Articles

One of College Football's Toughest Encores

by Tom Stryker

Friday, Oct 27, 2023

Huge upsets are a part of college football.  They happen every year and they’re hard to predict.  Emotionally, the team that pulls off the shocking defeat is usually on “Cloud 9” all week long and difficult to ground. With that thought in mind, I didn’t want to look at schools coming off a stunning straight up home dog win.  Instead, I wanted to pay special attention to those squads that went on the road as big underdogs and left a hostile environment with the “W”.  Here’s what I discovered. Since 1980, PLAY AGAINST any college home underdog or favorite of -3 or less provided they take the field off exactly one straight up win as a conference road dog of +10 or more in their last game.  43-Year ATS Record = 92-53-5 ATS for 63.4 percent  This Week’s Play = NEW MEXICO Here we have an emotionally spent college football team that is competitively priced coming off one of their biggest victories of the season.  Even the sound of that makes me want to fade the team coming off the upset win.  There is validity to that statement, too.  As you know, college football is all about emotion.  Once you pull off a massive upset on the conference road, it has to be difficult to carry that same level of play to the next game especially matched up against a quality opponent.  This system proves that theory right.  Last Saturday, Nevada (+11.5) strolled into California and upset San Diego State by the final of 6-0.  That means head coach Ken Wilson and his troops apply to this negative angle. There is one strong tightener that can be added to this general situation that makes it even more profitable.  If our “play against” guest is tackling a foe that carries a won/loss percentage of .425 or better, this system drops to a stiff 37-78-4 ATS.  The Wolfpack are facing a Lobos bunch that holds a team won/loss percentage of .428 and they apply to this special parameter. Good luck with New Mexico on Saturday!  Go Lobos!

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, NCAAF, NBA, NHL, and EPL Previews and Odds - 10/27/2023

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Oct 27, 2023

The Friday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, NBA, NHL, and EPL action.The ninth week in NCAAF college football continues with the one game. Florida Atlantic travels to Charlotte on ESPN2 at 7:30 PM ET. The Owls had their two-game winning streak end with a 36-10 loss at home to UTSA as a 2.5-point underdog last Saturday. The 49ers were on a five-game losing streak before their 10-7 upset victory at East Carolina as a 6-point underdog on Saturday. FAU is a 4-point road favorite, with the total set at 43 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Major League Baseball continues its postseason with Game 1 of the World Series on Fox at 8:03 PM ET. Texas hosts Arizona, with the Rangers sending out Nathan Eovaldi to pitch against the Diamondbacks Zac Gallen. The Rangers are a -170 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The National Basketball Association has 11 games on its docket. Two NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Charlotte Hornets play at home against the Detroit Pistons as a 4-point favorite with a total of 225.5. The Denver Nuggets are in Memphis to play the Grizzlies as a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 225.5. Three NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. The Atlanta Hawks host the New York Knicks as a 2-point favorite with a total of 230.5. The Boston Celtics play at home against the Miami Heat on ESPN as a 7.5-point favorite with an over/under of 217.5. The Cleveland Cavaliers are at home against the Oklahoma City Thunder as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 226.5. Two NBA games begin at 8:10 PM ET. The Chicago Bulls host the Toronto Raptors as a 2-point favorite with an over/under of 218. The San Antonio Spurs play at home against the Houston Rockets as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 227.5. The Dallas Mavericks are at home against the Brooklyn Nets at 8:40 PM ET as a 6-point favorite with an over/under of 228.5. The Los Angeles Clippers visit Utah to play the Jazz at 9:40 PM ET as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 230.5. Two more games complete the NBA card at 10:10 PM ET. The Orlando Magic play in Portland against the Trail Blazers as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 223.5. The Sacramento Kings host the Golden State Warriors on ESPN as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 239.5. The National Hockey League has six games on its slate. The Vegas Golden Knights play at home against the Chicago Blackhawks at 6:07 PM ET as a -325 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. Three more NHL games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. The Carolina Hurricanes are at home against the San Jose Sharks as a -360 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The New Jersey Devils host the Buffalo Sabres as a -192 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Washington Capitals play at home against the Minnesota Wild as a -115 money-line favorite with a total of 6. Two games complete the NHL card at 10:07 PM ET. The Los Angeles Kings play in Arizona against the Coyotes as a -135 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Vancouver Canucks are at home against the St. Louis Blues as a -180 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. Week 21 in the Canadian Football League begins with one game. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are in Calgary to play the Stampeders as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 46.5.Matchweek 10 in the English Premier League begins with one match. Tottenham travels to Crystal Palace at 3 PM ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite at BetMGM with a total of 2.5.

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College Football Top 10 Poll - Week 9

by Wayne Root

Thursday, Oct 26, 2023

With the Top 10 finally almost finished with bottom feeders, the cream will start to come to the top in conference play.    1. Michigan  Michigan has looked like the most dominant team in the country this year, as the Wolverines have won their first eight games by an average of 29.5 points. Quarterback J.J. McCarthy is the betting favorite to win the Heisman Trophy — his 92.6 grade leads all quarterbacks in the country. The Wolverines’ defense has been sensational this year and J.J. McCarthy leads an offense that rarely makes mistakes. Michigan’s next opponent after the bye is Purdue, the No. 69 team in that ranking. Then, the Wolverines close out the regular season with three straight top-40 opponents in Penn State, Maryland and Ohio State. For now, Washington, Ohio State and Florida State have all proven themselves, we’re still waiting on that from UM. Next Opponent: WEEK 9 BYE 2. Georgia Georgia enjoyed its bye week before beginning the most brutal stretch of its season. Over the next four weeks, the defending national champs must face Florida, Missouri, Ole Miss and Tennessee. All four are currently in the top 30 of PFF’s power rankings. The Brock Bowers injury is a massive blow for the Georgia Bulldogs offense.Making the next month even more challenging is the fact that the Bulldogs’ star, tight end Brock Bowers, will miss the next three to five weeks with ankle surgery. We still think Georgia has a great shot at making the CFP, but those looming tests against Missouri, Ole Miss and Tennessee look much tougher now. Next Opponent: Florida vs Georgia  3. Ohio St  As evidenced by their final scores, the defense leads the way in Columbus. The Buckeyes are currently fourth in the country in expected points allowed per play. Even in a matchup against one of the best defenses in the nation, Marvin Harrison Jr. (162 yards, 1 TD), Cade Stover (70 yards) and Miyan Williams (62 yards, 1 TD) came through with big plays on scoring drives. The Buckeyes boast the best resume in college football. Ohio State most recently took down then-No. 7 Penn State 20-12 this past Saturday. This is in addition to a 17-14 road victory over then-ninth-ranked Notre Dame. Great defense!! Next Opponent: Ohio State @ Wisconsin 4. Florida St Two of the teams FSU beat, LSU and Duke, remain in the top 25 of this ranking. Florida State Seminoles quarterback Jordan Travis might not have the numbers of a Heisman Trophy candidate, but he has more signature wins than anyone in the mix.Travis is picking up right where he left off a year ago. The sixth-year senior’s 86.8 grade this season is a top-15 mark among all quarterbacks in the country. He led FSU to another top-25 win, further demonstrating why they belong in the College Football Playoff. Next Opponent: Florida State vs Wake Forest  5. Washington  The Washington Huskies can only consider themselves lucky they won on Saturday. Washington’s normally elite offense didn’t score a single touchdown and then-Heisman frontrunner Michael Penix Jr. posted just a 48.0 grade, his worst performance over his two years in Seattle. Washington barely survived its hangover this week. The Huskies beat Arizona State 15-7 despite entering the contest as 28-point favorites. Was this a letdown? Perhaps this was just an instance of the Huskies letting their guard down after beating the Oregon Ducks, but it nearly proved devastating to their playoff hopes. Washington has a get-right game in Week 9. Next Opponent: Washington vs Stanford  6. Oklahoma  Oklahoma endured a scare from UCF on Saturday, as the Sooners trailed with fewer than 10 minutes left before escaping with a 31-29 victory. Escaping with a two-point victory over 3-4 UCF isn’t a good look for the Oklahoma Sooners. The defense looked more reminiscent of last season’s unit, allowing nearly 400 total yards. Fortunately for the Sooners, Dillon Gabriel came through once more in a big moment. Oklahoma’s offense has been incredibly efficient this season, placing seventh nationally in EPA per play. Next Opponent: Oklahoma vs Kansas  7. Texas The Texas Longhorns rarely like to make it easy on themselves and Week 8 wasn’t to different. Like the two teams preceding them, Texas nearly lost to an unranked opponent but prevailed for the victory. The Longhorns made a crucial stop on the 10-yard line to take down Houston 31-24. Texas starting quarterback Quinn Ewers suffered a Grade 2 AC joint sprain to his throwing shoulder and will “miss some time”. Fortunately for Texas, the best version of Quinn Ewers showed up and it’s because of him that the Longhorns’ playoff hopes aren’t evaporating heading into the final weekend in October. However, the whole nation is eager to see if his backup, 2023 No. 1 overall recruit Arch Manning, makes his debut. Next Opponent: BYU vs Texas 8. Alabama  Jalen Milroe continues to prove that he’s the right man for the job in Alabama’s quarterback room. Since being benched against USF, the redshirt sophomore’s 90.1 grade trails only Jayden Daniels and J.J. McCarthy among Power Five quarterbacks.If the version of the Alabama Crimson Tide from the second half against Tennessee sticks, Nick Saban’s team is back in the playoff picture. Last week, after going down 20-7 at halftime, Alabama scored 27 unanswered in the second half to take down then-No. 17 Tennessee. Far more importantly in advance of a matchup against LSU, the Crimson Tide’s defense looked better than we’ve seen in some time. Next Opponent: LSU vs Alabama 9. Oregon Oregon’s offense continued to show why it’s the most efficient in college football with a 38-24 victory over Washington State on Saturday. The Ducks averaged 7.8 yards per rushing attempt and 11.7 yards per pass attempt in the win. However, performances like that one certainly won’t help the Oregon Ducks climb back up the college football rankings, but they did enough to win. With Bo Nix missing a few more throws than usual, Bucky Irving led the way for the Ducks’ offense. Oregon will need to clean things up offensively as it prepares to face the Utah Utes defense. That offense will be tested this week against our 11th team on this ranking, Utah. The Utes are currently 11th in the Power Five in EPA per play and are coming off a statement 34-32 win over then-No. 18 USC. Next Opponent: Oregon @ Utah 10. Ole Miss Ole Miss deserves more love for what it’s accomplished this season. Lane Kiffin can thank Quinshon Judkins and Tre Harris for saving the day and pushing Ole Miss into the top 10. The Rebels have beaten two teams that are currently in the top 25 in LSU and Tulane, the former being in the top 15. Ole Miss’ only loss was on the road to a top-10 team in Alabama. Jaxson Dart has been the star for the Rebels as his 91.5 grade is tied for fifth among FBS quarterbacks. Next Opponent: Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NHL Previews and Odds - 10/26/2023

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Oct 26, 2023

The Thursday sports card features NFL, NCAAF, NBA, and NHL action.Week 8 of the NFL regular season kicks off with the Buffalo Bills hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Amazon Prime at 8:15 PM ET. The Bills lost for the second time in their last three games with their 29-25 upset loss at New England as an 8.5-point favorite last Sunday. The Buccaneers have lost two games in a row, with their 16-13 upset loss at home to Atlanta as a 3-point favorite on Sunday. Buffalo is a 9-point favorite, with the total set at 43.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The ninth week in NCAAF college football continues with two games on national television between FBS opponents at 7:30 PM ET. Virginia Tech plays at home against Syracuse on ESPN. The Hokies won for the second time in their last three games with a 30-13 victory against Wake Forest as a 1-point favorite on October 14th. The Orange are on a three-game losing streak after their 41-3 loss at Florida State as a 19-point underdog two Saturdays ago on October 14th. Virginia Tech is a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 47.Georgia Southern is at home against Georgia State on ESPN2. The Eagles won for the third time in their last four games in a 38-28 victory UL-Monroe as a 16.5-point favorite last Saturday. The Panthers have won two games in a row with their 20-17 upset victory at Louisiana-Lafayette as a 3-point underdog on Saturday. Georgia Southern is a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 63. The National Basketball Association has two games on its docket on TNT. The Milwaukee Bucks host the Philadelphia 76ers at 7:30 PM ET as a 6.5-point favorite with an over/under of 225. The Los Angeles Lakers play at home against the Phoenix Suns at 10 PM ET as a 6-point favorite with a total of 223.5. The National Hockey League has 11 games on its slate. Six games drop the puck at 7:07 PM ET. The Colorado Avalanche travels to Pittsburgh to play the Penguins as a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Tampa Bay Lightning are at home against the San Jose Sharks as a -298 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Boston Bruins host the Anaheim Ducks as a -310 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Carolina Hurricanes play at home against the Seattle Kraken as a -198 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Winnipeg Jets plays at Detroit against the Red Wings as a -118 moneyline road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Montreal Canadiens are at home against the Columbus Blue Jackets as a -120 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. Two NHL games start at 7:37 PM ET. The New York Islanders host the Ottawa Senators as a -125 money-line with an over/under of 6. The Minnesota Wild are in Philadelphia to play the Flyers as a -125 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Dallas Stars play at home against the Toronto Maple Leafs at 8:07 PM ET as a -125 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. Two games conclude the NHL card at 9:07 PM ET. The Calgary Flames are at home against the St. Louis Blues as a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 6. The New York Rangers visit Edmonton to play the Oilers as a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. 

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NHL Off the Post: October 25th

by Sean Murphy

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2023

We're more than a couple of weeks into the 23-24 NHL season and you could argue that things have gone as expected so far with the Bruins, Rangers, Avalanche and Golden Knights leading their respective divisions. Here's a look at some news and notes from around the league as we approach the end of October.Capital punishment?Washington currently brings up the rear in the Metropolitan Division having collected just three of a possible 10 points through five games. The Capitals essentially stood pat in the offseason leaving their veteran corps intact for one more run at the Stanley Cup. You have to figure they'll be sellers if things continue to go poorly. Alexander Ovechkin's chase for the all-time goal-scoring record has hit a speedbump as he has produced just one goal this season. He did fire 14 shots on goal in Tuesday's loss to the Maple Leafs and found the back of the net once so perhaps a sign of things to come from the Great 8. Winged wheel keeps on turningThe Red Wings have been one of the upstart teams in the early going this season, jumping out to a fast 5-1-1 start. In fact, Detroit leads the league in scoring with 34 goals. Alex DeBrincat looks like he's found a home in Detroit (he was born in nearby Farmington Hills) as he has compiled 13 points through seven games with his new team - his third different team in as many years. Of note, the Red Wings won't play a game outside of the Eastern time zone until December 11th, when they begin a two-game road trip in Dallas. The end of an era?It's probably far too premature to say given the ups and downs of a long 82-game NHL season but the Penguins once again look like they're nearing the end of their Stanley Cup window with Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin at the forefront. That's not to say those two veteran stars have struggled but simply that the Pens don't seem to have the right mix, yet again, as they look to return to prominence. Pittsburgh has dropped four of its first six games and looked outmatched against one of the league's better up-and-coming teams in the Stars on Tuesday (similarly to how Pittsburgh looked against Detroit last week). The Pens have produced only 17 goals in six games. Oil shortageEntering the campaign, Edmonton was considered to be a top contender to hoist Lord Stanley's Cup in June but things have not gone well for the Oilers so far, on multiple fronts. Edmonton checks in just 1-4-1 out of the gates and recently lost superstar Connor McDavid to an injury that could keep him out of the lineup for a number of weeks. In their first game without McDavid the Oilers dropped an ugly 7-4 decision in Minnesota on Tuesday. Scoring isn't likely to be an issue as long as Leon Draisaitl remains healthy but Edmonton's back-end has proven to be extremely leaky as it has yielded 27 goals this season. Only Carolina has given up more (33). A four-game homestand is on deck so perhaps that will help the Oilers settle down as November approaches. Toothless SharksHow bad have the San Jose Sharks been so far this season? Not only have they managed to collect just one point in six games but they've lit the lamp only eight times while allowing 23 goals - good for a league-worst -15 goal differential. You would have to go back four games to find the last time San Jose managed to score more than a single goal and that came in a 6-3 defeat against the struggling Hurricanes. Already 0-2 on their current road trip they'll have to navigate three games in four nights on the east coast beginning Thursday in Tampa. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, NBA, NHL and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 10/25/2023

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Oct 25, 2023

The Wednesday sports card features NCAAF, NBA, NHL, and UEFA Champions League action.The ninth week in NCAAF college football continues with two games on national television between FBS opponents. Jacksonville State travels to Florida International on the CBS Sports Network at 7 PM ET. The Jaguars won for the fourth time in their last five games with their 20-17 upset victory against Western Kentucky as a 7.5-point favorite last Tuesday. The Golden Panthers were on a three-game losing streak before their 33-27 upset win at Sam Houston State as a 5-point underdog on Wednesday. Jacksonville State is an 8-point road favorite with a total of 46.5. Sam Houston State hosts UTEP on ESPN2 at 8 PM ET. The Bearkats remained winless in their seven games this year after their upset loss to FIU last week. The Miners lost for the fifth time in their last six games with their 28-7 loss at New Mexico State as a 2.5-point underdog on Wednesday. Sam Houston State is a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 36.5. The National Basketball Association has 12 games on its docket. Four NBA games tip off at 7:10 PM ET. The Atlanta Hawks play at Charlotte against the Hornets as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 235.5. The Indiana Pacers play at home against the Washington Wizards as a 7-point favorite with a total of 235. The Boston Celtics are in New York to play the Knicks on ESPN as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 224. The Orlando Magic are at home against the Houston Rockets as a 4-point favorite with a total of 222.5. Three NBA games start at 7:40 PM ET. The Cleveland Cavaliers visit Brooklyn to play the Nets as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 221. The Miami Heat host the Detroit Pistons as a 9-point favorite with a total of 219. The Minnesota Timberwolves play in Toronto against the Raptors as a 1-point road favorite with an over/under of 227. Two NBA games begin at 8:10 PM ET. Oklahoma City plays in Chicago against the Bulls as a 1-point road favorite with a total of 227.5. The Memphis Tigers are at home against the New Orleans Pelicans as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 227. The Sacramento Kings are in Utah to play the Jazz at 9:10 PM ET as a 1.5-point road favorite with a total of 237. The Dallas Mavericks play in San Antonio on ESPN at 9:40 PM ET as a 3.5-point road favorite, with an over/under of 229.5. The Los Angeles Clippers host the Portland Trail Blazers at 10:40 PM ET as a 9-point favorite with a total of 227. The National Hockey League has one game on its slate. The New Jersey Devils play at home against the Washington Capitals at 7:37 PM ET as a -238 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. Matchday 3 in the UEFA Champions League concludes with eight group-stage matches. Two matches start at 12:45 PM ET. Feyenoord is at home against Lazio as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Barcelona hosts Shakhtar Donetsk as a -2 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Six more UCL matches start at 3 PM ET. Atletico Madrid travels to Celtic on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Paris Saint-Germain plays at home against AC Milan as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Newcastle United is at home against Borussia Dortmund as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. RB Leipzig hosts Crvena Zvezda as a -2 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.5. Manchester City plays at the Young Boys as a -2 goal-line road favorite with a total of 3. FC Porto is at Antwerp as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite, with an over/under of 2.5. All eight Champions League matches are available on Paramount+.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB, NBA, NHL and UEFA Champions League Previews and Odds - 10/24/2023

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Oct 24, 2023

The Tuesday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, NBA, NHL, and UEFA Champions League action.The ninth week in NCAAF college football begins with two games on national television between FBS opponents. Louisiana Tech hosts New Mexico State on the CBS Sports Network at 7 PM ET as a 2.5-point favorite, with the total set at 52 (all odds from BetMGM unless indicated otherwise). Liberty travels to Western Kentucky on ESPNU as a 5-point road favorite with an over/under of 61.5. Major League Baseball continues its postseason with one game in the National League Championship Series. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Arizona Diamondbacks on TBS and truTV at 8:07 PM ET. The Diamondbacks forced Game 7 of that series with their 5-1 victory on Tuesday. The Phillies send out Ranger Suarez to pitch against Arizona’s Brandon Pfaadt. Philadelphia is a -166 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The National Basketball Association season tips off with two games on TNT. The Denver Nuggets play at home against the Los Angeles Lakers at 7:30 PM ET as a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 228. The Golden State Warriors are at home against the Phoenix Suns at 10:00 PM ET as a 1-point favorite with a total of 234.5. The National Hockey League has 16 games on its slate. The Toronto Maple Leafs play in Washington against the Capitals on ESPN at 6 PM ET as a -170 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Columbus Blue Jackets host the Anaheim Ducks at 6:30 PM ET as a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Ottawa Senators play at home against the Buffalo Sabres at 6:45 PM ET as a -155 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Carolina Hurricanes are in Tampa Bay Lightning at 7 PM ET as a -125 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The New Jersey Devils visit Montreal to play the Canadiens at 7:15 PM ET as a -230 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Dallas Stars play in Pittsburgh against the Penguins at 7:30 PM ET as a -115 money-line road favorite with a total of 6.5. The Florida Panthers are at home against the San Jose Sharks at 7:45 ET as a -278 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Colorado Avalanche are in New York to play the Islanders at 8 PM ET  as a -142 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Detroit Red Wings host the Seattle Kraken at 8:15 PM ET as a -142 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Boston Bruins travel to Chicago to play the Blackhawks on ESPN at 8:30 PM ET as a -225 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Winnipeg Jets play at home against the St. Louis Blues at 8:45 PM ET as a -180 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6. The Minnesota Wild are at home against the Edmonton Oilers at 9 PM ET as a -120 money-line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Nashville Predators host the Vancouver Canucks at 9:15 PM ET as a -115 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The New York Rangers play in Calgary against the Flames at 9:45 PM ET as a -125 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. The Los Angeles Kings play at home against the Arizona Coyotes at 10:30 PM ET as a -205 money-line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Vegas Golden Knights are at home against the Philadelphia Flyers on ESPN as a -238 money-line favorite with a total of 6. Matchday 3 in the UEFA Champions League begins with eight group-stage matches. Two matches start at 12:45 PM ET. Bayern Munich is at Galatasaray as a -1.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3.5 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). Inter Milan hosts RB Salzburg as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3. Six matches conclude the UCL card at 3 PM ET. Manchester United plays home against FC Copenhagen as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3. Arsenal visits Sevilla as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. PSV Eindhoven plays at Lens in a pick ‘em match with a total of 2.5. Real Madrid is at Sporting Braga as a -1 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 3. Napoli travels to Union Berlin on the CBS Sports Network as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Benfica is at home against Real Sociedad as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. All eight Champions League matches are available on Paramount+.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, MLB, NHL and EPL Previews and Odds - 10/23/2023

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Oct 23, 2023

The Monday sports card features NFL, MLB, NHL, and EPL action.Week 7 in the NFL concludes with the San Francisco 49ers traveling to Minnesota to play the Vikings on ABC and ESPN along with Manningcast on ESPN2. The 49ers had their five-game winning streak end in a 19-17 upset loss at Cleveland as an 8.5-point underdog last Sunday. Quarterback Brock Purdy completed 12 of 27 passes for 125 yards in the losing effort. San Francisco maintains a 5-1 record on the season. The Vikings have won two of their last three games after a 19-13 win at Chicago as a 3-point favorite on Sunday. The Vikings got outgained by a 275 to 250 margin yet used a +2 net turnover margin and a 42-yard fumble recovery returned for the touchdown for the upset victory. The Vikings have a 2-4 record on the year. The 49ers are a 6.5-point road favorite with the total set at 43. Major League Baseball continues its postseason with two games. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Arizona Diamondbacks on TBS at 5:07 PM ET. The Phillies took a 3-2 lead in the National League  Championship Series with their 6-1 victory against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. Aaron Nola takes the ball for Philadelphia to face Merrill Kelly for the Diamondbacks. Philadelphia is a -180 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.The Houston Astros play at home against the Texas Rangers on Fox and FS1 at 8:03 PM ET. The Rangers evened this series at 3-3 with their 9-2 victory on Sunday. The Astros turn to Cristian Javier to pitch against the Rangers Max Scherzer. Houston is a -125 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The National Hockey League has one game on its slate. The Buffalo Sabres are at home against the Montreal Canadiens at 7:37 PM ET. The Sabres have won two of their last three games with their 3-1 victory against the New York Islanders on Saturday. The Canadiens won for the second time in their last three games in their 3-2 win against Washington on Saturday. Buffalo is a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 5.5.Matchweek 9 in the English Premier League concludes with one match. Tottenham hosts Fulham on the USA Network at 3 PM ET. The Hotspurs have won six of their last seven matches with a 1-0 victory at Luton Town on October 7th. The Cottagers come off a 3-1 victory against Sheffield United on October 7th. Tottenham is a -1 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.

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NBA Championship Projections

by ASA, Inc.

Sunday, Oct 22, 2023

Favorite- Boston Celtics (+380)Currently oddsmakers have four teams (Celtics, Bucks, Nuggets, Suns) as contenders for the NBA title in 2024. After winning the second most games in the regular season last year, Boston lost in the conference finals to the Heat after almost pulling off the first reverse sweep in NBA history. Brad Stevens did nothing but improve the roster during the offseason, adding Jrue Holiday and Kristaps Porzingis while keeping the duo of Jayson Tatum and Jaylen brown. Veterans Derrick White and Al Horford will also play crucial roles. Boston was top five in both scoring offense (117.9ppg) and scoring defense (111.4ppg) last year giving them the best point differential in the NBA. This balance is crucial over an 82 game season and is a huge reason why we feel Boston is the favorite to win its 18th NBA title. Milwaukee is their biggest competition in the East but the Bucks were gentlemen's swept out of the first round last year leading to some major changes. Damian Lillard was brought in to be an upgrade over Jrue Holiday, but Lillard has missed 108 games in the past four seasons, and at 33 years old he is at the latter stages of his career.Darkhorse- Dallas Mavericks (+2500)This pick really comes down to two simple factors. Can the Mavericks do enough in the regular season to make it to the playoffs, and can Luka and Kyrie stay healthy in the playoffs to make a run. Dallas might have the highest ceiling yet the lowest floor of any team in pro basketball. Good thing ceiling is all that matters in the preseason. Role players Tim Hardaway, Grant Willimas, Maxi Kleber, and Seth Curry need to take some pressure off of the two star guards. Luka is a legitimate top 5 player in the league and has the second best odds to win MVP. He will carry a heavy offensive load once again in 2023 but the Mavericks need to be more efficient both on offense and defense around Luka. Dallas had a dead even (0.0) point differential last year and will need Luka and Kyrie to both play like top 10 guards in order to make a run at the title, yet we know they are both capable of doing so. Longshot- Oklahoma City Thunder (+8500)OKC has so much young talent and only more coming in future drafts. Even with such youth, they outperformed expectations, moving up the timeline for their rebuild. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads a crew of future stars with the likes of Josh Giddey, Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgre, and Luguentz Dort. The Thunder were 5th in offense last year and 19th in defense. With further development of their young talent, both areas should improve making OKC a solid playoff candidate. Depending on the progress and chemistry, the sky's the limit for the Thunder. It was not too long ago when we saw a young KD, Russ, and Harden burst onto the superstar scene, cultivating multiple deep playoffs runs. Talent and depth are ample in OKC but they will need to develop a true identity which is tough with some many young, hungry players on the roster. A high ceiling is what is needed to win the NBA title and the Thunder have the potential for that task, it's just a matter of when they will start taking strides towards making deep playoffs runs. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, MLB, NHL, and EPL Previews and Odds - 10/22/2023

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Oct 22, 2023

The Sunday sports card features NFL, MLB, NHL, and EPL action.Week 7 in the NFL continues with 11 games. Six NFL games kick off at 1 PM ET. The Buffalo Bills travel to New England to play the Patriots as a 7.5-point road favorite, with the total set at 40 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Atlanta Falcons as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 37.5. The Las Vegas Raiders play in Chicago against the Bears as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 38. The Baltimore Ravens are at home against the Detroit Lions as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 43. The Cleveland Browns visit Indianapolis to play the Colts as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 41. The Washington Commanders are in New York to play the Giants as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 37.5. Two NFL games start at 4:05 PM ET. The Seattle Seahawks host the Arizona Cardinals as a 9-point favorite with a total of 44.5. The Los Angeles Rams play at home against the Pittsburgh Steelers as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 44. Two more NFL games begin at 4:25 PM ET. The Green Bay Packers play in Denver against the Broncos as a 1-point road favorite with a total of 45. The Kansas City Chiefs are at home against the Los Angeles Chargers as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 47.5. Sunday Night Football on NBC has the Philadelphia Eagles hosting the Miami Dolphins at 8:20 PM ET. The Eagles had won their first five games of the season before losing their 20-14 upset loss in New York against the Jets as a 6.5-point favorite last Sunday. The Dolphins have won two games in a row to raise their record to 5-1 with their 41-21 victory at home against Carolina as a 14-point favorite on Sunday. Philadelphia is a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 51.5.Major League Baseball continues its postseason with one game in the American League Championship Series. The Houston Astros play at home against the Texas Rangers on FS1 at 8:03 PM E. The Astros took a 3-2 series lead with a 5-4 win on the road against the Rangers on Friday. They turn to Framber Valdez to pitch against Nathan Eovaldi for Texas. Houston is a -120-money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The National Hockey League has two games on its slate. The Calgary Flames travel to Detroit to play the Red Wings at 5:07 PM ET as a -135 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Boston Bruins play in Anaheim against the Ducks at 8:37 PM ET as a -245 money-line road favorite with a total of 6. Matchweek 9 in the English Premier League continues with one match. Aston Villa is at home against West Ham United on the USA Network at 11:30 AM ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 3.

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NFL Top 10 Rankings - Week 7

by Wayne Root

Saturday, Oct 21, 2023

The last remaining undefeated teams went packing and the Top 10 was scrambled up in the NFL (Not For Long) League.  1. Miami (5-1) The Dolphins are in the driver’s seat in their conference, and maybe the NFL as a whole. How replicable is their meltdown loss to the Bills a few weeks back? What matters now is that no one seems able to keep pace with them. Their wins so far this season have come against five teams with a combined five wins. They will get a chance to make their case against the Eagles on Sunday night and then the Chiefs in Week 9. The Dolphins are averaging 37.17 points per game, which is on pace to be the most of any team since the Denver Broncos in 2013 and the second most since at least 2000. Their 498.7 yards per game leads the second-place Eagles by 103.7 yards per game. And Miami leads the NFL in rushing touchdowns (15) and is averaging 6.5 yards per carry, the highest average in the league since at least 2000. 2. San Francisco (5-1) Yes, they lost to the Browns, but every other team has a loss, too, and the 49ers have the best resume so far this season. Serious question: How much would Jim Schwartz be worth for a two-week consulting fee for any team that met San Francisco in the Super Bowl? The Browns’ defensive coordinator kind of owns Kyle Shanahan, who fell to 0-3 as 49ers head coach against teams whose defenses are coordinated by Schwartz. In that span, San Francisco has averaged nine fewer points per game and 0.9 fewer points per drive against Schwartz than against everyone else. On Sunday, the 49ers scored 16 points lower than their average coming into the game. Dating to Shanahan’s time as an offensive coordinator, he is 1-9 when he goes against Schwartz. As the clock struck midnight, Brock Purdy turned back into a pumpkin, and the 49ers lost to the Browns in Cleveland. Injuries eroded their vaunted receiving corps with everyone from Deebo Samuel to Christian McCaffrey leaving the game for treatment. Can Purdy sustain his previously-impressive level of play without as much help around him. They should get right against the Vikings on Monday nightbefore a massive game against the surging Bengals. 3. Philadelphia (5-1) It’s fair to point out after the Eagles’ first loss of the season that they don’t have a super impressive win. Jalen Hurts, who threw a critical interception late in Sunday’s loss, has seven interceptions on 213 pass attempts this season. Last year, he had six interceptions on 460 pass attempts for the whole season. The Eagles defense is deep and talented even without some of their best players, but this offense has some problems that the New York Jets were able to expose. Jalen Hurts was far too lax with his ball security, which has been a theme this season. On the plus side, A.J. Brown became the fifth player since 2000 to have 125-plus receiving yards in four consecutive games Sunday. His 672 receiving yards are the third most through Week 6 in the last five years in the league. They have the Dolphins coming to town this week for what should be a fascinating game. 4. Detroit (5-1) The Lions, who are 13-3 in their past 16 games, have won four consecutive games by 14 or more points, which is their longest such streak since 1969. Lions fans deserve this after so many years on the outside looking in: a fun, entertaining, and highly competent football team. They’re well on the way towards Detroit’s first division championship since 1993 — when they played in the NFC Central. The offense is leading the way, but the run defense is sneaky good (second in the NFL, allowing just 3.3 yards per carry). Detroit almost jumped Philadelphia this week because its win against the Chiefs is more impressive than anything the Eagles have done this year. (For now, we’re willing to overlook the fact that Detroit’s win against Kansas City came with both Travis Kelce and Chris Jones out.) They will get another chance for a statement win this week in Baltimore. Detroit’s defense currently ranks fifth in yards per play allowed and 10th in points per drive allowed. 5. Kansas City (5-1) Thanks to losses by the Eagles and 49ers, the Chiefs now have the longest active winning streak in the league. Still, everything just feels harder than usual on offense. Despite facing a lackluster schedule, three of Kansas City’s five wins have come by one score, and beating the Broncos 19-8 is nothing to write home about. They should get a better test this week against the Chargers. The Chiefs have only occasionally looked like the high-scoring juggernaut fans are used to fearing, which makes it all the worse that they’re already enjoying a 5-1 record. This team hasn’t even begun to hit its stride. Patrick Mahomes is 31st in the league in air yards per attempt (6.4), and the Chiefs are 29th in air yards per reception (4.6). Kansas City’s explosive play percentage (9.7) is 19th in the league, the worst of the Andy Reid era, and the Chiefs have only one win against a team with a winning record. 6. Buffalo (4-2) We would keep being skeptical about the Bills if not for that win versus the Dolphins because none of those other wins have come against good teams. The Bills got away with one Sunday night, with a plethora of errors — missed tackles, dumb penalties, blown coverage assignments, dropped passes, the works — failing to slow them down in the face of the Giants’ own ineptitude. A win is a win, but the Bills have now lost to the Jaguars and nearly lost to the Giants since crushing the Dolphins in Week 4. A trip to London might help explain those struggles, but it has been a season of high highs and low lows for a team that has lost several key players to injury. The good news is the Patriots are up next. Buffalo’s defensive injuries are troubling long term, but Josh Allen might be enough to overcome them. Since Week 2, he is second in the league in passer rating (112.9), has 12 touchdowns versus three interceptions and has completed 72 percent of his passes. 7. Dallas (4-2) Are the Cowboys for real or not? Wins against the quartet of teams they have beaten don’t exactly tell us a lot, but at least Mike McCarthy can spend his bye week thinking how smart he was to send Kellen Moore out of town. Dallas held Moore (the Chargers’ offensive coordinator) and Los Angeles Chargers to 53 rushing yards Monday night. The offense still struggles to create big plays, but the defense looked strong against a good Chargers attack. They need to figure out a better plan on offense over the bye week. The Cowboys defense sealed a win, but are we sure this offense can compete with the league’s best teams? Dallas will be in the playoff picture come January but it remains to be seen whether they’re a legit Super Bowl contender. 8. Jacksonville (5-2) The Jaguars took care of business against the Colts, but they left the game with injuries to key players including quarterback Trevor Lawrence. They’ve got a short week to prepare for Thursday night’s game with the Saints in New Orleans, but at least they don’t have to fly home first. Trevor Lawrence has 982 passing yards and five touchdowns versus two interceptions since Week 3. Half of Jacksonville’s wins have come in London, but they’ve won three in a row and took control of the AFC South on Sunday with their second win against the second-place Colts. They should be able to win this division – watch out for those Texans – but there are questions still for this offense. On the bright side, the defense has been better than expected. Note that they enter a five week schedule from hell after their game with the Saints.  9. Cleveland (3-2) The Browns pulled off one of the week’s biggest upsets without their starting quarterback or star running back. How about that? That defense now has staked its worthy claim as the best unit in the NFL, with PJ Walker doing enough in place of Watson against a 49ers team that's comparable to the Browns defensively. What a wild, weird season to date for Cleveland, ping-ponging back and forth between excellence and disaster. The 1,002 yards allowed by the Browns this season are the fewest allowed through a team’s first five games in 52 years. Sunday’s win, which came on a 41-yard missed field goal by Jake Moody with nine seconds left, was Cleveland’s first against a team that was 5-0 or better since 1969 10. Baltimore (4-2) Lamar Jackson’s 69.9 percent completion rate ranks fourth in the league and is on pace to be the best of his career. His passer rating (93) is on pace to be the third best of his career. The Ravens were in full control of their Week 6 game in London, but their rankings here is due more to other teams also slipping and sliding. Their defense got ran over at times Sunday and a more-committed opponent could take advantage of that. Their secondary had no interest matching up with Derrick Henry in the open field. The Ravens now lead the AFC North despite having the third-most lost fumbles and eighth-most dropped passes in the NFL. They need to show more on offense against a good team. They will get a chance this week against the Lions.

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NBA Futures Wager: Boston Celtics to Win 2024 NBA Championship

by Al McMordie

Saturday, Oct 21, 2023

The NBA season tips off on Tuesday, October 24, and I'm excited for several reasons.  From a sports gambling standpoint, I've ranked #1 at SportsWatchMonitor.com in NBA/College Basketball combined for each of the last 3 years.  Number 1 in 2023, Number 1 in 2022, and Number 1 in 2021.  I love handicapping basketball, and this season promises to be another great one.I'm also excited because my favorite team -- the San Antonio Spurs -- will have Victor Wembanyama in Black and Silver.  With Wemby in the fold, the Spurs have an opportunity to build something special in the coming years (though they'll be at the bottom of the pack this season).The top of the pack looks cut-and-dried.  In the West, Denver and Phoenix are the Top 2, while the Celtics and Bucks should reach the Eastern Conference Finals.  Memphis, of course, will be hurt by Ja Morant's lengthy suspension.  But I do think the Grizzlies and Timberwolves will have very good seasons, and could round out the Top 4 in the West.  Out East, Cleveland and Miami should also reach the NBA Quarterfinals.  With apologies to Phoenix, Denver and Milwaukee, I think the Celtics are the league's best team, and will win it all this year.  Boston's currently +400 at DraftKings, BetMGM and BetRivers.  I love what Milwaukee did to acquire Damian Lillard.  And Bucks pick-and-rolls with Lillard and Antetokounmpo will be a nightmare for opponents to defend.  But I didn't like the preseason drama with Terry Stotts and Adrian Griffin, which led to Stotts resigning as an Assistant Coach on the eve of the season.  I thought his prior head coaching experience (and superb offensive mind) was going to greatly help Milwaukee, especially with defense-oriented Griffin being a rookie head coach.  But now Stotts is gone, and there's a hole on the staff.  That was enough to tip the scales to Boston for me.The Celtics were an unintended beneficiary of the Jrue Holiday/Damian Lillard transaction.  Holiday was re-routed to Boston, and the Celtics now have the perfect defensive anti-dote to Lillard.  I never loved Kristaps Porzingis as a Top 2 option, but now he's #3.  And he's going to get wide open looks in the Celtics offense.  The Celtics, who often saw their offense bog down in the Playoffs, are much more versatile now, and shouldn't have that problem anymore, with big man Porzingis being able to step out and shoot from long distance, and Holiday being able to post-up defenders down low.  Take Boston at +400 to win the 2024 NBA Championship.Good luck as always,Al McMordie

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