Amedeus Mastrangelo - Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

AMEDEUS' MLB BOOKIE BATTER!

Handicapper
Amedeus Mastrangelo
League
MLB
Competition
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Release Date
09/18/2026 10:23 AM
Event Date
09/18/2026 06:40 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Cincinnati Reds +115 (BetOnline)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
The Cubs are coming into this game with an 85-68 record this season and they have been playing well recently. They have won 2 of their last 3 as well as 4 of their last 6 games, but recently their offense has been more inconsistent and their pitching has not been good all season either. They are going up against a Reds team that is 71-82 this season and they have not been playing well in their recent games. They have lost 3 of their last 4 as well as 8 of their last 10 games, but they have also had a very tough schedule in that span as their last 4 straight series' have been against the 2 best teams in the league, playing 2 different series' against the Dodgers and the Brewers. Their pitching has not been that bad in their last 5 games though and they are going to have much better pitching in this game. Clay Holmes is starting for the Cubs in this game and he is 6-7 with a 2.85 ERA this season. He has been very good all season and since he got traded to the Cubs, but he has struggled a lot more in his last 2 starts now as he has allowed 11 runs total in 10 innings pitched his last 2 starts. He has also struggled more on the road recently, allowing 4+ earned runs in 2 of his last 3 road starts, and he allowed 8 earned runs in less than 5 innings pitched in his last road start. He has been awful against the Reds in 13 career appearances as well, going 1-2 with a 7.97 ERA. Chase Burns is starting for the Reds in this game and he is 15-3 with a 2.80 ERA this season. He has been good recently as he has allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 3 as well as 5 of his last 6 starts. He has only gone 3 innings in each of his last 2 starts, but he only allowed 2 earned runs total in 6 innings pitched in that span and he has had 4 straight road starts as well, pitching much better at home this season. He has allowed 2 earned runs or less in each of his last 3 as well as 9 of his last 11 home starts and he has pitched 5+ innings in all of those. Burns is going to give the Reds a deep outing here and the Reds offense will be able to get to Holmes for some runs as well as the Cubs bullpen which has been so bad all season. The Reds will win this game at home.

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