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Big Al's Daily Angle: WNBA and NBA Summer League Previews and Odds - 07/17/2024

by Big Al Staff

Wednesday, Jul 17, 2024

The Wednesday sports card features WNBA and NBA Summer League action.The Women’s National Basketball Association has two games on its schedule. The Minnesota Lynx host the Atlanta Dream at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Lynx have lost two games in a row after their 81-74 upset loss at home to Indiana as a 5-point favorite on Sunday. They have a 16-8 record that places them in third place in the Western Conference. The Dream are on a seven-game losing streak after their 81-70 loss at Seattle as a 14-point underdog on Sunday. They are in fifth place in the Eastern Conference with a 7-16 record. Minnesota is a 7.5-point favorite with the total set at 152.5 (all odds from DraftKings). The Indiana Fever travel to Dallas to play the Wings on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Fever are on a two-game winning streak after an 81-74 upset victory as a 5-point underdog on Sunday. Their 11-14 record puts them in third place in the Eastern Conference. The Wings are on a three-game losing streak after an 87-81 upset loss to Los Angeles as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday. They have the worst record in the WNBA with a 5-19 mark that puts them in last place in the Western Conference. Indiana is a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 176.5.The National Basketball Association’s Summer League has eight games on the schedule in Las Vegas, Nevada. The Miami Heat play against the Dallas Mavericks at the Thomas & Mack Center on ESPN2 at 3:00 p.m. ET. The Heat have a 2-0 record in the Summer League while the Mavericks are 0-2. Miami is a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 183.5.The Sacramento Kings battle the New York Knicks at the Pavilion at  3:30 p.m. ET. The Kings are 1-1 so far this summer. The Knicks are 1-1. Sacramento is a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 173.5. The Toronto Raptors face the Utah Jazz at the Thomas & Mack Center on ESPN2 at 5:00 p.m. ET. The Raptors are unbeaten in their first two Summer League games. The Jazz have split their first two games. Toronto is a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 172.5. The Boston Celtics go against the Charlotte Hornets at the Pavilion at 5:30 p.m. ET. The Celtics have a 1-1 record while the Hornets are 2-0. Boston is a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 178.5. The Memphis Grizzlies challenge the Orlando Magic at the Thomas & Mack Center at 7:00 p.m. ET. Both teams have won their first two Summer League games. The Grizzlies are a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 185.5.The Phoenix Suns play the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Pavilion at 8:00 p.m. ET. Both teams are winless in their first two Summer League contests. Phoenix is a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 172.5. The Atlanta Hawks face the Los Angeles Lakers at the Thomas & Mack Center on ESPN at 9:30 p.m. ET. Neither team has yet to win one of their first two Summer League games. Atlanta is a 3-point favorite with a total of 172.5.The Golden State Warriors battle the Cleveland Cavaliers at the Pavilion at 10:00 p.m. ET. The Warriors have won their first two Summer League games. The Cavaliers are 1-1. Golden State is a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 180.5.

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UFC Fight Night Preview And Picks

by Will Rogers

Tuesday, Jul 16, 2024

UFC Fight NightLemos vs. Jandiroba Saturday, July 20th UFC Apex - Las Vegas, NVFight Night returns to the UFC Apex in Las Vegas on July 20th. The event doesn't feature the big names that will be on display at the upcoming UFC 304 in London. Yet, there are still some exciting matches. I've taken a closer look at a few of the more interesting ones. The Main Event Lemos vs. JandirobaJandiroba -135 For the second straight week, the ladies will take center stage. That says a lot about how far the women's game has come. This one should be both more competitive and more exciting than last week's 5-round decision win by Namajunas over Cortez. At 37 years old, Amanda Lemos (14-3-1) is still competing at a high level. Lemos is off a decision victory in her last fight and she's won eight of her last 10. The Brazilian has been fighting tough competition. Her only loss in the last 2 years came against Welie Zhang, one of the best in the world. Off three straight wins, 36-year old Virna Jandiroba, also of Brazil, has a 20-3 record. Jandiroba has 12 submission victories on her resume. She's never been knocked and she's never been submitted.  This should be a great battle between two quality fighters from the same country. Jandiroba is a small favorite. The total for the 5-round fight is 2.5 over -188. Lemos is tough but Jandiroba's exemplary grappling skills are likely to make the difference. The Co-Main Event Tavares vs. ParkPark -166 Jun Yong "The Iron Turtle" Park (17-6)  is off a split decision loss. The 33-year old Korean fighter had won his previous four rights. Brad Tavares (20-9) is 36-years old. He's off a loss and has dropped 3 of his past 4 fights. He's just 3-5 his past eight. To be fair, he's fought some very tough opposition. Losses came against guys like Adesanya and Du Plessis. He beat Chris Weidman less than a year ago.  The Iron Turtle would like to get this fight to the ground but Tavares typically has a pretty good takedown defense. Tavares would prefer to stay standing but Park also lands more significant strikes per minute and has a higher striking accuracy. Park is a mid-sized favorite. A look at the o/u line reveals that there is considerable juice on the over 2.5 rounds. Park's last fight was the 9th decision of his career. Considering that 17 or Tavares' 29 fights have gone the distance, you might want to lay the wood with the over 2.5 rounds. Fight Of The Night? Durden vs. SilvaDurden -118As the line suggests, this fight between a pair of promising flyweights could go either way. A native of Covington Georgia, Cody Durden (16-5) checks in off a 2nd round submission loss to Tagir Ulanbekov in December. Prior to that, he was on a four-fight winning streak. Brazilian Bruno "Bulldog" Silva (13-5-2) submitted Tyson Nam in the second frame at UFC Fight Night 221. It marked his 3rd straight victory.  Durden (33) has the grappling advantage but Silva (34) is the superior striker. Durden, who has a 4-inch height advantage, will be attempting numerous takedowns. However, Silva is quite adept with his takedown defense. Silva has had 2 previous draws and Durden has also had 1. Could this be another?  Battle Of The BigsPetersen vs. UsmanUsman -135 Mohammed Usman (10-3) doesn't possess the skills that his older brother does but he's got enough to have his way with an out of shape Thomas Petersen (8-2). Usman, 237 pounds, lost a decision in his last fight. He'd won 3 straight before that and he's never lost 2 in a row. Petersen has never won by decision and he's only won once by submission. When Petersen, 257 pounds, wins the victories almost always come by KO/TKO. But Usman has never been knocked out. Petersen seems to be another hand-picked opponent. Take Usman.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and WNBA Previews and Odds - 07/16/2024

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Jul 16, 2024

The Tuesday sports card features the MLB and WNBA action.Major League Baseball’s All-Star Game throws out the first pitch at the Texas Rangers’ Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas on Fox at 8:10 PM ET. The National League ended an eight-game losing streak against the American League with their 3-2 victory in the Fall Classic. Arizona manager Torey Lovullo taps Paul Skenes as the starting pitcher for the National League tonight. The rookie right-hander has a 6-0 record with a 1.90 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP in 11 starts for the Pittsburgh Pirates. Texas skipper Bruce Bochy counters with Corbin Burnes as the American League starting pitcher. Burnes ended the first half of the regular season with a 9-4 record along with a 2.43 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP in 19 starts for Baltimore. The American League is a -122 money-line favorite with the total installed at 7.5 (all odds from DraftKings).The Women’s National Basketball Association has four games on its schedule. The Phoenix Mercury travels to Washington to play the Mystics at 11:30 a.m. ET. The Mercury are on a two-game losing streak after their 96-69 loss at Connecticut as a 7-point underdog on Sunday. They are in fourth place in the Western Conference with a 12-12 record. The Mystics lost for the third time in their last four games in an 89-77 loss to Las Vegas as a 12.5-point underdog two days ago. They are in last place in the Eastern Conference with a 6-18 record. Phoenix is a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 168 (all odds from DraftKings). The Seattle Storm play in Los Angeles against the Sparks at 3:30 p.m. ET. The Storm are on a two-game winning streak after their 81-70 victory against Atlanta as a 14-point favorite on Sunday. Their 16-8 record puts them in a tie for second place in the Western Conference. The Sparks ended a two-game losing streak with an 87-81 upset win at Dallas as a 3.5-point underdog two days ago. They are in fifth place in the Western Conference with a 6-17 record. Seattle is a 9-point road favorite with a total of 162. The New York Liberty host the Connecticut Sun on Amazon Prime at 7:00 p.m. ET. The Liberty are on a three-game winning streak after their 81-67 victory at Chicago as a 3.5-point favorite on Saturday. Their 20-4 record is the best mark in the WNBA. The Sun won for the fourth time in their last five games after their win against Phoenix two days ago. They are in second place in the Eastern Conference with an 18-5 record. New York is a 5-point favorite with an over/under of 152.5. The Las Vegas Aces play at home against the Chicago Sky at 10:00 p.m. ET. The Aces won for the fourth time in a row after their victory against Washington on Sunday. The defending champions are in first place in the Western Conference with a 16-7 record. The Sky have lost two games in a row after their loss at home to New York. Their 9-14 record puts them in fourth place in the Eastern Conference. Las Vegas is a 13-point favorite with a total of 170.

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NFL Full Season Player Props

by ASA, Inc.

Monday, Jul 15, 2024

Will Levis Over 3399.5 Passing yards (-110)In 2023, Levis averaged 200 passing yards per game during his nine starts. If you take that mark and multiply it by the 17 games he's expected to start next season, we get 3400 yards on the dot. Tennessee made it a point to get Levis some help this offseason adding Calvin Ridley,  Tony Pollard, and using a first round pick on an offensive lineman for the second consecutive year. Sophomore progression seems likely as the Titans were bottom five in total offense last year, looking insanely stagnant at times. A more pass happy attack is in store with the departure of Derrick Henry and Tennessee has a mediocre to bad defense further encouraging higher scoring affairs in 2024. New OC Nick Holz came from the Jaguars who ranked 9th in passing yards last season (243 ypg). There is zero QB competition for the Titans so if Levis stays healthy, he will have every opportunity to fight through any struggles that come up. De’Von Achane Over 750.5 Rushing Yards (-110)As explosive as Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are in the passing game, Miami runs the ball as well as anyone in the NFL. They ranked sixth in rushing yards (136 ypg) while leading the league in yards per carry. Achane played a massive part in that efficiency, turning 103 attempts into 800 yards (7.8 ypc) in just 11 games. That explosion allows Achane to see a reduced workload or even miss some games due to injury and still be able to deliver his yardage total. If we take into account that Raheem Moster is 32 years old, having a lengthy injury history of his own, then Achane’s prop seems even more attainable. Possibly leading the Dolphins in rushing attempts, on a team that racked up over 2300 yards in 2023, Achane seems a no brainer. Marvin Harrison Jr. Over 1000.5 Receiving Yards (-110)Harrison is a physical specimen and will be Kyler Murray’s go to target from week one. Hollywood Brown departed for Kansas City, leaving no other established WR in the entire room. Harrison will be walking into 100+ targets and should have no trouble reaching the 1k mark in his rookie year. Murray’s health is the one thing to keep an eye on, but he did play in eight games after coming back from his ACL injury and remained healthy going into the offseason. With a couple highlights from upcoming training camp, Marvin Jr. will be a main topic of conversation and his prop yards may shift upwards in coming weeks. A Jamar Chase type of rookie year is well within reach for Harrison (81 rec, 1455 yards, 13 TDs), it's just a matter of health and chemistry with Murray. 

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Home Run Derby Preview and Odds - 07/15/2024

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Jul 15, 2024

The Monday sports card features the MLB Home Run Derby.Major League Baseball’s Home Run Derby takes place on ESPN at 8 PM ET at the Texas Rangers’ Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. There are several changes to the format this year.Eight competitors will take part in an opening round with the top four scorers advancing to the semifinals seeded on the results. Ties are resolved by the longest home run from the competitors in question. A competitor’s round ends after either three minutes or 40 pitches. Each hitter gets to use one timeout. Competitors are then awarded three bonus outs. A fourth out is earned by a home run of at least 425 yards in length. The semifinals operate under the same guidelines in this knockout stage between seeded opponents, except for resolving ties. If there is a tie in the semifinals or finals, then a 60-second “swing-off” will commence. If there is still a tie after that,  then there will be a three-swing “swing-off” to determine a winner. The final round operates under these guidelines, except for the length of the round. A competitor’s round ends after either two minutes or 27 pitches. Each hitter gets to use one timeout. Competitors are then awarded three bonus outs. A fourth out is earned by a home run of at least 425 yards in length. Pete Alonso is the favorite to win the Home Run Derby at +340 (all odds from DraftKings). The New York Mets first baseman has 18 home runs this season. His longest home run is 446 feet. He is a two-time winner of this event after winning in 2019 and 2021.Marcell Ozuna is listed at +400 odds. The Atlanta Braves outfielder has 23 homers this year. His longest home run of the season is 446 feet.Bobby Witt has +475 odds to win this year’s derby. The Kansas City Royals’ shortstop has 15 home runs this season. His longest home run is 468 feet. Adolis Garcia is posted at +500 odds. The Texas Rangers outfielder has 17 homers this year. His long was 428 feet. He competed in last year’s event. Gunnar Henderson is listed at +500 odds. The Baltimore Orioles’ shortstop has 27 home runs this season. His longest home run of the season is 430 feet. Teoscar Hernandez has +950 odds to win the Home Run Derby. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfielder has slammed 19 home runs this year. His long was 431 feet. Jose Ramirez is listed at +1300 odds. The Cleveland Guardians’ third-baseman has 23 homers this season. His longest home run went 436 feet. Alec Bohm rounds the list of competitors at +1600 odds to win. The Philadelphia Phillies’ third baseman has clubbed 11 homers this year. His longest home run this season is 427 feet. Globe Life Field’s dimensions are mostly balanced with slight deviations honoring historic accomplishments by former Rangers players. The left-field line is 329 feet away from home plate, with the left-field power alley being 372 feet away. Straightaway center field is 407 feet away from the plate. The deepest parts of the field are in both straightaway left and right-center field at 410 feet. The right field is 374 feet away, with the right-field line being 326 feet away from home plate.

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The 2024/25 NBA MVP Landscape

by AAA Sports

Sunday, Jul 14, 2024

To say that the 2024 playoffs were a disappointment for most of the Association’s legacy players would be an understatement of epic proportions.***LeBron James’s Lakers barely made it into the playoffs proper after winning a play-in, then got crushed (again) by the Nuggets in Round 1.***The Milwaukee Bucks and Giannis Antetokounmpo managed to win all of two games before falling, also in Round 1, to the Indiana Pacers.***The Los Angeles Clippers’ Big Three (Kawhi Leonard, Paul George and James Harden) wasn’t nearly enough against the Dallas Mavericks, with Leonard cashing in for the season after two games (both losses).***Kevin Durant couldn’t get it done in Phoenix, his Suns politely bowing out after getting swept by the Minnesota Timberwolves.***Steph Curry? His Golden State Warriors couldn’t even get past the play-in. Jimmy Butler? Banged up and cashed out in Miami.None of the above old-timer superstars made it even as far as Round 2, and collectively they put together a combined playoff record of 6-20.So is it any surprise that only one (Antetokounmpo) of the names above is anywhere near the top of the list of MVP candidates for the upcoming season? Curry is a distant 10th, but even he is a longshot at +5000. And with GS needing a jolt or two just to sniff the post-season, it’s doubtful Curry will get a lot of votes.If none of the above, then who? Let’s round up the usual suspects:NIKOLA JOKIC – He’s won it three times in the last four seasons, so the chalk understandably resides here. He’s +350, and with the injury to first-round pick DaRon Holmes out form the year with an Achilles tear, Jokic will once again log big minutes and big numbers. There is some concern that he might wear down, or that Denver will take the Miami route and sacrifice regular-season wins for playoff freshness.LUKA DONCIC – Every year Doncic is pressured to get into better shape. Maybe this will be the one off-season when he listens, after limping around in the Finals against Boston. Doncic is listed at +370, and might even be a slight favorite if the Mavs hadn’t picked up Klay Thompson, who is sure to eat into Doncic’s scoring numbers.JOEL EMBIID –The Sixers are officially in the Three Stars Club, hoping that Paul George and Tyrese Maxey can take some of the scoring load off Embiid.  If fewer minutes can keep Embiid (+600) on the court late in the season, it will be worth it in the W column and maybe end Philly’s run of playoff flops. How it all affects Embiid’s chances of getting in 65 or more games and winning another MVP award is anyone’s guess.SHAI GILGEOUS-ALEXANDER – The reality is that Gilgeous-Alexander (also +600) plays half his games in flyover country, and needs to overcome that if he is going to leapfrog past the likes of Jokic, Embiid and Doncic. SGA is the best player on the team that tied (with Denver) for the best record in the Western Conference, so the question is: What more can he do?GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO – Two questions: Has it already been four years (2020) since won his MVP? And did the Bucks cost him another shot at one by taking the bait and basically exchanging Jrue Holiday for a tired Damian Lillard? Antetokounmpo’s Bucks seem as tired as they are old. Assuming good health, Antetokounmpo’s numbers will be huge, so there appears to value at +650.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, CFL, Euro 2024 and Copa America Previews and Odds - 07/14/2024

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Jul 14, 2024

The Sunday sports card features MLB, CFL, Euro 2024, and Copa America action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Baltimore Orioles host the New York Yankees on Roku at 11:35 a.m. ET as a -118 money-line favorite with the total set at 9 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). Two more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:35 p.m. ET. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Oakland A’s. The Boston Red Sox are home against the Kansas City Royals as a -125 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.5. Four MLB games start at 1:40 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Detroit to play the Tigers. The New York Mets host the Colorado Rockies as a -200 money-line favorite at BetOnline with a total of 8.5. The Tampa Bay Rays play at home against the Cleveland Guardians as a -125 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Four MLB games begin at 2:10 p.m. ET. The Houston Astros are at home against the Texas Rangers as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Pittsburgh Pirates play in Chicago against the White Sox. The Milwaukee Brewers host the Washington Nationals as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The St. Louis Cardinals play at home against the Chicago Cubs at 2:15 p.m. ET as a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The San Francisco Giants are at home against the San Francisco Giants at 4:05 p.m. ET as a -125 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Seattle Mariners are in Los Angeles to play the Angels at 4:07 p.m. ET. Two more games conclude the MLB card before the All-Star break at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Toronto Blue Jays as a -155 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Atlanta Braves visit San Diego to play the Padres as a -180 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5.Week 6 in the Canadian Football League concludes with one game. The Edmonton Eskimos play at home against the Ottawa Redblacks on the CBS Sports Network at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 3-point favorite with a total of 50.The knockout stage of the Euro 2024 concludes with the championship match on Fox at 3 p.m. ET. Spain battles England at the Olympiastadion in Berlin, Germany. La Roja reached the finals with a 2-1 victory against France in the semifinals on Tuesday. The Three Lions advanced from the semifinals with a 2-1 win against the Netherlands on Wednesday. It's a pick ‘em match with an over/under of 2 (all soccer odds from BetMGM). The first-place match in the Copa America is on Fox at 8:00 p.m. Argentina plays Colombia at the Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida. La Albiceleste reached this championship match with a 2-0 victory against Canada in the semifinals on Tuesday. Los Cafeteros advanced from the semifinals with a 1-0 win against Uruguay on Wednesday. Argentina is a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.

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Seth Lugo: Poster Boy for the State of MLB Pitching in 2024

by Team Del Genio

Saturday, Jul 13, 2024

If there is a pitcher who embodies the state of Major League pitching in 2024, it is Seth Lugo. The right-hander has been outstanding this season with an 11-2 record, a 2.17 era, and a 1.03 whip. He has fourteen quality starts this season with five in a row going into his start on Saturday at Boston against the Red Sox.After throwing six shutout innings against Cleveland the previous Sunday, he has not allowed an earned run in two straight outings. He has a 1.46 era and a 1.00 whip in his last four starts. He induces a lot of fly balls. This season, 37.6% of the batted balls against him are fly balls to the outfield, which is up over his 35.2% career average. The danger of these fly balls is that the more that are hit into the outfield, the more that will clear the fence. Lugo gave up 19 home runs last year pitching for San Diego which was the most he had ever given up. Of course, he has spent most of the middle seasons of his career pitching out of the bullpen. Last year, he averaged 1.17 home runs allowed per nine innings, which was not much higher than his 1.05 homers per nine inning rate for his career. Yet the 13.3% fly ball-to-home run rate he gave up was the second-highest mark in his career. If there was a pitcher who could benefit from a less lively baseball coming into this year, it was Lugo. The baseballs this season seem “dead” when compared to previous years with the biggest impact being fewer home runs. The home run-to-fly ball rates are down all across the league. For Lugo, the changes are drastic. He has a 7.4% home run-to-fly ball ratio this year is the lowest mark in his career, beating his HR/FB ratio of 10.0% in 2018 when he was pitching for the New York Mets. He has only given up nine home runs, and his 0.70 home runs per nine innings allowed is the lowest of his career. Yet Lugo is not just benefitting from the changes in the baseball this year. With the influence of analytics calling on pitchers to throw as hard as possible down the center of the plate and then rely on their stuff to create movement and deception, Lugo’s diverse arsenal makes him one of the trickiest pitchers to face. The 34-year-older has always been somewhat of what used to be called a junk-baller. He was throwing five different pitches when he joined the Mets in 2016. He had a four-seam fastball that moved differently than his two-seam fastball. He had a conventional curve ball, slider, and changeup as off-speed pitches. In 2017, he added a sweeper but eventually stopped using it. Last year in San Diego when he signed as a starting pitcher, he added a sweeper and a slurve. This year, he brought back that cutter for an eighth pitch. Lugo scouts what pitches opposing hitters prefer to see and then offers the opposite type of pitch. Lugo's batted ball analytic projections are not favorable since he does not strike out enough batters to offer him a margin for error, yet that may even be changing. He struck out ten Guardians in his last start, and he has 30 strikeouts in his last four starts over 24 2/3 innings. If Lugo continues to miss more bats, he will be very tough to beat in the second half of the season.Good luck - TDG.

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Big 12 Media Days: College Football Is In the Air (Part 2)

by Vegas Writer

Saturday, Jul 13, 2024

LAS VEGAS -- Had the pleasure of being credentialed for all of the events taking place in Las Vegas the next two weeks, including a couple of days inside Allegiant Stadium for the Big 12 Media Days, along with watching USA Basketball a couple of times, and a bit of time at the NBA Summer League.Have some thoughts with this now 16-team league and where it's headed with the inclusion of four Pac-12 castoffs, that being Utah, Colorado, Arizona and Arizona State.The Utes might be the favorites to get things done, but don't be surprised to see Oklahoma State play the spoiler role for everyone, and Kansas State to make some noise.Stacked as it may seem, I don't know if this league is as good as commissioner Brett Yormack made it out to be on Day 1 of the Media Days.He placed the league in the Top 3 of all conferences, and I suppose it's hard to argue when you have 16 teams in your league, but I don't know how much better it is than the ACC.One thing is for sure as we reach the middle of July, I can smell College Football and couldn't be any more pleased with its arrival!Part 2 of my capsule look at the 16 teams in the Big 12 starts today, with last year's straight-up, against the spread and over/under numbers in alphabetical order):ARIZONA (10-3 SU, 11-2 ATS, 8-5 Under) - The Wildcats did an amazing job in winning 10 games, and appeared to be a program back on track. Unfortunately, as Arizona bolted for the Big 12, coach Jedd Fisch bolted for Washington and the Big 10. Back for the 'Cats are offensive playmakers quarterback Noah Fifita and wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan, who combined for 1,402 yards and 10 touchdowns last season. This dynamic air attack could thrive under first-year coach Brent Brennan, considering what he was able to accomplish at San Jose State."I think that's the unknown part for us joining the Big 12, is the new venues that we haven't played in yet, that our players haven't felt the crowd at some of these places or what that feels like on game day, because I think having a great home crowd kind of can impact the team," Brennan said. "I'm also excited for all these teams to come to Arizona Stadium and feel the ZonaZoo and feel our crowd and our fans and the city of Tucson and how they rally for the U of A."BAYLOR (3-9 SU, 3-8-1 ATS, 6-6 O/U) - The Bears were sitting on top of the Big 12 just two years ago, having won the conference and the Sugar Bowl en route to finishing No. 5 in the Associated Poll. Since then, life's been tough. Baylor has turned in a 9-16 mark the past two seasons, including last year's disappointing 3-9 finish. The Bears are also a less-than-impressive 6-12 against Big 12 teams the past two seasons. Needless to say, coach Dave Aranda opens the season on the hot seat. Having roughly 20 starters back will help get him started."I've seen the media poll and kind of where we are predicted to finish (12th), and so I'm excited to prove that wrong," Baylor coach Dave Aranda said. "I think in the past, past couple years, we've done that pretty successfully, both ways. So excited to get to work and to prove that we're a better team than what we are perceived as."BYU (5-7 SU and ATS, 7-5 Over) - The Cougars made their Big 12 debut last season, and had some highlight moments during Big 12 play. Nonetheless, it wasn't up to BYU standards, and with the conference up to 16 teams, and a wealth of offensive weapons across the league, the pressure is on defensive coordinator Jay Hill to strengthen a defense. The Cougars should get an offensive boost from transfer quarterback Gerry Bohanon."We've been through quarterback battles before and competition, that's at every position," BYU coach Kalani Sitake said, confirming Bohanon and Jake Retzlaff will compete. "We knew that we needed to get better at a lot of different positions, and we needed to play the best. I can't tell you that there's a deadline other than when we know, we will know. And when the player takes it - and we have a good amount of players that can play. We have four quarterbacks that have played college football. You mentioned Gerry Bohanon and Jake Retzlaff. There's also Treyson Bourguet and McCae Hillstead. They're on our team. All four of them had played college football and started games. That gives me a lot of confidence, knowing that a lot of things can happen in college football."COLORADO (4-8 SU, 7-4-1 ATS, 6-6 O/U) - There may not be another coach in a bigger spotlight this season than Deion Sanders. Be it off-field issues or on-field pressure, Coach Prime is set for a polarizing season in his second year leading the Buffs. The big question has to be with his son, quarterback Shedeur Sanders, who was sacked an NCAA-worst 56 times last season and in many eyes didn't necessarily live up to expectations. Transfers inward on the offensive line will help. But will the distractions surrounding the boisterous coach take away from the program?"I don't talk about culture that much so that wasn't me," Sanders said. "But I do talk about the consistency thereof of the goal and being consistent in whatever you do. So if you have a team that's got to be a little more physically tough, you've got to develop that. If you've got to be mentally tough, strategically satisfying, from the coaching staff's point of view, you've got to understand that. But culture, everybody's on this word, this word, and I don't understand this word one bit, and somebody gotta help me understand what that word, 'culture,' means. An environment, understanding of winning, you want that. I feel like I'm a winner. I know I'm a winner."HOUSTON (4-8 SU, 5-6-1 ATS, 5-7 Under) - A coaching change has taken place, with Willie Fritz taking over for Dana Holgorsen, hoping to fix the four-win Cougars and breathe life into the offense. Good news for Fritz is he retains quarterback Donovan Smith, who threw for 2,801 yards and 22 touchdowns last season. Smith's problem is turning the ball over, so if he plans on using his legs and being a dual-threat quarterback, he'll need to protect the ball."We've got a good stable of (running) backs," Fritz said. "I'm very impressed with those guys this spring. One of the things that we're going to do is play a lot of guys the first few weeks, kind of figure out the rotation ... which guys should be playing 50, 60 snaps, which guys should be playing 10, 20. And that'll be decided after a couple weeks because I haven't done a lot of live-action with these guys."KANSAS (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS, 7-5-1 Over) - Easy to say this team has been rejuvenated under coach Lance Leipold, having won nine games a year ago behind an electric offense. And back from last year's dynamic unit is quarterback Jalon Daniels, who missed a lot of last season, but still turned in 2,439 all-purpose yards and 25 total touchdowns. The Jayhawks could be dangerous if they start on the right foot."He continues to learn as a quarterback," Leipold said of Daniels. "I think it's well documented when he's on the field we're a lot better football team. We can be pretty explosive. And he's the leader there. I feel very good about our quarterback room as a whole. ... I'm excited to see what Jalon will do this season for us. He's doing everything that doctors, trainers, strength coaches are having him do, and I can't wait to get to August."UCF (6-7 SU, 5-7-1 ATS, 7-6 Under) - The powerful Knights impressed me in their debut season as a Big 12 member, despite an overall mark of 6-7. UCF still closed the campaign with a stellar 3-1 mark over the final month. In an always physical conference, I expect to see the Knights' ground-and-pound game led by running back RJ Harvey thrive. Harvey tallied 1,416 yards on the ground, and will be joined by dual-threat quarterback KJ Jefferson who transferred in from Arkansas. Jefferson had 2,107 yards and 19 touchdowns last year in the SEC."He definitely fits what we like to do," UCF coach Gus Malzahn said. "He's a dual-threat guy. He throws a great deep ball. You're talking about one of the more experienced quarterbacks in all of college football. Two years previous to last year, he was one of the better players, offensive players in the SEC. Last year they changed offenses, they lost some playmakers around him and all that."WEST VIRGINIA (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS, 8-5 Over) - Amazing what a hot seat will do for a coach. I wasn't sure Mountaineers coach Neal Brown was making out of the season last year, but he proved the Big 12 media wrong, as they had West Virginia ranked last in the preseason poll, but the Mountaineers won nine games. Now they bring back skill-position players quarterback Garrett Greene and running backs CJ Donaldson and Jaheim White on offense, while their defense has been upgraded with a solid transfer-in grab."The identity piece for us is something that we really spent a lot of time on really over the last 19 months of who we need to be to be successful in West Virginia," Brown said. "Feel like we found that. And our team has bought into it. And more importantly, the leadership of our team is we're going to be a tough unit that is really disciplined. They play smart football, and we do those things with an underdog mentality with a chip on our shoulder."

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, CFL and Copa America Previews and Odds - 07/13/2024

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Jul 13, 2024

The Saturday sports card features MLB, CFL, and Copa America action.Major League Baseball has 16 games on its schedule. The Los Angeles Dodgers travel to Detroit to play the Tigers at 1:10 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line road favorite with the total set at 9.5 (all odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Pittsburgh Pirates play in Chicago against the White Sox at 2:10 p.m. ET as a -148 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The St. Louis Cardinals host the Chicago Cubs in the opening game of their doubleheader at 2:15 p.m. ET. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 4:05 p.m. ET. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Oakland A’s as a -192 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Baltimore Orioles are at home against the New York Yankees on FS1 as a -135 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Six MLB games start at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Milwaukee Brewers host the Washington Nationals as a -130 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Cincinnati Reds play at home against the Miami Marlins as a -162 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. The Texas Rangers are in Houston to play the Astros as a -122 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The New York Mets are at home against the Colorado Rockies as a -225 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Cleveland Guardians visit Tampa Bay to play the Rays as a -112 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. The Boston Red Sox host the Kansas City Royals as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.Two MLB games for Fox’s regional coverage begin at 7:15 p.m. The Minnesota Twins play in San Francisco against the Giants as a -118 money-line road favorite with a total of 8.5. The Atlanta Braves are in San Diego to play the Padres with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 7. The Cardinals play the Cubs in the second game of their doubleheader at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Seattle Mariners travel to Los Angeles to play the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET as a -162 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Arizona Diamondbacks play at home against the Toronto Blue Jays at 10:10 p.m. ET as a -130 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.Week 6 in the Canadian Football League continues with one game. The British Columbia Lions are at home against the Saskatchewan Roughriders on the CBS Sports Network at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 52. The third-place consolation match in the Copa America begins at 8:00 p.m. ET. Uruguay battles Canada on FS1 at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina. Uruguay lost their semifinal match to Colombia by a 1-0 score on Tuesday. Canada lost to Argentina, 2-0, in their semifinal match on Tuesday. Uruguay is a -1 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

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CFL Football System of the Week

by Al McMordie

Friday, Jul 12, 2024

The Canadian Football League is unusual in that it has an odd number of teams.  Although this hasn't always been the case, it has since the founding of the Ottawa Redblacks in 2014.  And that expanded the number of teams from eight to nine.  The upshot is that there will always be one team which is not in action in any given week.For our system of the week, we are going to use the CFL schedule to our advantage.  What we want to do is simply play against any unrested team when it is matched up against a rested opponent.Since 2006, our rested teams have cashed 55.1% (134-109-7 ATS).Let's break our system down further to see how it does in various categories:Home:  87-82-4 ATSAway:  47-27-3 ATSFavorite:  80-74-6 ATSUnderdog:  53-34-1 ATSPK:  1-1 ATSDouble-Digit Favorite:  10-9-2 ATSDouble-Digit Underdog:  6-3 ATSWith Revenge:  37-27-2 ATSInto Revenge:  52-33-2 ATSOff Win:  65-55-7 ATSOff Loss:  67-54 ATSFoe Off Win:  77-60-3 ATSFoe Off Loss:  57-49-4 ATSOff Back-to-Back Wins:  27-31-4 ATSOff Back-to-Back Losses:  42-27 ATSFoe Off Back-to-Back Wins:  41-32-1 ATSFoe Off Back-to-Back Losses:  30-27-2 ATSConference Game:  73-61-5 ATSNon-Conference Game:  61-48-2 ATSWinning Team:  66-56-6 ATSNon-Winning Team:  68-53-1 ATSFoe Winning Team:  74-56-4 ATSFoe Non-Winning Team:  60-53-3 ATSThis system does its best work when our rested team is NOT a home favorite.  With those two criteria filtered out, our 134-109-7 ATS system moves to 70-46-4 ATS.  Also, this system does well when we eliminate rested teams off back-to-back wins, and avoid going against unrested teams off back-to-back losses.  With those two criteria filtered out, our system has gone 84-56-2 ATS since 2006 (including 50-30-1 ATS if home favorites are also eliminated).This week, our rested team is Edmonton, which is a 3-point home favorite vs. Ottawa.  The Elks do come into this game off back-to-back losses, while Ottawa is off a single loss.  So, those don't serve as negative factors.  But the Elks are a home favorite, and home favorites are a mediocre 64-63-3 ATS.  Still, I would only look at Edmonton in this game because of the rest factor.  Good luck, as always,Al McMordie

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 07/12/2024

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Jul 12, 2024

The Friday sports card features MLB and CFL action.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 p.m. ET. Detroit hosts Los Angeles with the Tigers sending out Tarik Skubal to take the mound to pitch against the Dodgers’ James Paxton. The Tigers are a -135 money-line favorite at BetMGM with the total set at 8. Philadelphia plays at home against Oakland with Ranger Suarez taking the ball for the Phillies to face Hogan Harris for the A’s. The Phillies are a -142 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8 (all other odds from DraftKings unless indicated otherwise). The Tampa Bay Rays are at home against the Cleveland Guardians at 6:50 p.m. ET. The Rays tap Taj Bradley to go against the Guardians’ Carlos Carrasco. Tampa Bay is a -135 money-line favorite with a total of 8.The New York Yankees travel to Baltimore to play the Orioles at 7:05 p.m. ET. Gerrit Cole takes the mound for the Yankees to battle Cade Povich for the Orioles. New York is a -130 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 9. Three more MLB games start at 7:10 p.m. ET. Cincinnati hosts Miami with the Reds sending out Carson Spiers to take on the Marlins’ Yonny Chirinos. The Reds are a -148 money-line favorite with a total of 9.5. New York plays at home against Colorado with Sean Manaea taking the mound for the Mets to challenge Tanner Gordon for the Rockies. The Mets are a -238 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Kansas City plays at Boston with the Royals turning to Cole Ragans to duel against a Red Sox starting pitcher yet to be named. Three MLB games begin at 8:10 p.m. ET. Houston is at home against Texas with Hunter Brown getting the ball for the Astros to pitch against Andrew Heaney for the Rangers. The Astros are a -162 money-line favorite with a total of 8. Chicago hosts Pittsburgh with the White Sox tapping Garrett Crochet to battle against a Pirates starting pitcher yet to be determined. Milwaukee plays at home against Washington with Freddie Peralta pitching for the Brewers and going against Jackson Rutledge for the Nationals. The Brewers are a -225 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The St. Louis Cardinals are at home against the Chicago Cubs at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Cardinals tap Sonny Gray to duel against the Cubs Kyle Hendricks. St. Louis is a -200 money-line favorite at BetMGM with a total of 8.The Seattle Mariners are on the road against Los Angeles against the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET. Bryan Woo gets the ball for the Mariners to go against Tyler Anderson for the Angels. Seattle is a -155 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Two more MLB games start at 9:40 p.m. ET. Arizona hosts Toronto with the Diamondbacks turning to Ryne Nelson to duel against the Blue Jays’ Yariel Rodriguez. The Diamondbacks are a -125 money-line road favorite with a total of 9. Atlanta visits San Diego with Spencer Schwellenbach taking the hill for the Braves to face Randy Vasquez for the Padres. The Braves are a -125 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Minnesota Twins play in San Francisco against the Giants at 10:15 p.m. ET. The Twins tap Joe Ryan to pitch against the Giants’ Kyle Harrison. Minnesota is a -135 money-line road favorite with a total of 7.5.Week 6 in the Canadian Football League continues with one game. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers play at home against the Calgary Stampeders at 8:30 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 48.

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