NBA MONDAY DAILY O/U DISCOUNTED DEAL
- Handicapper
- Hollywood Sports
- League
- NBA
- Competition
- Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets
- Release Date
- 11/02/2026 08:30 PM
- Event Date
- 11/02/2026 08:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets Under 216 (-115)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- At 8:40 PM ET on Monday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (563) and the Houston Rockets (564). THE SITUATION: Boston (5-1) has won five games in a row after their 108-97 win at Orlando against the Magic as a 6.5-point favorite yesterday. Houston (6-1) rebounded from their first loss of the season in Dallas against the Mavericks with a 119-98 win against Oklahoma City as a 2.5-point favorite on Saturday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: Boston held their second opponent already this season to less than 100 points on Sunday. The Celtics have played 20 of their last 26 games Under the Total after not allowing more than 100 points in their last game, including 10 of those 13 games played on the road. They have also played 8 straight games Under the Total when playing without a day of rest. They led the NBA last season with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 98.6. They traded Jaylen Brown in the offseason but added the Knicks big man Mitchell Robinson to offer a legitimate rim protector off the bench. Under head coach Joe Mazzulla, Boston remains a team committed to launching tons of 3s, winning the possession battle, and playing tough defense. In the preseason, they were bottom-six in the league in both scoring in the paint and getting to the free-throw line. They were also second in offensive rebounding after finishing fifth in that metric last season. Unless Boston is scorching hot from 3-point range, low-percentage shooting, plenty of second-chance scoring opportunities (limiting overall possessions for the game), and not as much scoring at the charity stripe when the clock is off are all good recipes for the Under. So far this season, they rank sixth in the league with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 107.6. They also lead the NBA in defense inside the paint. The Celtics have played 29 of their last 45 games on the road Under the Total. They have also played 11 of their last 17 games on the road Under the Total as an underdog. They have played 33 of their last 48 games Under the Total against teams with a winning record, including 17 of those 24 games played on the road. Houston is playing at a faster pace with Fred VanVleet healthy again and scoring 120.7 Points-Per-Game — but Boston has played 31 of their last 46 games Under the Total against teams scoring 116.0 or more PPG, including 15 of those 23 games played on the road. This is the Rockets’ sixth game since October 26th — and they have played 12 of their last 17 games Under the Total when playing for the sixth or more time in the last ten days. Led by Alperen Sengun, Houston is also playing good defense as they rank 10th in the NBA so far this season with an Adjusted Defensive Efficiency of 108.9. The Rockets stay at home, where they have played 7 of their last 9 games with the Total set in the 210s. They have also played 12 of their last 16 home games Under the Total when favored by up to six points.
FINAL TAKE: Boston is four games into a nine-game stretch where they only play one team with a winning record currently — and it is tonight against the Rockets. This is the lowest Over/Under number either team has played this season, with the Celtics’ previous low being 220.5 and Houston’s low being 219 for their last game against the Thunder. These two teams have played 10 of their last 14 meetings against each other Under the Total, including 5 of the 7 games played on Houston’s home court. 10* NBA Monday Night O/U Discounted Deal with Under the Total in the game between the Boston Celtics (563) and the Houston Rockets (564). Best of luck for us — Frank.
