Matt Fargo - Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks

Fargo's NFL Monday Primetime (15-2-1 YTD)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NFL
Competition
Chicago Bears vs Seattle Seahawks
Release Date
11/02/2026 09:12 AM
Event Date
11/02/2026 08:15 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Chicago Bears +3 (+100) (BetMGM)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Monday Primetime. Chicago has won two straight games following a 30-24 win over the Patriots last Thursday so while the Bears have to travel to the west coast, they do so in a mini-bye. This line was stuck at 3 for most of the week with the expectation of it getting to 3.5 which public money should move it to by game time. They face the No. 3 defense in EPA but this offense is healthy and come in with the No. 8 offense in Success Rate and this is with a couple games without quarterback Caleb Williams. And don’t sleep on this defense that is No. 5 in Success Rate. In 17 games against non-NFC North opponents, Ben Johnson and the Bears are 14-3 straight up and 14-2-1 ATS. Seattle snapped a two-game slide with a dominant win over Kansas City last Sunday night and now in another primetime game, their third straight in fact, we know who the public side will be based on recency bias and that has benefitted the other side. Here, we play on road teams after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in four straight games. This situation is 32-9 ATS (78 percent) since 2022. 10* (265) Chicago Bears

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