other four bowl game losses mean next to nothing since they were pre-COVID and during a period when Harbaugh began using lesser-tiered bowl games as the audition for the upcoming season. Three straight victories against Ohio State should have demonstrated that Harbaugh could prepare his team for big games. Michigan was been the most consistent team in the country going into the playoffs. While they want to win behind their dominant offensive line and two-headed monster of running backs Blake Corum and Donovan Edwards, McCarthy has demonstrated he can win games with his arm and with his mobility. The Wolverines' defense was elite after allowing only 239.8 total Yards-Per-Game and 9.5 Points-Per-Game. Harbaugh claimed there are at least 17 players on the roster who will be drafted into the NFL in April. While Michigan does not recruit at the level of Alabama, their player development takes a back seat to no program. Minnesota head coach P.J. Fleck declared that this Michigan team may be the best college team he had ever coached against after playing them earlier in the season. He must not have been one of the rival conference coaches contacted by Feldman. Heading into the playoffs, I considered the notion of SEC dominance already dead in the NIL and transfer portal era. What was Georgia’s best win this season? What was Alabama’s second-best win? Were they being elevated because of legacy? Granted, the same can be said about Michigan and Ohio State — and that is where laptops came in which generally projected the Wolverines as a bigger favorite against Alabama than the market’s betting line. The Buckeyes might have outplayed Georgia in the semifinals last year (and won that game if Marvin Harrison does not get injured). Michigan dominated the Crimson Tide in the first half of their Semifinal showdown but only went into halftime with a 13-10 lead. Special teams mishaps plagued the Wolverines from taking a larger lead. Alabama turned the tables in the third quarter to take control of the game — but McCarthy engineered a late fourth-quarter comeback to force overtime where Michigan scored the opening touchdown before stopping the Crimson Tide on downs to win the game. When the game was on the line, the Wolverines beat Alabama at the point of attack at the line of scrimmage and demonstrated more speed than the team with all the blue-chip five-star players. Michigan took their 27-20 victory into the National Championship Game against Washington. Once again, the betting public and many of the “sharps” were on the Huskies — especially with them getting 4.5 or more points and above the key number of 4. I committed to the Wolverines in our College Football Game of the Year. Michigan controlled the game and pulled away with a 34-13 victory and their first national championship in the BCS era. But the rival Big Ten coaches may have received their ultimate wish with Harbaugh deciding to return to the NFL to coach the Los Angeles Chargers. Now Harbaugh is not only out of the Big Ten, but perhaps the most vocal head coach in football regarding paying college athletes is no longer in the NCAA. In hindsight, the personal motivations critics had in downplaying this year’s Michigan team may offer the best explanation of their words. Best of luck — Frank.

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The Collapse of the Philadelphia Eagles

by Team Del Genio

Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024

The Philadelphia Eagles collapsed in the second half of the season with five losses in their final six regular games. Defensive coordinator Sean Desai got demoted in December with Matt Patricia given the play-calling responsibilities. Rumors abound that this was a decision made by executive vice president and general manager Howie Roseman rather than head coach Nick Sirianni. Patricia then attempted to install new terminology on the fly which is an ambitious project late in the season. The change did not work as the Eagles gave up 29 points per game and 385 yards per game in their final three regular season games. They got embarrassed in their final regular season game in New York against the Giants in a 27-10 loss where they gave up 415 yards. The Philadelphia run defense was one of the biggest problems as it simply collapsed in the second half of the season. After holding their first nine opponents to 66 rushing yards per game, they returned after their bye to allow 146 rushing yards per game in their last eight games. Turnovers have been an issue as well. After week 12, the Eagles had a 10-1 record with just a -2 net turnover margin. Since then, Philadelphia lost five of their final six regular games with a -8 net turnover margin. They gave up 30 points per game and 383 yards per game during those final six regular season games while averaging only 20 points per game and 330 yards per game. The defense struggled in pressuring the quarterback and registering sacks. The linebacker unit was not as good as last year. Their secondary got old and too slow to keep up with good wide receivers. Just a year removed from reaching the Super Bowl, Sirianni appeared to be on the hot seat going into their playoff game at Tampa Bay. Roseman had fired successful head coaches before as Doug Pederson can attest. Injuries were playing a role, as they usually do. Jalen Hurts was playing through a finger injury. In his last four regular season games, he had only four touchdown passes and five interceptions. His top wide receiver target A.J. Brown was unavailable to play against the Buccaneers due to a knee injury. The Eagles had lost money for the bettors in six straight games going into the postseason. An 0-6 against the spread run might have intrigued some contrarian bettors in their wild card game against Tampa Bay, yet to believe in Philadelphia at that point required faith that they could simply flip the switch from all this negativity. Yet the Eagles had not covered the point spread in their last four games after a double-digit loss to an NFC East opponent. They had covered the point spread only twice in their last eight games in January as well.Rather than successfully flipping the switch, Sirianni’s team appeared to quit on him in their 32-9 loss to the Buccaneers. While Tampa Bay only averaged 17.6 points per game and 317 yards per game at home during the regular season, their offense torched an uninspired Eagles defense for 426 yards. Since that game, Roseman decided to retain Sirianni as the team’s head coach for his fourth year leading the team. Yet offensive coordinator Brian Johnson along with Desai and Patricia were all let go. The organization made big splashes by hiring Kellen Moore as their new offensive coordinator and Vic Fangio as their new defensive coordinator. Yet if Sirianni can not rebuild the culture inside the building, the best coaching in the world won’t fix this team.Good luck - TDG.

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Champions League Futures 2023/24 (Knockout Rounds)

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024

The Champions League returns on February 13 with the 1st leg of the Round of 16 kicking off. The group stage had some obvious results with some of the bigger favorites and there were also some big surprises with certain clubs exiting the competition, but now it is down to the final 16 clubs in the knockout stages and this is where the true contenders tend to pull through. With the final 16 teams decided now, it is time to see who these true contenders are compared to the pretenders left in the competition.  To Win Outright Manchester City +187: Man City is the team with the best chance to win the competition according to the oddsmakers. Man City are the defending champions of the Champions League from last season as well as being the Treble winners and the Club World Champions after winning the Club World Cup back in December. They have the best team in the world right now with a lot of talent in their squad, but their depth is definitely lacking from last season with the players they lost in the summer transfer window. They still have a very strong team but repeating is always a difficult challenge, especially when splitting their focus between different competitions as well as not having the same hunger to win after winning the previous year. Manchester City is a very good team that is still one of the best in the competition but their depth could become an issue deeper in the competition as they will also be focused on winning the Premier League Title again. There is still some value at this price for the best team in the world right now, but there are going to be a lot more obstacles for them this time around and there are better options with more value to win this competition this year. Bayern Munich +400: Bayern Munich is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. Bayern Munich has had their struggles in their domestic league this season as they currently sit in 2nd place, 2 points behind Leverkusen, but they still have a very impressive 15-2-2 record in the league this season. This is also a competition they are very focused on winning this season as they have not won the Champions League Title in a few years now and acquiring Harry Kane from Tottenham in the Summer Transfer Window was a big step taken towards winning this title. They were very impressive in the group stage as they topped their group with a 5-1-0 record and the addition of Kane was a much needed piece in their attack as they never truly replaced the striker they lost in Lewandowski when he departed for Barcelona. Now Bayern is a real contender in this competition as their attack has been flowing much better and generating more scoring chances, but their biggest issue in this competition has always been defense which is something they have also corrected. The club hired Tuchel as their manager and his defensive system has improved this team a lot as they have only allowed 18 goals in their 19 matches this season which is the 2nd best defense in the Bundesliga and they allowed 6 goals in the Champions League group stage which was among the top 5 for goals allowed. Between their new flowing attack and their much better defense, Bayern Munich is finally a true contender to win this competition and they have a lot of value at this price. Real Madrid +550: Real Madrid is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. Real Madrid has been a dominant team in Europe over the last few years and they were the last champions of the Champions League prior to Manchester City winning it last season. They won La Liga last season but fizzled out of the Champions League in the semi-finals. Once again, they are having a great season in La Liga as they currently sit in 2nd place, just 1 point behind the leading Girona, and they also had a great group stage as they finished at the top of their group at 6-0-0. Real Madrid has had a bigger issue on their hands this season though as they acquired a lot of young talented players in the Summer Transfer Window and they have been a great addition to the team, but they have also struggled at times with these players in the lineup and have struggled to score goals with a lot of their wins this season coming from goals that came very late in their matches, even coming in stoppage time at the death of matches. They still have a lot of their experienced players on the team but they are also getting much older and they have had to deal with injuries to core players in their lineup as well. Real Madrid still has a very good team that is going to improve a lot with their young talent, but this team has been off this season and they are just not ready right now to compete for this title with some of the better teams in Europe. Real Madrid is not the best option to win this competition this year. Arsenal +550: Arsenal is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. Arsenal is back in the Champions League after years thanks to a very good season last year which almost saw them take home the Premier League Title but had to settle for 2nd place instead. They are once again having a great season in the Premier League as they are in the top 4 and fighting for the title, but they have not been the same team they were last season and a lot of that has to do with the extra matches they are playing now. Arsenal had a great season in the Premier League last year but they fizzled out in the Europa League as they were unable to maintain focus on both competitions. They added to their depth in the summer time and ended up topping their group in the group stage with a 4-1-1 record, but their form in the Premier League began to dip as they had to deal with the condensed schedule of being in different competitions in December. They have been starting to play much better in January as they have had less competitions to worry about, but this is not a team that can make a deep run in the Champions League when focusing on the Premier League Title as well. As Arsenal gets deeper into the competition, they will begin to fade as they do not have the depth or the experience to deal with wear that will come late in the season and against much better teams. There is no real value in Arsenal to win this competition this year as they do not have the team to do so.  Paris Saint-Germain +1200: PSG is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. PSG is having a good season in Ligue 1 as they are leading the league with a 6 point lead over 2nd place. They also acquired a lot of good young talent in the Summer Transfer Window to replace some key pieces that left the team as well as preparing for a likely future without Kylian Mbappe next season. PSG is usually one of the bigger favorites to win this competition every year and they have underperformed every year as well. This might be their last chance to make a deep run with their star player likely to leave in the summer, but this is also a team that underperformed once again in the group stage this year as they finished in 2nd place behind Dortmund with a 2-2-2 record. PSG has a team with a lot of good players that always seems to dominate a weaker French league but they also continue to underperform in this competition as they just are not good enough to compete at a high level with the best teams in Europe. There is not a lot of value in PSG at this price as they are not a true contender. Barcelona +1600: Barcelona is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. Barcelona has been a very interesting team over the last 2 seasons with the changes they have gone through. They signed a lot of players in the Summer Transfer Window 2 years ago which saw them go on to win the La Liga Title last season, but they also fizzled out of the Champions League in the group stage which was a huge failure. They also could not afford all of the players they signed which led to a massive mess that made them unable to improve the team in this transfer window as they had to sell a lot of those players they signed and pay off their debt. Now they have a solid core group of players for this year, but they have not performed well as they currently sit in 4th place of La Liga. They did have a much better Champions League campaign as they were more focused on this competition and topped their group with a 4-0-2 record. They also had a much weaker group though and their defense has taken a big step back from last year as well. A big reason why they were able to win the La Liga Title last year was their great defense as they rarely allowed goals in their matches. That has not been the case this season though as they have been conceding a lot more goals and that is going to get them into trouble the deeper they go as they will come against teams with much better defense. Barcelona also has a very difficult Round of 16 matchup against a Napoli team that has the talent to eliminate them so the road is going to be very hard for Barcelona right from the start of the knockouts. Barcelona is another team that has just been off this season and they still need more time to improve their squad if they want to be a contender in Europe. There is no value in this price for Barcelona to win this competition. Inter Milan +1800: Inter Milan is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. Inter Milan has been having a very good season this year as they are leading the Serie A and have the best team in Italy this year with the talent they have. They finished in 2nd place of their group with a 3-3-0 record but this is still a team that went to the Champions League final last year and lost in a very tight match with Man City. Inter Milan got a taste of the Champions League final last season and there is no doubt that this competition is a big focus for them as well as winning the Serie A Title, but they also have the talent and depth to focus on both competitions. They also have the experience of making a deep run from last year and the pain of losing a very close match in the finals which will drive their hunger to perform as best as they can. Inter Milan has also maintained their great form in 4 different competitions all season, but now they do not have the cups to worry about so they are going to have full focus on winning these 2 titles. Inter Milan has the defense and the talent in their squad with the experience to make a deep run in this competition and they are going to have the hunger as well which is what has been driving their dominant performance in matches this season. They can compete with the best clubs in Europe as they showed last year and they have the same core team with some improvements as well. Inter Milan is a real contender to win this competition and they are a huge dark horse at this price. There is a lot of value in Inter Milan to win this competition.  RecommendationThere are a lot of good teams in this competition as these are the best teams in Europe right now and any team that can get through the group stage of this competition should be viewed as one of the best in Europe. There can only be 1 winner of this competition though and as good as every team may be, some are much better than others or simply do not have the depth to make a deep run late in the season in a competition like this. The teams that were left off this list are still very good but do not have the best chance at beating the odds to win the Champions League Title this year. There is always going to be a dominant powerhouse team that makes the finals and Bayern Munich has the talent and depth to be that team this season with some great value at +400. There is also the possibility of a dark horse team making it to the finals though as we saw last year with Inter Milan and they might just be that team again with the way they have improved from last year and the experience of that deep run they now have on their side. Bayern Munich at +400 is the team with the best value to win this competition going into the Round of 16 but Inter Milan at +1800 also has a lot of value as a dark horse.

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Europa League Futures 2023/24 (Knockout Rounds)

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024

The Europa League returns on February 15 with the 1st leg of the play-off games kicking off to decide which 2nd place teams from the group stage and which drop down teams from the Champions League will be advancing to the Round of 16. The Europa League can be a lot more difficult to predict at the start of the group stage as the team that goes on to win might not even be in the competition yet. Now that the group stage has ended, no more teams can be added to the competition after this play-off round so there is a much better idea as to who can go on to win this competition now. It is time to see which teams are the real contenders to win the Europa League Title this season. To Win Outright Liverpool +225: Liverpool is the team with the best chance to win the competition according to the oddsmakers. Liverpool ended up in the Europa League this season with a 5th place finish in the Premier League after a lackluster season last year, but they have improved a lot this year. They are currently leading the Premier League as they are having a great season and they have also booked their ticket to the Round of 16 already by topping their group in the group stage. They improved their team in the Summer Transfer Window by bringing in Alexis Mac Allister to stabilize their midfield and he has done a great job fixing the flow of their attack as they never truly replaced Sadio Mane which brought them a lot of problems last season. Their defense was also a big issue last season but they fixed that as well as they now have the best defense in the Premier League this year. Liverpool is by far the best team left in this competition with their talent as they have been performing at a Champions League level all season and that will show when they go up against weaker teams in this competition. They are also going to have some motivation with Klopp announcing that he will be leaving the club at the end of the season so the team will be pushing to win as many titles as they can this year. The only thing that could hold them back in this competition is the fact that they will be more focused on reclaiming the Premier League Title this season, but they still have both the talent and the depth to make a deep run in this competition regardless. There is value in Liverpool to win this competition at this price since they do have the best team left in the competition.  Bayer Leverkusen +550: Bayer Leverkusen is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. Leverkusen has been having a very impressive season as they are currently leading the Bundesliga with a 15-4-0 record and they also topped their group in the group stage of this competition with a 6-0-0 record. They have played in 25 matches this season between Bundesliga and the Europa League without losing a single match yet. They also have the best defense in the Bundesliga as they have allowed 14 goals in their 19 league matches, and that is a trend they continued in the Europa League group stage as they only allowed 3 goals in their 6 matches. A big reason for their success this season was the hiring of Xabi Alonso as manager as he has turned this entire club around. Leverkusen is going to be a big threat in Europe as long as Alonso is still at the helm and right now they are the biggest threat to Liverpool in this competition since they have actually been in better form all season in both the Europa League and their domestic league. They also have a lot of value at this price to win this competition as they are the closest team to standing in Liverpool’s way and they are a true contender as they continue to show.  AC Milan +1000: AC Milan is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. AC Milan has been having a good season this year as they are currently sitting in 3rd place of the Serie A, but they have shown time and time again that they are always a bridesmaid and never a bride. Last season, they were in the top 4 but way out of the title race with Napoli running away. They also made a deep run in the Champions League but eventually fizzled out right before making it to the finals. They have had a similar story the last few years and once again this season, they are sitting in 3rd place in the title race but still way out of it as they are 8 points behind the leaders. They also took a step back in the Champions League as they made a very deep run last year but failed to get out of the group stage this year. Now they have the added challenge of having to play in a play-off game before booking their spot in the Round of 16 for the Europa League. AC Milan has a lot of good talent in their squad but they also had to replace some key pieces they lost in the Summer Transfer Window and at the end of the day, this is a team that is not a real contender to win this competition as they always get close but find a way to hurt themselves when they need to show up most. They do not have the defense to win this competition either as that has been an issue for them in the Serie A this season and was also a reason for their departure from the Champions League with 8 goals allowed in their 6 matches of the group stage there. AC Milan is not a real contender to win this competition and there is no real value for them at this price.  Brighton & Hove Albion +1200: Brighton is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. Brighton has not been having a great season this year as they got off to a very good start in the Premier League but they are currently sitting in 8th place now as the key pieces they lost in the Summer Transfer Window are finally starting to catch up to them. Brighton still has a very good team but they are not as good as they were last year and a lot of that has to do with the loss of some very good midfield talent in Caicedo and Mac Allister who are no longer with the club. Brighton did manage to top their group in the group stage with a 4-1-1 record so they have already booked their ticket right to the Round of 16, but they have still been a very inconsistent team this year. They have also struggled away from home which is going to make their away matches that much more difficult, especially since they have had a huge issue on defense as well. They had a dominant 4-1-1 performance in the group stage yet they still allowed 5 goals in their 6 matches and they have been much worse in the Premier League with 37 goals allowed in their 22 league matches. Brighton has the talent to make a deep run here as they do have a very potent attack still, but when push comes to shove, their defense will let them down deeper in the competition and they also do not have the depth to last while also pushing to get back into a European spot for next year in the Premier League. Brighton is not a real contender to win this competition and has no real value at this price.  West Ham United +1200: West Ham is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. West Ham has been having a good season this year as they currently sit in 6th place of the Premier League table and have been climbing the table in recent weeks. This was a team that was awful in the league last season as they were very close to getting relegated at the end of the season, but they also underperformed in the Premier League with the talent they had as they also went on to win the Europa Conference League last year which is how they got their bid into this competition. Now they are having a much better season in the Premier League and they were also very good in the group stage as well. They topped their group with a 5-0-1 record and have already booked their spot in the Round of 16. West Ham will be trying to maintain their spot in the Premier League so they can be back in European competition next year, but they also know they are not a top 4 team in the Premier League so this will be a competition they are focused on winning as they are the champions from last year’s Conference League and winning the Europa League would also give them a bid to the Champions League for next season. West Ham has the motivation and the pedigree to win this competition with the run they made last season. They do not have the best chance to win this competition with the stronger clubs still left in it along with their struggles against Liverpool in the league, but at this price they definitely have value as a dark horse.  Roma +1600: Roma is the next team on the list with the best chance at winning this competition according to the oddsmakers. Roma has been having a good season in the Serie A as they are currently sitting in 5th place, but they are also going through some turmoil as well. This team has had high hopes every season for the last few years yet they have struggled to even crack the top 4 and now they have finally sacked their manager Jose Mourinho. They have played better since the sacking with a new found boost in the lineup but they still lack the talent and depth to be a real contender in the Europa League right now. Similar to AC Milan, Roma is a team that always has high hopes and tends to underperform. Even when they have come close like last season as Roma did go to the Europa League final, they still found a way to lose. Roma does not have the talent and depth to make a deep run in this competition right now and they will be more focused on improving their performance in the Serie A to end the season. They also finished in 2nd place of their group in the group stage which means they have the added challenge of facing a Champions League drop down team before booking their ticket to the Round of 16, and they have a very tough matchup against a very good Feyenoord team that has experience making deep runs in Europe as well. Roma is not a true contender to win this competition and does not have any value at this price.  RecommendationThere are a lot of good teams left in the Europa League right now but all of the paths to the finals are very treacherous with 2 Champions League caliber teams standing in the way. Liverpool is the best team in England right now, which could change toward the end of the season, but they are still playing at a Champions League level regardless of if they win the Premier League Title or not, the same way Leverkusen has been playing at a Champions League level all season as well. These are the two teams to beat in the competition right now so there is a lot of value in Liverpool at +225 as they do have the best team left, but considering how they were +350 to start the competition which was discussed in the pre-group stage futures segment, there is more value with Leverkusen at +550 to win the competition as they are the 1 team left that could really give Liverpool some trouble with their defensive play. Either way, Liverpool at +225 and Leverkusen at +550 are the 2 teams with the most value to win this competition this season. 

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NHL Off the Post: January 31st

by Sean Murphy

Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024

The NHL All-Star break is upon us with most teams approaching or eclipsing the 50-game mark heading into February. Here's a look at some news and notes from around the league before the action resumes on Monday.Shark bitesThe Sharks have pulled themselves out of the league basement thanks to a 4-1 surge. They'll play one more game (in Anaheim) on the final night of action before the break on Wednesday. A victory would actually move them just two points behind the Ducks. Of course, winning isn't paramount in San Jose right now as the Sharks would undoubtedly like to finish as close to the bottom as possible to give themselves a chance to win the lottery and draft a potential franchise player in June (Macklin Celebrini is this year's biggest prize, drawing admittedly lofty comparisons to Sidney Crosby). Of note, the Sharks won't play another home game until February 17th.March of the PenguinsPerennially active as buyers prior to the trade deadline, this year figures to be no different for the Penguins. They're well within striking distance of a Wild Card spot (not to mention third place in the Metropolitan Division) heading into the break. You do have to wonder whether Father Time is finally catching up with the Pens as their aging core had a difficult time carrying the load for stretches this season. Note that Pittsburgh is just 2-5 over its last seven games and will face a difficult schedule immediately following the break with three of its next four games coming against the Jets (two games) and Panthers. Management will undoubtedly do whatever it can to give Crosby, Malkin, Letang et al one more shot at hoisting Lord Stanley's Cup in June. Back on BroadwayThe Rangers limp into the break losers of eight of their last 12 games. There is reason for optimism, however, as the Blueshirts delivered a 7-2 victory in Ottawa last time out and will play five of their next seven games on home ice. In fact, they won't travel any further west than Chicago until March 28th when they make a two-game trip to Colorado and Arizona. New York is a team I'll look to bet in the coming weeks as there's simply too much talent for it to continue to sputter the way that it has. An eight-day break could be just what the doctor ordered, especially for All-World goaltender Igor Shesterkin who has struggled to the tune of a pedestrian 2.86 goals against average and .900 save percentage this season. Rocky mountain highIt's hard to call a perennial Stanley Cup contender like the Avalanche undervalued but that's been the case lately. Colorado checks in 13-5 over its last 18 games and has been laying some very reasonable prices lately (-140 at home against the Kings last time out - a game it won 5-1). Only two teams enter the break with more points (the Canucks and Bruins) and the Avs are well withing striking distance of both, just four points back.  A word of caution, the Avs will begin a difficult six-game eastern road swing against the Rangers in Manhattan on Monday. Looking ahead they wrap up the regular season by playing nine of their final 13 games on home ice.Kane is ableIt may come as a surprise to some but the Red Wings rank second in the Eastern Conference in goals scored with 174. The addition of veteran super-scorer Patrick Kane has certainly given them a boost but he's missed six straight games due to a lower-body injury suffered on January 14th. The good news is, Kane himself has said that he should be ready to return to the lineup following the All-Star break. The 35-year old has produced 16 points in 19 games since joining the Wings in November. Detroit currently holds down the final Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference but sits just two points behind the third-place Lightning in the Atlantic Division. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 01/31/2024

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Jan 31, 2024

The Wednesday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. The National Basketball Association has ten games on its docket. Three NBA games tip off at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Chicago Bulls travel to Charlotte to play the Hornets as a 2.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 218.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Cleveland Cavaliers host the Detroit Pistons as a 12-point favorite with an over/under of 228.5. The Los Angeles Clippers play in Washington against the Wizards as a 12.5-point road favorite with a total of 237.5. The Miami Heat are home against the Sacramento Kings at 7:40 p.m. ET as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 229.5.Four NBA games tip off at 8:10 p.m. ET. The New Orleans Pelicans are in Houston against the Rockets as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 231. The Minnesota Timberwolves play at home against the Dallas Mavericks as a 13.5-point favorite with an over/under of 224.5. The Orlando Magic visit San Antonio to play the Spurs as a 5-point road favorite, with a total of 228. The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Denver Nuggets as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 229. The Phoenix Suns play in Brooklyn to play the Nets on ABC at 8:40 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 233. The Milwaukee Bucks are in Portland to play the Trail Blazers on ESPN at 10:10 p.m. ET  as a 9.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 236.5.The National Hockey League has three games on its slate. The Detroit Red Wings play at home against the Ottawa Senators at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -122 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Los Angeles Kings travel to Nashville to play the Predators on TNT at 7:37 p.m. ET as a -118 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6. The Anaheim Ducks are at home against the San Jose Sharks at 10:37 p.m. ET as a -180 money-line favorite with a total of 6.The college basketball schedule has ten games on national television. Xavier hosts St. John’s on FS1 at 6:30 p.m. ET as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 156. Two more NCAAB games tip off on national television at 7 p.m. ET. Virginia plays at home against Notre Dame on ESPN2 as a 13-point favorite with a total of 115.5. Tulsa hosts Wichita State on ESPNU as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 152. Two NCAAB games on national television begin at 8 p.m. ET. Kentucky plays at home against Florida on ESPN as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 171. Bradley is at home against Northern Iowa as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 138. Connecticut hosts Providence on FS1 at 8:30 p.m. ET as an 11-point favorite, with a total of 139.5. Two nationally-televisions NCAAB games start at 9 p.m. ET. Auburn plays at home against Vanderbilt on ESPN2 as an 18.5-point favorite with an over/under of 143. North Texas is at home against UAB on ESPNU as a 7-point favorite with a total of 133. New Mexico hosts Boise State on FS1 at 10:30 p.m. ET as a 10.5-point favorite with an over/under of 151. Saint Mary’s plays at home against Santa Clara on ESPNU at 11 p.m. ET as a 14-point favorite with a total of 136.Matchweek 22 in the English Premier League continues with three matches. Two EPL matches begin at 2:30 p.m. ET. Manchester City is at home against Burnley as a -2.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Tottenham hosts Brentford on the USA Network as a -1 goal-line favorite with a total of 3. Liverpool plays at home against Chelsea as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 3.5.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, NCAAB and EPL Previews and Odds - 01/30/2024

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Jan 30, 2024

The Tuesday sports card features NBA, NHL, NCAAB, and EPL action. The National Basketball Association has five games on its docket. The Boston Celtics are at home against the Indiana Pacers on TNT at 7:30 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 241.5. Two more NBA games tip off at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Atlanta Hawks host the Los Angeles Lakers as a 4.5-point favorite, with the total set at 246 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The New York Knicks play at home against the Utah Jazz as a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 233.5. The Chicago Bulls host the Toronto Raptors at 8:10 p.m. ET as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 225.5. The Golden State Warriors play at home against the Philadelphia 76ers on TNT at 10 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 235.5. The National Hockey League has two games on its slate. The St. Louis Blues are at home against the Columbus Blue Jackets at 8:07 p.m. ET as a -170 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Seattle Kraken travel to San Jose to play the Sharks at 10:37 p.m. ET as a -218 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.The college basketball schedule has 11 games on national television. Five NCAAB games tip off at 7 p.m. ET. North Carolina plays at Georgia Tech on ESPN as a 9-point road favorite with an over/under of 152.5. Villanova hosts Marquette on FS1 as a 1.5-point favorite, with a total of 143. TCU plays at home against Texas Tech on ESPN2 as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 149. St. Bonaventure is at home against VCU on the CBS Sports Network as a 4-point favorite with a total of 137. Five NCAAB games begin at 9 p.m. ET. Kansas hosts Oklahoma State on ESPN as a 16-point favorite with an over/under of 145.5. Colorado State plays at home against San Diego State on the CBS Sports Network as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 141.5. North Carolina State is at home against Miami (FL) on ESPN2 as a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 154. Michigan State hosts Michigan on Peacock as a 12-point favorite, with a total of 145.5. Seton Hall visits DePaul on FS1 as a 10-point road favorite with an over/under of 139.5. Gonzaga plays at home against Loyola-Marymount on ESPN at 11 p.m. ET as a 16-point favorite with a total of 152.5. Matchweek 22 in the English Premier League starts with five matches. Arsenal plays at Nottingham Forest at 2:30 p.m. ET as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Two more EPL matches begin at 2:4 p.m. ET. Everton is at Fulham in a pick ‘em match with a total of 2.5. Brighton and Hove Albion travel to Luton Town as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3. Crystal Palace is at home against Sheffield United as a -1 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Aston Villa is at home against Newcastle United on the USA Network at 3:15 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.

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Mountain West Conference Title Contenders

by Nelly's Sports

Monday, Jan 29, 2024

The Mountain West had a breakthrough season last year, putting four teams in the NCAA Tournament. Three of those teams lost their first games in the bracket to add to a miserable recent history for the league in the postseason but San Diego State made it all the way to the title game as a #5 seed to put credibility on the league. The Mountain West wound up rated better than the ACC and AAC last season and this season it appears to have the potential to be a multi-bid league again with a deep group of quality teams, currently featuring seven teams that rank as top 100 squads. The conference season is rather young with most teams having played only seven games, here is a look at the top contenders in the Mountain West for the 2023-24 season:  UTAH STATE: Utah State is the leader in the conference with a 6-1 start, but they lost by 13 at New Mexico and needed overtime for the win over Boise State. Danny Sprinkle is in his first season leading the program after taking Montana State to the NCAA Tournament the past two seasons and so far, he has held up the high standard Ryan Odom has left the past two seasons with the Aggies winning 26 games last season. This year’s team played a tougher non-conference schedule than it looks as while there are no top 50 wins, the Aggies consistently played decent quality teams and only played two games outside the top 250. Both meetings with San Diego State are still to come on the schedule as it is hard to see the Aggies maintaining the top position in the standings, so far facing the 8th most difficult path among the 11 teams. Utah State will only play Nevada once and has defeated UNLV in the only meeting this season in the unbalanced MWC draw.   NEW MEXICO: With five straight wins including a few convincing results, New Mexico is making noise as possibly the team to beat in the conference. The two early January losses came to middle-of-the-pack squads however and with the ultra-fast pace of play, cold shooting spells can happen. New Mexico is also surprisingly poor free throw shooting team. The current five-game winning streak includes notable wins over San Diego State, Utah State, and Nevada, but all three of those big wins were at home. New Mexico is just 2-2 S/U in conference road games, losing to Colorado State and UNLV. The two teams that New Mexico plays just once in the conference path are San Jose State and Fresno State, possibly the worst two teams in the conference, as if Richard Pitino’s squad delivers the title, they will do so through one of the most difficult paths in the league. In the early season numbers, the Lobos have the #2 offense and the #2 defense but the season’s final four road games will all be difficult tests as it won’t be a shock if this groups slips from contention by the end of the season.  SAN DIEGO STATE: After making it to the Final Four and the national title game last season, San Diego State has a tough act to follow. Brian Dutcher’s team has four losses already including two road losses in conference play and the Aztecs are yet to defeat any of the top contenders in the current MWC standings. San Diego State should be set for another NCAA Tournament bid however doing great work in a difficult non-conference campaign that including three wins vs. Pac-12 teams plus wins over Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga. The Aztecs could fall short of the league title this season as they will face six of the next seven games vs. the top tier of the conference and the overall draw will be one of the toughest as they face Air Force and Wyoming just once each while doubling up on all the top teams.   BOISE STATE: Boise State’s inclusion in the NCAA Tournament last season was a bit controversial and the Broncos saw an early exit in a 7-10 game vs. Northwestern after finishing in a tie for second place in the MWC standings. This year’s team has lost six games already, but all have been top 100 results. A concern for the Broncos is that both losses in a 5-2 MWC start have come at home. Boise State does have quality league wins already defeating Colorado State, Nevada, and San Diego State, and the Broncos picked up four top 100 non-conference wins as the overall strength of schedule rates strongly for Boise State. The Broncos don’t have the most favorable draw as they have just a single match with Wyoming and lost the lone meeting with UNLV already. The next three road games are at New Mexico, at Colorado State, and at Utah State, as Boise State is more likely to slip to near .500 in league play than to climb to the top in the next two weeks. This is a squad that could climb back into contention late in the season, however. Boise State’s defense has been MWC Championship caliber this season, but this has been one of the worst shooting teams so far in conference play.   WYOMING: With a ranking in the 180s, Wyoming is out of place on this list but with recent home wins over Nevada and Colorado State, the Cowboys are 4-3 and in fifth place in the current standings. Wyoming does not have a road win this season and lost three non-conference games outside the nation’s top 200 as this is not a NCAA Tournament team without a MWC Tournament title. Wyoming has looked like a team that can make some noise as an upset threat in the conference season however, particularly at home. In early February Wyoming hosts New Mexico and Utah State and with only one meeting with San Diego State already out of the way, plus only one game with Boise State this season, Wyoming may finish with a stronger conference record than the overall ratings would predict.   COLORADO STATE: Starting 9-0 and then 12-1 put Colorado State on the map as a serious MWC contender, particularly with an impressive November run that included consecutive wins over Boston College, Creighton, Colorado, and Washington. The Rams also beat New Mexico at home to open league play but have since stumbled with losses in four of the past six games to slip to 3-4 in the standings. One of the losses came at Wyoming while this squad also barely beat Air Force and UNLV in recent home games. The Rams host San Diego State this week and still have both meetings with the Aztecs remaining. The offense has good overall numbers, but the shooting percentages have fallen considerably since conference play started. Colorado State has one of the worst schedules in the conference as they play Fresno State and San Jose State just once each and will face a gauntlet of tough games in late February as a once firm position in the NCAA Tournament field may get tested down the stretch for the Rams.   NEVADA: With losses in four of the past five games Nevada’s season is slipping away as the Wolf Pack were once 15-1. Nevada didn’t play a great non-conference schedule but did pick up meaningful wins over Washington, TCU, and Georgia Tech. The conference path so far has been difficult but a break in the schedule is only having to play Utah State once this season. The past three losses have all been road games as a home heavy stretch of games in early February could get the Wolf Pack back on the map in the conference race, though Sunday’s 89-55 loss to New Mexico was not encouraging. Nevada lost by 25 in a First Four game last season as if Steve Alford’s team winds up on the bubble again they may not get the benefit of the doubt.   UNLV: UNLV isn’t on pace to match last season’s solid 19-13 season sitting at just 10-9 but the Rebels have drawn the most difficult MWC path at this point in the season and have held their own. The Rebels have wins over New Mexico and Boise State and losses to Utah State and Colorado State came by slim margins. UNLV had a stunning home loss in late January to Air Force by 32 points, simply one of the more bizarre results of the season with UNLV a double-digit favorite in that game. UNLV’s conference path includes facing Utah State and Boise State just once each, with a split in those difficult games already out of the way. UNLV will face the lesser teams in the conference in six of the next nine games as this is a squad that is likely to wind up with a winning conference record and shouldn’t be ruled out as a sleeper to climb into contention. The offensive numbers are appealing for the Rebels with a low turnover rate and strong inside scoring results with an experienced roster for Kevin Kruger. UNLV beat Creighton in December for a prominent non-conference win, but the program has a lot of work to do to boost its postseason resume already having three losses outside the nation’s top 100.  

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Big West Conference Title Contenders

by Nelly's Sports

Monday, Jan 29, 2024

The Big West is reaching the halfway point of the 2023-24 conference season with every team having completed at least nine of 20 conference games. UC Irvine and UC Santa Barbara both finished 15-5 last season and there is a tie in the standings this season as well with UC Irvine and UC San Diego both starting 8-1 in league play. UC Davis, UC Santa Barbara, and Long Beach State are the only other teams with winning records so far in league play. Here is a look at the five top contenders in the Big West conference race:  UC IRVINE: UC Irvine won the first head-to-head pairing with UC San Diego in Mid-January 76-65, rallying from an early deficit but the Anteaters will have to play at UC San Diego in late February. So far Russell Turner’s squad has played one of the weakest schedules in the conference so far to contribute to the great defensive numbers. UC Irvine has only played one of the top five teams in the current standings on the road and the result was the team’s only conference loss, falling at UC Davis. Close wins have been the norm as UC Irvin, who has not won a Big West game by more than 11 points. The offense has had turnover issues and is a mediocre shooting team as the door could open in the conference race with UC Irvine facing road games in three of the next four, including a tough game at UC Santa Barbara next week.   UC SAN DIEGO: This only the fourth season as a Division I program for UC San Diego, and this was a 10-20 team last season that went 5-13 in Big West play. Eric Olen’s squad has shown dramatic improvement, fighting through a four-game losing streak in non-conference play to turn things around with a great 8-1 start in Big West play. UC San Diego has only lost at home once all season and that was by one-point to San Diego State as the Tritons will be a threat to keep winning at home with UC Santa Barbara, UC Irvine, and UC Davis all still yet to visit La Jolla. UC San Diego has a very low turnover rate and strong shooting numbers all over the floor as currently the top offensive team in the Big West by a wide margin, even while playing a more difficult schedule than the other top contenders in the standings so far as the Tritons should have some staying power in this race.   UC DAVIS: UC Davis sits just behind the top two teams at 7-2. UC Davis did hand UC Irvine its only defeat, but it has been a series split as UC Davis lost in overtime at UC Irvine. The loss to UC San Diego was not competitive with a stunning 92-59 home loss last weekend to immediately erase the big win over UC Irvine. UC Davis has three conference wins by 20 or more points, and this has been a good defensive team, forcing turnovers at a high rate and featuring the best 3-point defense in Big West play allowing just below 29 percent shooting beyond the arc. UC Davis will be on the road in three of the next four including a trip to Santa Barbara and a trip to Hawaii as the Aggies may not remain a top threat in the Big West race. Six of nine games so far in the conference path have been home games so far for UC Davis, who will also close the season playing four of the final five on the road.   UC SANTA BARBARA: UC Santa Barbara may be lurking as a sleeper in the race after starting 0-3 in its bid to follow-up last season’s great 15-5 Big West campaign. The Gauchos have turned things around winning five of the past six including a win hosting Long Beach State and last week’s win at Hawaii by double-digits. This is the #1 effective field goal rate team in the conference and has appealing numbers in many areas with a major exception in turnovers, as UC Santa Barbara ranks last in turnover rate in the Big West on both sides of the ball. That is a bit of an oddity as Joe Pasternack’s offense had the lowest turnover rate in the conference last season and four of this year’s starters were on that team. UC Santa Barbara has not played a difficult conference schedule so far as they are yet to play either meeting with UC Irvine while going 0-2 vs. UC Davis and UC San Diego with the second meetings coming up in February. Three of the next four conference games are at home for the Gauchos as it will be a big first 10 days of February to determine if UC Santa Barbara will again be a threat in the conference race.   LONG BEACH STATE: Of the top five teams in the conference standings, Long Beach State has faced the toughest schedule with five of nine league games on the road including some of the more difficult tests. The Beach are 0-3 vs. the top three teams in the standings as this hasn’t looked like a group that can rise to the top of the pack. Long Beach State as usual took on a difficult non-conference schedule and did pick up notable wins over Michigan and USC as this group may have a higher ceiling than the current trajectory suggests. Long Beach State is always a difficult matchup as one of the fastest tempo teams in the nation and Dan Monson has delivered 11 winning seasons in Big West play since taking over in the 2007-08 season. If the outside shooting numbers pick up, Long Beach State has a chance to climb back into the race, particularly with a favorable February schedule that will feature only two of the next eight games against the top five in the standings.  

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Fatigue Factor: How To Handle 2 Games In 2 Days

by Will Rogers

Monday, Jan 29, 2024

The long and busy NBA season provides numerous situations where one team is playing its second game in as many days. Knowing how to handle these back-to-back spots can be the key to a profitable season. All else being equal, a rested team will generally outperform a team playing with no rest. It's not as easy as just blindly betting on the rested team though. We need to look at a lot of other factors. Sometimes the best value comes from actually playing on the team with no rest. Knowing the answers to the following questions is a good place to start. Was the first leg of the back-to-back a win or a loss? Different teams react differently. Was the first leg of the back-to-back an "emotional" game against a division rival? Or, was it a less significant game against a non-conference opponent? Did the starters log heavy minutes in a close (Overtime?) game? Or, were they able to check out of the game early, due to it being a blowout? It's also important to recognize that not all teams react the same way to playing with no rest. Some teams are terrible in that situation while others actually seem to thrive.We can take things deeper. Some teams are fine if playing back-to-back home games OR, if playing a home game followed by an away game. But, they may struggle when playing 2 road games in 2 days. Lastly, remember to also look at totals. Some teams don't have many tendencies toward winning or losing when playing back-to-back games. However, they may tend to play high or low-scoring games.  For example, the Wizards are 7-1 to the under when playing with no rest. Memphis is 6-1 to the under. On the other hand, OKC and Milwaukee have both gone over 6 of 7 times.  Here's a list of how the teams have been doing, when playing the second of back-to-back games. (Stats are up to January 29th.) RECORDS WITH NO REST ATLANTA SU: 2-6  ATS: 1-7   O/U: 4-3-1BOSTON SU: 6-2. ATS: 5-3  O/U: 4-4BROOKLYN SU: 2-4  ATS: 2-3=1  O/U: 4-2CHARLOTTE SU: 1-6  ATS: 4-3.  O/U: 4-3CHICAGO SU: 3-5   ATS: 3-5   O/U: 4-4CLEVELAND SU: 2-4   ATS: 3-3  O/U: 4-2DALLAS SU: 4-4  ATS: 4-4  O/U: 5-3DENVER SU: 6-3. ATS: 3-6.  O/U: 5-4DETROIT SU: 2-6. ATS: 4-4. O/U: 5-3GOLDEN STATE SU: 5-3  ATS: 5-3. O/U: 6-2HOUSTON SU: 2-7  ATS: 5-4. O/U: 5-4INDIANA SU: 2-7  ATS: 2-7  O/U: 4-5LA CLIPPERS SU: 4-3   ATS: 4-3. O/U: 4-3LA LAKERS SU: 2-5. ATS: 1-5-1. O/U: 4-3MEMPHIS SU: 1-6  ATS: 3-4 O/U: 1-6MIAMI SU: 2-4  ATS: 1-4-1   O/U: 3-3MILWAUKEE SU: 6-1   ATS: 4-3   O/U: 6-1MINNESOTA SU: 3-2.  ATS: 2-3. O/U: 4-1NEW ORLEANS SU: 3-4. ATS: 4-3. O/U: 5-2NEW YORK SU: 4-5. ATS: 3-6. O/U: 4-5OKLAHOMA CITY SU: 5-2  ATS: 5-2. O/U: 6-1ORLANDO SU: 2-7  ATS:  4-5. O/U: 4-4-1PHILADELPHIA SU: 4-4  ATS: 4-4. O/U: 3-5PHOENIX SU: 5-2  ATS: 3-4. O/U: 5-2PORTLAND SU: 5-3  ATS:  6-2  O/U: 2-6SACRAMENTO SU: 2-4. ATS: 1-5. O/U: 2-4SAN ANTONIO SU: 2-5. ATS: 3-4. O/U: 5-2 TORONTO SU: 2-6  ATS: 3-5  O/U: 5-3UTAH SU: 4-4. ATS: 4-4  O/U: 5-2-1WASHINGTON SU: 0-8. ATS: 4-4  O/U: 1-7

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Around The Horn In The NBA

by AAA Sports

Monday, Jan 29, 2024

No one is really sure who said it first, but it’s often traced back to former Eagles/Broncos safety Brian Dawkins, who didn’t miss a lot of games in his career: “The best ability is availability.”NBA players and their enabler bosses spat on that statement in recent years, forcing the league to make it painful for teams to rest stars. The league’s new policies regarding post-season awards have gone a long way toward eliminating load management, and it just might give one of its brightest lights a chance at winning a second consecutive MVP trophy.Joel Embiid has played in 33 of Philadelphia’s 44 games heading into Monday night’s action at Portland, and one of those games was a 70-point (plus 18 rebounds) monster that helped change the betting odds. Beating even Wilt Chamberlain’s team scoring record (the Stilt’s best was 68) moved Embiid into the MVP favorite spot at +200.But  . . . there is the small matter of qualifying. Injuries and rest have caused Embiid to miss 11 games – or 25 percent of Philadelphia’s games this season. At that same rate, he would miss another nine or 10 of the remaining 38 games, which would make him ineligible for the MVP Iron.And don’t forget this. Embiid is a very large man and lugs a lot of weight up and down the court more than a hundred times every game. If the Sixers are going to make a deep playoff run, Embiid will have to play big-time minutes in April and May, times when he has run out of gas in the past. So do the Sixers put him on the court enough to keep him in the MVP hunt, or do they take a page out of Kawhi Leonard’s book and keep him locked and loaded for games in April, May, and maybe June?And now that the word is out, will the MVP voters factor in games played when they cast their votes? It’s interesting to note that Embiid’s major competition for the award (Denver stud Nikola Jokic +210), has played in all 46 of his team’s games this season.The Rookie of the Year will be either San Antonio big man Victor Wembanyama or Oklahoma City forward Chet Holmgren, with Wembanyama having the edge in most books despite the Spurs’ journey into the lottery and the Thunder’s rise to the top of the Western Conference. One outlier book, though (MGM), actually gives a slight edge to Holmgren.The Celtics remain the consensus favorite to win the NBA title, with most books having them at around +300. But lots of eyes have been opened by the Celtics’ losses to Denver and the Clippers. Boston was 20-0 at home before the Nuggets edged them by a bucket, and then last Saturday the Clippers came into Boston and dropped the hammer on the Celts (the final margin was 19 but the lead was 36 before Boston’s key players were pulled).File this one under the category of what always happens to a fool and his money. Just before Christmas, Draft Kings offered +100,000 odds that the Detroit Pistons, then buried in a 25-game losing streak, would not win a game for the rest of the season. Someone actually took a $40 flyer on that offer. Detroit lost three more games before the bettor had to tear up the ticket when the Pistons eked out a two-point victory – their third of the year – over Toronto. The Pistons are now 6-40 (.150 winning percentage, and would have to go 2-34 (.058 winning percentage) the rest of the way to break the mark for the worst record in NBA history – 9-73, set by the 1972-73 Philadelphia 76ers.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NBA, NHL, and NCAAB Previews and Odds - 01/29/2024

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Jan 29, 2024

The Monday sports card features NBA, NHL, and NCAAB action. The National Basketball Association has 12 games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 p.m. ET. The New York Knicks travel to Charlotte to play the Hornets as a 7.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 223.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Los Angeles Clippers play in Cleveland against the Cavaliers as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 225.5. Three NBA games start at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Boston Celtics host the New Orleans Pelicans as an 8-point favorite with a total of 232.5. The Utah Jazz are in Brooklyn to play the Nets in a pick ‘em matchup with an over/under of 233.5. The Miami Heat play at home against the Phoenix Suns as a 4-point favorite with a total of 229.5. Four NBA games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Lakers visit Houston to play the Rockets as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 227. The Sacramento Kings play in Memphis against the Grizzlies as an 8-point road favorite with a total of 225.5. The Oklahoma City Thunder are at home against the Minnesota Timberwolves as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 224.5. The San Antonio Spurs host the Washington Capitals as a 4-point favorite with a total of 240.5. The Dallas Mavericks host the Orlando Magic at 8:40 p.m. ET as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 228.5. The Denver Nuggets play at home against the Milwaukee Bucks at 9:10 p.m. ET as a 4-point favorite with a total of 239.5. The Philadelphia 76ers are in Portland to play against the Trail Blazers at 10:10 p.m. ET as a 9-point road favorite with an over/under of 224.5.The National Hockey League has one game on its slate. The Ottawa Senators are at home against the Nashville Predators at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -112 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5.The college basketball schedule has four games on national television. Two games on national television begin at 7 p.m. ET. Duke visits Virginia Tech on ESPN. The Blue Devils come off a 72-71 victory against Clemson last Monday. The Hokies are on a three-game winning streak after their 91-67 victory against Georgia Tech on Saturday. Duke is a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 146.Boston University plays at Holy Cross on the CBS Sports Network. The Terriers ended a three-game losing streak with a 62-48 victory at  Lafayette on Saturday. The Crusaders lost their second game in a row with their 78-72 loss to Lehigh on Saturday. Boston University is a 4-point road favorite with a total of 135.5.Two more NCAAB games are on national television at 9 p.m. ET. Houston is at Texas on ESPN. The Cougars are on a four-game winning streak after their 74-52 victory against Kansas State as a 15-point favorite on Saturday. The Longhorns had won two games in a row before their 84-73 loss at BYU as a 7.5-point underdog on Saturday. Houston is a 5-point road favorite with an over/under of 129.Bethune Cookman hosts Alcorn State on ESPN2. The Wildcats won for the third time in their last four games in an 82-74 upset victory against Jackson State as a 3.5-point underdog on Saturday. The Braves are on a two-game winning streak after their 76-67 victory at Florida A&M as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday. Bethune Cookman is a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 152.5.

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