25* MLB INTERLEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH!
- Handicapper
- Hollywood Sports
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks
- Release Date
- 09/18/2026 06:32 PM
- Event Date
- 09/18/2026 09:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks Under 7.5 (-105)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- At 9:40 PM ET on Friday, we will be playing Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (929) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (930). THE SITUATION: New York (88-64) had won three games in a row before their 5-4 loss at Minnesota on Wednesday. Arizona (80-73) has lost four of their last five games after their 4-3 loss at home against Miami on Wednesday.
REASONS TO TAKE UNDER THE TOTAL: The Yankees have played 40 of their 60 games this season Under the Total after a loss, including 21 of those 30 games played on the road. They have played 9 of their last 10 games Under the Total on the road after a loss by one run — and they have played 13 of their last 16 games on the road Under the Total after a loss by two runs or less. David Bednar blew a save opportunity in extra innings against the Twins on Wednesday — and New York has played 10 of their last 11 games Under the Total after a blown save in their last game. They go back on the road where they have played 9 of their last 12 games Under the Total. They have played 14 of their last 18 games on the road Under the Total in Interleague play — and they have played 34 of their last 48 games on the road Under the Total when priced in the +/- 125 range. Gerrit Cole gets the ball tonight. The right-hander has an 8-9 record along with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP in 20 starts. The deeper sabermetrics confirm his solid season in a return from an arm injury that kept him on the shelf for the first few months of the season. Both his SIERA and xFIP project an ERA of 3.58 and 3.71 moving forward. Cole has struggled in giving up gopher balls recently — but Arizona ranks tied for 23rd in MLB this season with only 56 home runs at home against right-handed pitchers. He has been more effective at night where he sports a 3.19 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP in 14 starts. And while he has a 3.93 ERA in nine starts at home, that number drops to 3.45 ERA in his 11 starts on the road. In his last six starts on the road, he owns a 2.50 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP. He should pitch well against this Diamondbacks team that ranks 24th and 25th in MLB in weighted On-Base Average and weighted Runs Created at home against right-handed starting pitchers — and they rank 24th and 26th in those categories since May 1st. Arizona has played 13 of their last 19 games Under the Total after a loss by one run. They have also played 11 of their last 13 games Under the Total after losing four of their last five games. The Diamondbacks have played 21 of their last 32 home games Under the Total against teams with a winning record. Furthermore, they have played 16 of their last 22 games Under the Total against teams with a winning percentage in the 54-62% range, including 8 of those 10 games played at home. They counter with Eduardo Rodriguez, who has a 15-6 record along with a 2.62 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP in 30 starts. The southpaw has been more effective at home with a 1.15 WHIP in 17 starts at home as opposed to his 1.31 WHIP in 13 starts on the road. He also enjoys a 2.24 ERA in 18 starts at night. In his last seven starts, Rodriguez has a 2.36 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP.
FINAL TAKE: The Yankees rank just 18th and 15th in MLB this season in weighted On-Base Average and weighted Runs Created on the road against left-handed pitchers — and they drop to 21st and 17th in both those categories since July 1st. One last thing: Aaron Judge was just placed on the injured list and will not play tonight. 25* MLB Interleague Total of the Month with Under the Total in the game between the New York Yankees (929) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (930). Best of luck for us — Frank.
