Articles

CFB Home Teams Leading The Way: Will It Continue?

by Kyle Hunter

Monday, Sep 29, 2025

Five weeks are already in the rear view in the college football season. The season moves by very quickly! Home teams are 189-167 ATS (53.1% ATS) so far this season. Home favorites are 53.6% ATS so far this season. Home underdogs are 51.2% ATS on the season. Favorites have a 52.5%-47.5% ATS edge over underdogs thus far.Will the home teams continue to cover at a high rate or will see regression to the mean the rest of the way? I would guess the latter will be coming as we move forward. If you go back 20 years with a sample size of about 15,000 games the road team has a 50.9% ATS cover rate in college football. Even in the very long term, the best four weeks for the home teams on an against the spread basis has been the first four weeks of the season. Road teams have been much better against the spread late in the season.Road favorites late in the season have been very strong. In fact, road favorites of 14 points or more in game nine or later of the season are a little north of 56% ATS. We have a little ways to go before anyone reaches game nine, but it shows that road teams have often turned the tide when we get deeper into the season.I still believe that home field advantage is a bit overvalued for quite a few college football teams. As a fun exercise- let’s see which teams have performed best ATS on the road in the last 20 years? Northern Illinois is 75-45 ATS on the road. Ball State is 77-47 ATS on the road. Ohio State is 55-34 ATS on the road. Vanderbilt is 63-42 ATS on the road. On the flip side- who are the worst teams ATS on the road? Colorado is a miserable 38-66 ATS on the road. USC is 45-64 ATS on the road. Kansas is 40-62 ATS on the road.I look for regression to the mean and road teams to start covering the spread at a higher rate in college football overall. 

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NL Wild Card Starting Pitching Possibilities

by Nelly's Sports

Monday, Sep 29, 2025

The MLB wild card matchups are set with three packed days of action Tuesday to Thursday in four best of three series without travel this week. Here is a look at the National League pairings and the starting pitching considerations this week.  NL WILD CARD San Diego Padres at Chicago Cubs  San Diego Padres Nick Pivetta – Always a strong strikeout producer, Pivetta reigned in his home run risk this season for an outstanding campaign in his first season in San Diego, posting a 2.87 ERA after never having an ERA below 4.00 for a full season in his previous eight seasons. Pivetta’s only career postseason innings came with the Red Sox in 2021, and he had a 2.64 ERA over three starts. His Wrigley Field starts have gone poorly in his career with a 7.88 ERA in two starts but one of those starts was back in 2018. He allowed four runs and 10 hits in nine innings vs. the Cubs this season but these teams last met in April.  Dylan Cease – After being involved in several trade deadline rumors, Cease remained with the Padres and had strong late season returns with a 3.12 ERA in September. Cease had a 5.58 ERA in his road innings this season however and while he has an 11.5 K/9 while his 4.55 ERA was marginal, and walks can be an issue. Cease has made four postseason appearances in his career and sits with a 12.91 ERA as all three of his starting efforts have gone poorly, including allowing eight runs in five combined innings of two losses last season for San Diego. Cease does have a 2.50 ERA in three career starts at Wrigley Field, however. Yu Darvish – Any of San Diego’s games could effectively turn into a bullpen game with a deep roster of relief options. Darvish at age 39 would be a candidate to make a start even though he has a 5.38 ERA in 15 starts this season. Darvish allowed three or fewer earned runs in all five of his September starts and over 70 innings of postseason experience will be valued. Darvish famously struggled in the 2017 World Series, but he owns a 3.77 ERA in his postseason career. He was excellent in a pair of starts last postseason for the Padres, while in six career postseason starts with San Diego he has a 2.56 ERA with five quality starts. Darvish has also made 30 career starts at Wrigley Field with solid career numbers, plus two quality starts in the postseason in Chicago, one as a visitor in 2017 and one with the Cubs in 2020.  Michael King – King had a 2.95 ERA in 30 starts last season and a 3.44 ERA in 15 starts this season for San Diego. King generates strikeouts effectively, but he was more prone to allowing home runs this season compared to last season. King made his postseason debut in 2020 for the Yankees, and he had mixed results in two wins for San Diego in last season’s playoffs. He struck out 12 in seven scoreless innings against Atlanta but then allowed five runs in five innings vs. the Dodgers. King has never started at Wrigley Field however, which might give Darvish the edge in considering a third starting option.  Chicago Cubs Shota Imanaga – After a terrific 2024 season, Imanaga was less consistent in 25 starts in 2025, even as Chicago had a much better season. Imanaga had his worst start of the season in his final regular season start and he has allowed at least three runs in each of his last six starts for a concerning late season trajectory. Imanaga had worse season splits at home and after posting a 2.65 ERA at the All-Star Break, his numbers have swelled considerably. Imanaga did pitch well in both home and road starts vs. San Diego this season but those games were in April.  Matthew Boyd – With a 0.75 ERA in his postseason career, Boyd will likely get a start this week for the Cubs. He pitched well in three short starts for Cleveland in the postseason last year and made a brief postseason appearance for the Mariners in 2022.  With a 3.21 ERA in 31 starts it was a fantastic comeback season for the 34-year-old left-hander, and he excelled in his home starts with a 2.51 ERA in nearly 90 innings at Wrigley Field. Boyd didn’t pitch his best down the stretch with rising figures in August and September after a dominant July, but he pitched well in both of his starts vs. San Diego early in the season.  Jameson Taillon – Taillon has been a solid option for the Cubs the past three seasons. He lacks great strikeout numbers, but he rarely walks batters, and he had his best results late in the season after missing nearly two months of action in the middle of the season. Since returning he went 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA. Taillon did pitch twice in the postseason for the Yankees in 2022, sporting a career 6.23 ERA in the postseason though his only start was acceptable, allowing one run in just over four innings.  Collin Rea – Rea delivered a good season for Chicago and will have to be considered as a starting option. Like Taillon, Rea won’t produce big strikeout counts but he has provided consistent results and has been in good form in September, with a 2.63 ERA in five starts. Rea has pitched for quality teams before, but he has not appeared in a postseason game however.    NL WILD CARD Cincinnati Reds at Los Angeles Dodgers Cincinnati Reds  Hunter Greene – Last pithing on September 24, Greene is the logical candidate to start Game 1 for Cincinnati, with the Reds not knowing if they would make the playoffs until the final day of the regular season. Greene has a 2.76 ERA in 19 starts with an 11.0 K/9. His home splits are far better than his road splits and he allowed five runs in five innings in a loss at Dodger Stadium in August. Like much of the Cincinnati roster, Greene has not pitched in the postseason previously.  Andrew Abbott – Abbott picked up a win in Milwaukee on Saturday and he might be reserved for a potential Game 3 on Thursday after being the top option all season with a 2.87 ERA in 29 starts. Abbott still had a 3.43 ERA in his road innings despite being much better at home and while his numbers after the All-Star Break were not as strong as his first half splits. He is a tough left-hander that many Dodgers hitters have never faced as he may be counted on with the season on the line.  Nick Lodolo – Lodolo did pitch an inning Sunday, two days after a great scoreless start on Thursday in a must-win game. Lodolo has the best road splits of any of the Cincinnati rotation options, though he allowed six runs and 11 hits in 10 innings vs. the Dodgers this season.  Other options - Brady Singer pitched over three innings on Sunday as he will likely not be considered to start in this series if he is included on the wild card roster. Singer won 14 games but had average numbers with some ups-and-downs in his first season with the Reds. Singer technically has postseason experience, but he faced only one batter in the postseason for the Royals last season. A highly regarded rookie, Chase Burns wowed with a 13.9 K/9 but he didn’t pick up an MLB win this season, making eight starts and five relief appearances. Burns shifted to a relief role in September and will likely be called on for innings in this series. A trade deadline pickup without much attention, Zack Littell continued the average season pace he had with Tampa Bay into 10 steady starts for the Reds. Littell has a 9.00 ERA in five career postseason innings, all as a reliever, pitching in the postseason with three different teams from 2019 to 2023. Nick Martinez pitched 11 postseason innings for the Padres in 2022 with a 0.82 ERA. Those were all relief outings and Martinez will be a veteran arm that could be used in a variety of roles.  Los Angeles Dodgers Yoshinobu Yamamoto – While his first postseason starting effort last season went poorly, Yamamoto proved to be a hero in the postseason with a terrific Game 2 start in the World Series. Yamamoto has a 3.86 ERA in nearly 19 innings in the postseason, and he pitched well in his only road start in the NLCS.  Blake Snell – Despite plenty of opportunities with 10 career postseason starts, two-time Cy Young Winner Blake Snell has never delivered a quality start in the playoffs. Snell allowed seven runs just over 13 innings for the Padres in the 2022 playoffs in his last postseason trip and while he did pitch well in the 2020 run for the Rays, he was of course infamously removed in the sixth inning after 73 pitches in a decisive Game 6 of the World Series.  Tyler Glasnow – With a career 5.72 ERA in nearly 46 postseason innings, Tyler Glasnow hasn’t been a reliable postseason option in his career. He was teammates with Snell in the 2020 World Series run for the Rays, but he allowed four or more runs in four of his six starts that postseason, including allowing 10 runs in fewer than 10 innings in two World Series starts. Other options - It remains to be seen how the Dodgers will use Shohei Ohtani as a pitcher in the playoffs. He is yet to pitch in a postseason game, but he seems likely to be an option to start a game should Los Angeles advance to the NLCS or World Series. Ohtani being used in a relief role has some challenges given that he’ll be batting in the lineup as a DH, but using him as an extended opener seems possible. It seems unlikely that Clayton Kershaw will be on the wild card roster as he pitched on Sunday. His playoff splits have never matched his regular season results, with a 4.49 ERA in over 194 career postseason innings. In his last playoff start in 2023, he allowed six runs while getting only one out. 

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Will the Maple Leafs Reach the 100-Point Mark?

by Jazz Ray

Monday, Sep 29, 2025

Hockey season is almost here, the puck dropping on October 7th. I feel the NHL could’ve picked better Opening Night games: Florida vs. Chicago, Pittsburgh vs. NY Rangers, and Colorado vs. LA. First, why no Canadian team? Hockey’s huge in Canada, and fans deserve a team to cheer for on night one.Second, Florida, a two-time champ and likely powerhouse, faces Chicago, a team expected to finish 32 points behind them. With Florida favored at -300, where’s the thrill? Then we’ve got the Rangers, favored at -200, against a fading Pittsburgh squad—decent, but not exactly gripping. The Colorado-LA matchup is solid, with two strong, evenly matched teams, but its late slot means many won’t catch it. Still, I’m pumped hockey’s back! If you don't mind tying up your money for a few months, NHL team O/U point totals can provide great opportunities to profit. The lines also provide some insight into what we can expect in the upcoming season. For example, based on their projected O/U line, the Boston Bruins are going to be a very mediocre team (again) this season, perhaps not even. Sorry Boston fans, that's reality.  NHL Team Projections: ObservationsIn looking at the following NHL projected number of team wins, courtesy of Draft Kings on September 29th, a few things jumped out at me.  The Blackhawks and Sharks are going to be really bad.  There's no single team that stands out but there are a lot of very good ones.  It's going to take me some time to get used to Utah's new name: The Mammoth.  How can the Knights be so good every year when teams like the Sabres never get there? The Maple Leafs O/U line looks like great value to me. Skip to the bottom to find out why I think so! CHI Blackhawks Over 67.5 −115Under 67.5 −115FLA Panthers Over 99.5 −115Under 99.5 −115NY Rangers Over 95.5 +105Under 95.5 −135PIT Penguins Over 76.5 −110Under 76.5 −120COL Avalanche Over 103.5 −115Under 103.5 −115LA Kings Over 98.5 −105Under 98.5 −125MTL Canadiens Over 90.5 −115Under 90.5 −115TOR Maple Leafs Over 99.5 −115Under 99.5 −115BOS Bruins Over 80.5 −115Under 80.5 −115WAS Capitals Over 96.5 −110Under 96.5 −120EDM Oilers Over 103.5 −115Under 103.5 −115VGK Golden KnightsOver 104.5 −110Under 104.5 −120CGY Flames Over 82.5 −125Under 82.5 −105NJ Devils Over 99.5 −115Under 99.5 −115BUF Sabres Over 85.5 −120Under 85.5 −110TB Lightning Over 102.5 −115Under 102.5 −115PHI Flyers Over 84.5 −105Under 84.5 −125CAR Hurricanes Over 105.5 −115Under 105.5 −115OTT SenatorsOver 95.5 −110Under 95.5 −120DET Red Wings Over 84.5 −130Under 84.5 +100NY Islanders Over 83.5 −130Under 83.5 +100CBJ Blue Jackets Over 85.5 −115Under 85.5 −115WPG Jets Over 97.5 −110Under 97.5 −120MIN Wild Over 95.5 −110Under 95.5 −120STL Blues Over 92.5 −110Under 92.5 −120DAL Stars Over 103.5 −125Under 103.5 −105NSH Predators Over 85.5 −115Under 85.5 −115UTA Mammoth Over 92.5 −120Under 92.5 −110VAN Canucks Over 90.5 −115Under 90.5 −115ANA Ducks Over 84.5 −105Under 84.5 −125SJ Sharks Over 70.5 −110Under 70.5 −120SEA Kraken Over 77.5 −120Under 77.5 −110PICK: TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS UNDER 99.5 POINTSSustaining elite performance every season is tough. Hitting 100 points requires consistent excellence. Last year, the Maple Leafs racked up 108 points, second in the East and tops in the Atlantic, but their playoff run fizzled. Could that shift their focus toward postseason prep over regular-season dominance? Quite possibly. Losing Mitch Marner hurts, as his absence leaves a gap. The Eastern Conference is stacked with powerhouses like Carolina, Florida, Tampa, New Jersey, Washington, and the Rangers. Nearby rivals Ottawa and Montreal are also on the upswing, making easy wins scarce. With a key leader gone, a tough conference, and a possible pivot in priorities,  taking the Leafs to finish below 99.5 points makes sense..

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AAA's Top Three Starting Pitching Rotations For The Playoffs

by AAA Sports

Monday, Sep 29, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers  The Pitchers ~ Yamamoto , Snell , Ohtani and Glasnow  (later rounds.)What to Expect ~ Clayton Kershaw had a really good season in his final year of his career. But, he isn't expected to be a part of the Wildcard roster and maybe even further into the playoffs. If we were running the team, he'd definitely be on it whether he was starting or not. But, the Dodgers are still the best team in our eyes from a starting pitching standpoint. Yamamoto had an earned run average of 2.49 this season. Snell's was 2.35. Ohtani's was 2.87. And Glasnow's was 3.19. That's pretty remarkable. Only the first three will be needed (if not just two) in the Wildcard round. But, as the playoffs move along, we should not be surprised to see the Dodgers bring in both Kershaw and Sasaki along with Sheehan if they are needed.  Seattle Mariners  The Pitchers ~ Woo , Castillo , Gilbert + (Kirby / Miller.) What to Expect ~ Maybe one step down from the Dodgers, but just slightly, the Mariners pitching comes into play. Seattle's a bit worried about Woo, who's got a pectoral muscle injury right now. But, we think that he'll be good to go at some point in the ALDS, if not game one. The Mariners have really good pitching around him which makes this team dangerous. If both Kirby and Miller didn't have a pedestrian finish to the regular season, the Mariners would be getting even more talk about the rotation. But, since that was the case, the top three are going to need to be on their top game in these playoffs. Seattle's got the best team that it's had in years and it comes down to if the pitching holds up, which we think it will.  Philadelphia Phillies The Pitchers ~ Sanchez , Suarez , Luzardo + (Nola / Walker.)  What to Expect ~ Sanchez took over as the ace for the Phillies when Zack Wheeler suffered that injury that took him out for the season. He's done a terrific job and has really lived up to it. Philadelphia also has both Suarez and Luzardo to rely on, both of which have earned run averages below four this season. Kind of like Seattle, the four and five pitcher of Philadelphia is up in the air with the somewhat uninspiring play from Nola and Walker this year. But, Aaron Nola is a seasoned veteran that has had really good performances in October in his career and we think that he will still play a great role in the playoffs this season. Philadelphia looks poised for big things, even with the hard draw. Our World Series Pick: Philadelphia PhilliesLike we said in the paragraph above, the Phillies lost a big arm (Zack Wheeler) about half way through the season. They have a really good bullpen and have found lots of success in the playoffs already with some of these guys. Avoiding the wildcard series should help Philadelphia become healthier and with the home advantage if it plays LA in the next round will be much needed. If the Phillies can get passed the Dodgers, home free should be in their grasp. 

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Toronto Raptors: Over Or Under 37.5 wins?

by Jazz Ray

Sunday, Sep 28, 2025

The NBA tips off with a double-header on October 21st. I can't wait! In the first game of the opening-night doubleheader, the Thunder will receive their championship rings and raise the first championship banner in Oklahoma City. They'll host Houston with 15-time NBA All-Star Kevin Durant making his debut for the Rockets. These are expected to be two of this season's best teams-see below. The champs are currently favored by eight points. If you don't mind tying up your money for a few months, NBA team O/U wins can provide great opportunities to profit. The lines also provide some insight into what we can expect in the upcoming season. For example, based on the projected O/U lines, the top three teams in the East this year will be the Cavaliers, Knicks and Magic. NBA Team Projections: ObservationsIn looking at the following NBA projected number of team wins, courtesy of Draft Kings on September 28th, a few things jumped out at me.  The Thunder are expected to be the best team (62.5 wins) by quite a bit.  The Jazz are going to be terrible, likely the worst overall. The next three worst teams are from the East Outside of the Jazz, the West appears stronger than the East The Magic are expected to win more than 50 games this season, far more than the Celtics. What happened to Boston? The Raptors O/U line looks like great value to me. Skip to the bottom to find out why I think so! Regular Season Wins O/U LinesOKC ThunderOver 62.5 +100Under 62.5 −120CLE Cavaliers Over 56.5−115Under 56.5 −105HOU RocketsOver 53.5 −105Under 53.5 −120DEN Nuggets Over 53.5 −120Under 53.5 +100NY Knicks Over 53.5−110Under 53.5 −110ORL Magic Over 50.5 −120Under 50.5 −110MIN Timberwolves Over 49.5 +100Under 49.5 −120LA Clippers Over 48.5 +100Under 48.5 −125ATL HawksOver 47.5 −105Under 47.5 −115LA Lakers Over 48.5 −110Under 48.5 −110GS Warriors Over 46.5 +100Under 46.5 −120DET Pistons Over 45.5 −110Under 45.5 −110MIL BucksOver 43.5 −115Under 43.5−105SA Spurs Over 43.5 −105Under 43.5 −115PHI 76ers Over 42.5 −105Under 42.5 −115BOS CelticsOver 40.5 −120Under 40.5 −105MEM Grizzlies Over 39.5 −110Under 39.5 -110DAL MavericksOver 39.5 −115Under 39.5 −105MIA Heat Over 36.5 −115Under 36.5 −110IND Pacers Over 38.5 +100Under 38.5 −120TOR Raptors Over 37.5 −110Under 37.5 −110SAC KingsOver 36.5 +100Under 36..5 −120POR Trail Blazers Over 34.5 −115Under 34.5 −105CHI Bulls Over 32.5 +100Under 32.5 −120PHO Suns Over 30.5 −120Under 30.5 +100NO Pelicans Over 30.5 −105Under 30.5 -115CHA Hornets Over 25.5 −115Under 25.5 −105WAS WizardsOver 20.5 −120Under 20.5 +100BKN Nets Over 20.5 −110Under 20.5 −110UTA JazzOver 18.5 −110Under 18.5 −110PICK: TORONTO RAPTORS OVER 37.5 WINSAfter a 30-win season in 2024-25, can the Raptors add at least eight more victories this year? I believe they will. Here's why: The Raptors are a young, ascending team with another year of growth for Scottie Barnes and his teammates to gel. Missing the playoffs since 2022 puts pressure on this squad to step up, backed by a stellar front office and passionate fanbase with high expectations. Last season’s injury woes hampered the Raptors, but better health should boost their record. They finished strong, going 22-21 in their last 43 games, building a deep rotation and making a massive defensive jump—from 26th to 2nd in defensive rating post-All-Star break. Coach Darko Rajaković, now in his third year, leads his strongest roster yet. The Eastern Conference offers plenty of winnable games against weaker teams. Toronto got off to an 8-31 start last season. That's not happening again. Play on the Raptors to exceed 37.5 wins.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL, MLB and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/28/2025

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Sep 28, 2025

The Sunday sports card features NFL, MLB, and EPL action. Week 4 in the NFL continues with 13 games. The Minnesota Vikings play the Pittsburgh Steelers on the NFL Network at 9:30 a.m. ET at Crove Park in Dublin, Ireland. The Vikings are a 2.5-point road favorite with the total set at 41.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Seven NFL games kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET. The Atlanta Falcons host the Washington Commanders as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 43.5. The Detroit Lions play at home against the Cleveland Browns as a 10-point favorite with a total of 44.5. The Los Angeles Chargers travel to New York to take on the Giants as a 6-point road favorite with an over/under of 43.5. The Houston Texans are home against the Tennessee Titans as a 7-point favorite with a total of 39.5. The New England Patriots host the Carolina Panthers as a 5.5-point favorite with an over/under of 42.5. The Buffalo Bills play at home against the New Orleans Saints as a 14.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5. The Philadelphia Eagles play in Tampa Bay against the Buccaneers as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 44.5. Two NFL games start at 4:05 p.m. ET. The San Francisco 49ers are at home against the Jacksonville Jaguars as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 46.5. The Los Angeles Rams host the Indianapolis Colts at 4:05 p.m. ET as a 3.5-point favorite with an over/under of 49.5. Two more NFL games begin at 4:25 p.m. ET. The Baltimore Ravens are in Kansas City to take on the Chiefs as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 48.5. The Las Vegas Raiders play at home against the Chicago Bears at 4:25 p.m. ET as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 48.5. The Green Bay Packers visit Dallas to challenge the Cowboys on NBC at 8:20 PM ET for Sunday Night Football. The Packers are a 7-point road favorite with a total of 47.5. Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule for the final day of the regular season. Six MLB games throw out the first pitch at 3:05 p.m. ET. The Boston Red Sox are home against the Detroit Tigers. The Kansas City Royals play on the road against the Athletics. The Washington Nationals host the Chicago White Sox as a -123 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The San Francisco Giants play at home against the Colorado Rockies as a -301 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Philadelphia Phillies are home against the Minnesota Twins as a -208 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The New York Yankees host the Baltimore Orioles as a -194 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Two MLB games start at 3:07 p.m. ET. The Houston Astros are in Los Angeles to battle the Angels. The Toronto Blue Jays play at home against the Tampa Bay Rays as a -208 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Five MLB games begin at 3:10 p.m. ET. The Cleveland Guardians are home against the Texas Rangers. The New York Mets travel to Miami to face the Marlins as a -121 money-line road favorite with a total of 8. The Milwaukee Brewers host the Cincinnati Reds as a -150 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Seattle Mariners play at home against the Los Angeles Dodgers as a -112 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The San Diego Padres are at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The Atlanta Braves host the Pittsburgh Pirates at 3:15 p.m. ET as a -208 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Chicago Cubs play at home against the St. Louis Cardinals at 3:20 p.m. ET as a -165 money-line favorite at BetOnline with an over/under of 7.5.Matchweek 6 in the English Premier League continues with two matches on the USA Network. Aston Villa plays at home against Fulham at 9:00 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. Arsenal plays at Newcastle United at 11:30 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB, CFL and EPL Previews and Odds - 09/27/2025

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Sep 27, 2025

The Saturday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, CFL, and EPL action.Week 5 in NCAAF college football continues with 47 games between FBS opponents. Six NCAAF games on major national television kick off at noon ET. Notre Dame travels to Arkansas on ABC as a 4.5-point road favorite with the total set at 63.5 (all odds from DraftKings). USC plays at Illinois on Fox as a 7-point road favorite with an over/under of 60.5. Kansas State hosts Central Florida on FS1 as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5. Georgia Tech is at Wake Forest on ESPN as a 14-point road favorite with an over/under of 52.5. Kansas plays at home against Cincinnati on TNT as a 4.5-point favorite with a total of 56.5. Louisville visits Pittsburgh on ESPN2 as a 3.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 55.5. Five NCAAF games on major national television start at 3:30 p.m. ET. Ohio State plays at Washington on CBS as an 8.5-point road favorite with a total of 52.5. Utah is at West Virginia on Fox as a 12.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 47.5. Baylor travels to Oklahoma State on ESPN2 as a 21-point road favorite with a total of 58.5. Texas A&M is home against Auburn on ESPN as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 52.5. Mississippi hosts LSU on ABC as a 1.5-point favorite with an over/under of 57.5. Two NCAAF games on major national television start at 7:00 p.m. ET. Iowa State plays at home against Arizona on ESPN as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 48.5. Memphis plays at Florida Atlantic on ESPN2 as a 14-point road favorite with an over/under of 62.5. Two more NCAAF games on major national television begin at 7:30 p.m. ET. Penn State is home against Oregon on NBC as a 3.5-point favorite with a total of 53.5. Georgia hosts Alabama on ABC as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 53.5. BYU is on the road at Colorado on ESPN at 10:15 p.m. ET as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 49.5.Major League Baseball has 15 games scheduled. The New York Yankees play at home against the Baltimore Orioles at 1:05 p.m. ET as a -233 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Chicago Cubs are home against the St. Louis Cardinals at 2:20 p.m. ET as a -176 money-line favorite with a total of 9. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Tampa Bay Rays at 3:07 p.m. ET as a -164 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Two more MLB games throw out the first pitch at 4:05 p.m. ET. The San Francisco Giants play at home against the Colorado Rockies as a -241 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Washington Nationals are home against the Chicago White Sox as a -121 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Two more MLB games start at 4:10 p.m. ET. The Boston Red Sox host the Detroit Tigers. The New York Mets visit Miami to face the Marlins as a -123 money-line road favorite with 8.5 listed as the over/under. The Philadelphia Phillies play at home against the Minnesota Twins at 6:05 p.m. ET as a -206 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. Three more MLB games begin at 7:15 p.m. ET. The Atlanta Braves are home against the Pittsburgh Pirates as a -170 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. Two more MLB games are featured on Fox’s regional coverage. The Cleveland Guardians host the Texas Rangers as a -164 money-line favorite with a total of 7. The Milwaukee Brewers play at home against the Cincinnati Reds as a -157 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5.The San Diego Padres are home against the San Diego Padres at 8:40 p.m. ET as a -144 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Houston Astros play in Los Angeles against the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET. The Seattle Mariners host the Los Angeles Dodgers at 9:40 p.m. ET as a -120 money-line favorite with 7.5 listed as the over/under number. The Athletics play at home against the Kansas City Royals at 10:05 p.m. ET as a -123 money-line favorite with an over/under of 10. Week 17 in the Canadian Football League concludes with two games. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are home against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats as a 2.5-point favorite with a total of 51.5. The Saskatchewan Roughriders are in Edmonton to face the Elks at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 54.5. Matchweek 6 in the English Premier League begins with seven matches. Manchester United travels to Brentford on the USA Network at 7:30 a.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Four more EPL matches start at 10:00 a.m. ET. Chelsea hosts Brighton and Hove Albion as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Liverpool plays at Crystal Palace as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with a total of 2.5. Bournemouth is at Leeds United as a -0.5 goal-line road favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Manchester City plays at home against Burnley on the USA Network as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 3.5. Nottingham Forest is home against Sunderland on the USA Network at 12:30 p.m. ET as a -0.5 goal-line favorite with an over/under of 2.5. Tottenham hosts Wolverhampton on the USA Network at 3:00 p.m. ET as a -1.5 goal-line favorite with a total of 2.5. 

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NFL MVP Odds and Angles

by Harry Gagnon

Friday, Sep 26, 2025

As we enter Week 4 of the NFL season, we have had some surprises and some not so surprises when we try to figure out the MVP of the league. For example, unfortunately if you happen to be a Cincinnati Bengals fan it's not really a surprise than Joe Burrow (was 6/1 MVP) is hurt AGAIN and if you bought a ticket for him for MVP (like me) you might as well use it for toilet paper (I did).A couple of quarterbacks that are longshots but have been surprisingly good are the Seahawks Sam Darnold (90/1) and the Colts Daniel Jones (80/1). Now are either of them going to win it over Allen or Herbert (who I'll get to in a little bit) ? The answer to that question is probably not, but Darnold winning 14 games in Minnesota last season and Jones leading his squad to a 3-0 start (Colts averaging 33 ppg) are numbers that should not be ignored. If you think maybe the MVP could go to a player that isn't a quarterback at least this year, well, you can forget about it. Running backs Christian McCaffrey (150/1) and Saquon Barkley (100/1) are having subpar season stats-wise to start the season. Both are averaging less than 3.5 yards per carry and both have yet to rush for over 100 yards in a game.Some other QB's that are worth at least a mention are Jalen Hurts (16/1) who has 4 rushing TDS and his Eagles are 19-1 SU in their last 20 games, Patrick Mahomes (19/1) out of respect only because the Chiefs have no running game and KC doesn't have the weapons they need on offense, and finally Baker Mayfield (18/1) who is as gutsy a player as you will find, however Tampa Bay might be 3-0 but those wins are by a grand total of 6 points plus Mike Evans is now hurt.Now to my Top 3 guys who have the most legit shot at taking home the hardware for MVP of the league in 2025. The best value out of my top 3 is Lions quarterback Jared Goff (35/1). If you toss out the opener against Green Bay, Goff has 6 TDS in his last 2 games (is completing 78% of his passes this season) plus he helped hang 52 points on the board against Ben Johnson (his OC in Detroit last year) and was brilliant in taking down Lamar Jackson (3/1) on Monday night in Baltimore. By the way, if you think I'm snubbing Lamar I'm not but at 1-2 and the defense of the Ravens playing the way it is Lamar won't get there even at 3/1 odds. Chargers head coach Jim Harbaugh is a genius with QB's and now you can add Justin Herbert (5/1) to the mix. Herbert and LA finally dethroned Kansas City's Kingdom in Brazil and that has propelled them to a 3-0 start. Herbert is a true leader who has 6 TDS, is averaging 290 passing yards a game (1st in passing yards before Thursday's game in NFL) and his team is not only 3-0 this season but are 3-0 in the AFC West.Of course I saved the best for last and the reigning NFL MVP, the Buffalo Bills Josh Allen (+250). More than the stats he possesses (which don't get me wrong are awesome) but it's the belief and leadership Allen shows every single week. Allen is completing 70% of his passes and the Bills have scored 30 points or more in all 3 wins, but he's the leader for MVP after how brilliant he was in Week 1's forth quarter crazy comeback against the Baltimore Ravens. Look, after this weekend, basically 1/4 of the season will be over, but there is a lot of time where things can change and change drastically. For now, again, after the first 3 Weeks of this NFL campaign my Top 3 for MVP are the current favorite in Josh Allen at +250, Justin Herbert who is finally turning heads with the Chargers at 5/1, and the only guy who has played in a Super Bowl, the Lions Jared Goff at a great value number at 35/1.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 09/26/2025

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Sep 26, 2025

The Friday sports card features NCAAF, MLB, and CFL action. Week 5 in NCAAF college football continues with three games between FBS opponents. Florida State travels to Virginia on ESPN at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 7-point road favorite with the total set at 60.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Arizona State hosts TCU on Fox at 9:00 p.m. ET as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 54.5. Houston plays at Oregon State on ESPN at 10:30 p.m. ET as a 13.5-point road favorite with a total of 47.5. Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Chicago Cubs play at home against the St. Louis Cardinals at 2:20 p.m. ET as a -182 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9.Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:45 p.m. ET. The Washington Nationals are home against the Chicago White Sox as a -132 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Minnesota Twins as a -176 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The New York Yankees play at home against the Baltimore Orioles at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -150 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Toronto Blue Jays are home against the Tampa Bay Rays on Apple TV+ at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -187 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. Three MLB games start at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Boston Red Sox host the Detroit Tigers on Apple TV+ as a -123 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Cleveland Guardians play at home against the Texas Rangers as a -151 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The New York Mets play in Miami against the Marlins as a -136 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Atlanta Braves are home against the Pittsburgh Pirates at 7:15 p.m. as a -163 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Milwaukee Brewers host the Cincinnati Reds at 8:10 p.m. ET as a -169 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Houston Astros are in Los Angeles to take on the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET as a -150 money-line favorite with a total of 9. Two more MLB games begin at 9:40 p.m. ET. The San Diego Padres play at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks as a -149 money-line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Seattle to face the Mariners as a The Kansas City Royals play on the road against the Athletics at 10:05 p.m. ET. The San Francisco Giants are home against the Colorado Rockies at 10:15 p.m. ET as a -241 money-line favorite with a total of 8.Week 17 in the Canadian Football League kicks off with two games. The Montreal Alouettes host the Calgary Stampeders at 7:00 p.m. ET as a 4.5-point favorite with an over/under of 50.5. The British Columbia Lions play at home against the Toronto Argonauts at 10:00 p.m. ET as a 7-point favorite with a total of 57.5.

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The Latest Heisman Trophy Award Update

by Harry Gagnon

Thursday, Sep 25, 2025

Through basically 4 games of the season the Heisman Award for College Football is certainly still up for grabs especially after Oklahoma Sooner QB John Mateer who was the favorite at 7/1 to start the week found out that he has a broken throwing hand and is done for at least giving him the hardware (now 100/1). We do however have some lineup of games this Saturday that bring enormous Heisman trophy implications. Lets begin with the rematch of the Big 10 Conference Title game a season ago between Oregon and Penn St. Now I'll start with Penn St QB Drew Allar who's currently sitting at 25/1. Allar has only 4 TDS against Nevada, FIU, and Villanova so even if he wins this game he's really going to have to do a ton more to really be considered, meanwhile I really like Oregon's QB Dante Moore who's 3rd at 11/1 for Heisman currently. Moore has been spectacular so far with 11 TDS and is completing 75% of his passes for the Ducks. In the other main game of the day we head south to the SEC where Alabama travels to Athens to take on the Georgia Bulldogs. Georgia QB Gunner Stockton (14/1) was tremendous in their comeback win in Knoxville, but his numbers are alright (7 total TDS) and have numerous tough games left on Kirby Smart's schedule. The value play to me is who Stockton is going against and that's 'Bama's QB Ty Simpson. You can still find Simpson who has 9 passing TDS and 0 picks at a lot of books at 20/1. (Also is completing 72% of his passes). After this 1st meeting in Athens for Alabama since 2015, the Crimson Tide's remaining schedule has them at HOME against Tennessee, LSU, & Oklahoma. As for the rest, here are players that were touted at the start of the season, but have fallen off. Utah's Devon Dampier's (65/1) lost at home to Texas Tech which hurt badly and Notre Dame's running back Jeremiyah Love (100/1) has basically no shot after the Irish started the season with two losses. Before I go, there are two other QB's we should really pay attention to and that's Georgia Tech's Haynes King (25/1) and current favorite at 9/1 Indiana's Fernando Mendoza. King does a lot of his damage on the ground than through the air (has more rushing TD's than passing TDS) plus the Yellow Jackets would really have to make some run to really have a legit chance. Ex-California QB Mendoza currently has 50 TDS in his career to 16 picks, but 0 of those picks have happened this season at Indiana. Mendoza just destroyed Illinois by going 21 of 23 with 5 TDS and this Indiana team in their last 3 games have outscored their opponents 192 to 19. At 9/1, I know it's still early and anything can happen, but Mendoza looks amazing with 14 TDS/0 Picks, plus when it comes to their schedule they catch a few breaks not having to face Michigan, Ohio St and current leader at 2-0 in the Big 10, USC.

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Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB, NFL and NCAAF Previews and Odds - 09/25/2025

by Big Al Staff

Thursday, Sep 25, 2025

The Thursday sports card features NFL, NCAAF, and MLB action. Week 4 in the National Football League kicks off with one game. The Seattle Seahawks travel to Arizona to play the Cardinals on Prime Video at 8:15 p.m. ET. The Seahawks have won two games in a row after their 44-13 victory at home against New Orleans as a 7.5-point favorite last Sunday. The Cardinals lost their first game of the season in a 16-15 loss at San Francisco as a 2-point underdog on Sunday. Both teams are tied in second place in the NFC West with a 2-1 record. Seattle is a 1.5-point road favorite with the total set at 43.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Week 5 in NCAAF college football starts with one game between FBS opponents. East Carolina hosts Army West Point on ESPN at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Pirates’ two-game winning streak ended on Saturday in a 34-13 loss at home against BYU as a 6.5-point underdog. They have a 2-2 record. The Black Knights lost for the second time in their first three games in a 45-38 loss in overtime at home against North Texas as a 2.5-point underdog last Saturday. East Carolina is a 4-point favorite with an over/under of 52.5.Major League Baseball has 12 games on its schedule. The Cincinnati Reds play at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates at 12:40 p.m. ET as a -165 money-line favorite with a total of 8. The Tampa Bay Rays play in Baltimore against the Orioles at 1:05 p.m. ET as a -132 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Texas Rangers are home against the Minnesota Twins at 2:35 p.m. ET as a -150 money-line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Houston Astros are on the road against the Athletics at 3:35 p.m. ET. The Los Angeles Dodgers visit Arizona to take on the Diamondbacks at 3:40 p.m. ET as a -157 money-line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:05 p.m. ET. The Philadelphia Phillies host the Miami Marlins as a -169 money-line favorite with an over/under of 9. The Cleveland Guardians play at home against the Detroit Tigers.The New York Yankees are home against the Chicago White Sox at 7:05 p.m. ET as a -316 money-line favorite with a total of 8.5. The Toronto Blue Jays host the Boston Red Sox at 7:07 p.m. ET as a -150 money-line favorite with an over/under of 8. The New York Mets play in Chicago against the Cubs at 7:40 p.m. ET, with both teams priced as a -110 money-line favorites with a total of 7.5. The Kansas City Royals are in Los Angeles to face the Angels at 9:38 p.m. ET with both teams priced as a -110 money-line favorites with an over/under of 7.5. The Seattle Mariners play at home against the Colorado Rockies at 9:40 p.m. ET.

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ASA's NFL News & Notes

by ASA, Inc.

Wednesday, Sep 24, 2025

ASA’s NFL NEWS & NOTES SAINTS – Are 16.5-point underdogs in Buffalo next week... This is New Orleans' biggest underdog in any game since 1975 and the matchup that day was Archie Manning, Saints (+16.5) vs. Fran Tarkenton, Vikings.  There have been 83 underdogs of more than 16 points in the NFL since 1980 and those dogs have covered at a 55% rate (44-36-3 ATS) but were 0-2 ATS last season EAGLES – The Eagles are now a perfect 3-0 despite getting outgained on a YPG and YPP basis on all 3 games.  On Sunday they had a miraculous cover vs the Rams much to our dismay (Rams were our top game).  One of the toughest beats we’ve had.  Rams (+3.5) up 26-7 in the 2nd half and lose 33-26.  The ending was insane.  If you didn’t see it, which I’m sure you have, google it.  Eagles had fewer first downs, were outgained by 68 yards, had a YPP deficit of -0.8 and were outrushed 5.2 YPC to 3.2 YPC and somehow won by a TD.  FALCONS – One of the strangest box scores and result you’ll ever see.  Here are the stats for Atlanta @ Carolina on Sunday.   Falcons 332 total yards, Panthers 224 total yds.  Falcons 5.0 YPP, Panthers 4.1 YPP.  Falcons 5.7 yards per rush, Panthers 3.7.  Final score Panthers 30, Falcons 0.  Turnovers are usually an issue when you see a box score like this and they were.  Atlanta had 3 turnovers, including a pick 6, that led directly to 14 of Carolina’s 30 points.  The Falcons crossed midfield on 7 of their 11 offensive possessions and didn’t score a single point. PACKERS – That’s the NFL for you.  Green Bay looked like world beaters the first 2 weeks handling 2 of the top teams in the NFL (Detroit & Washington) and then lose as an 8 point favorite to 0-2 Cleveland.  GB led 10-0 with under 4:00 remaining in the game and lost 13-10.  The sequence went like this…Cleveland kicks a FG with 3:38 left to make it 10-3.  Packers Jordan Love throws an interception a few plays later that is returned by the Browns to the 4 yard line.  They score a TD to tie.  Green Bay drives into FG position, the attempt gets blocked with 27 seconds left and the Browns get into FG range and win the game.  We mentioned last week how good Cleveland’s defense is.  They held GB to 10 points on 230 yards (3.8 YPP) and the Packers averaged 2.6 YPC on the ground.  If they can somehow put together even an average offense, this Cleveland team can be really good. COLTS – Who had Indianapolis starting 3-0 both SU & ATS?  With NYG castoff Daniel Jones at QB their offense ranks #2 in scoring (34.3 PPG), #2 in total offense (419 YPG), #1 in YPP offense (6.6) and #3 in rushing offense (153 YPG).  Jones currently ranks #1 in the NFL in QBR.  They’ve punted ONCE this season and have scored on 77% of their offensive possessions!  The Colts are already +5 in turnover margin which is the #1 most important stat for success in the NFL.  NFL teams with a plus turnover margin in a game win that game between 75 and 80% of the time.  That’s a long term fact.  Now 2 of their wins have come against the Dolphins and Titans, who look like 2 of the worst teams in the NFL early in the season.  We’ll find out more about Indy this Sunday as they travel for the 2nd straight week to LA to take on the Rams. STEELERS – Pittsburgh is 2-1 on the season topping the Jets and Patriots and getting rolled at home vs Seattle.  However, this team is 30th in total offense (247 YPG) and 28th in total defense (386 YPG) for a YPG margin of -139 YPG which is the 2nd worst mark in the NFL ahead of only Tennessee who is 0-3.  They are the only team in the NFL that ranks in the bottom 5 in both total offense AND total defense.  In their 2 wins vs the Patriots and Jets they were outgained by 166 yards (-1.1 YPP margin) and by 123 yards (-1.4 YPP) respectively.  Pittsburgh travels to Ireland on Sunday to face Minnesota in an early 9:30 AM ET kick. TEXANS – What the heck is going on with Houston’s offense?  They rank dead last in scoring at 12.7 PPG.  That’s a full 10 points down from last season when they averaged 22 PPG.  This team has had 33 offensive possessions this season and scored a grand total of 3 TD’s.  The defense is holding up their end of the bargain ranking in the top 5 in PPG allowed.  Tough to be 0-3 SU & ATS when your defense is top 5 in scoring but Houston has found a way to pull that off.   

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