TDG’s MLB MONDAY VEGAS *JACKPOT*
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Release Date
- 08/03/2026 05:41 PM
- Event Date
- 08/03/2026 07:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Moneyline
- Pick
-
Milwaukee Brewers -145
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- Our 20* MLB Monday Vegas Jackpot is with the Milwaukee Brewers with the money line versus the Pittsburgh Pirates at 7:40 pm et.
The Milwaukee Brewers had won two games in a row before a 3-0 loss in Los Angeles against the Angels on Sunday. The Brewers have won nine of their previous eleven games after losing their previous game. They are still in first place in the NL Central with a 69-42 record, which is the best in MLB. They are up 6 1/2 games on the Chicago Cubs. Their +135 net run differential gives them a Pythagorean record of 69-42, confirming their great season is no fluke. After finishing their six-game road trip, they return home, where they have a 36-20 record this year. Milwaukee has won six of their previous eight games at home after playing their previous three or more games on the road. They have won eight of their previous eleven games at home. They have also won thirty-nine of their previous fifty-six games when the oddsmakers installed them as a money line underdog priced up to -150, and they have won eighteen of those twenty-six games played at home. They have won nineteen of their previous twenty-nine games against division opponents. At home against division opponents, they are averaging 5.1 runs per game with a .261 batting average, a .341 on-base percentage, and a .427 slugging percentage. They should get the Pirates’ Bubba Chandler tonight. The right-hander has a 3-8 record with a 4.56 era and a 1.41 whip in 21 games and 20 starts. The blue-chip prospect throws 98.4 miles per hour, ranking in the top 95th percentile in MLB. Yet despite that heat, he is only striking out 20.1% of opposing hitters, ranking in the lowest 33rd percentile. Command is his biggest obstacle to success right now. He is walking 12.3% of opposing hitters, ranking in the lowest 11th percentile. As is common with pitchers who are walking too many batters, Chandler is not getting hitters to swing at pitches outside the strike zone. His opposing hitters chase rate is only on 29.3% of his pitches outside the strike zone. In his last five starts, he has a 4.98 era and a 1.50 whip. Things could be worse, given his opponents' batting average of .272 on the batted balls they put into play against him. The MLB babip average is .287, and there is little reason not to expect Chandler’s babip to be in that range the rest of the year.
Pittsburgh has lost five of their previous six games after a 10-2 loss at Cincinnati on Sunday. Their record has dropped to 56-57, and they are in third place in the NL Central, 14 games behind the Brewers. They continue their eight-game road trip having won just once in their previous five games away from home. They have won five times in their previous nineteen games on the road when the oddsmakers installed the over/under at 8 or 8.5. They have only beaten one opponent in their five games on the road this year against opponents with a winning percentage of 64% or higher. In the last week, they are averaging 3.6 runs per game with a .230 batting average, a .298 on-base percentage, and a .327 slugging percentage in those seven games. They are expected to face the Brewers’ Brandon Sproat tonight. The right-hander has a 3-6 record with a 5.05 era and a 1.39 whip in 20 games and 18 starts. He has found a rhythm lately with a 3.10 era and a 1.24 whip in his previous six starts. The Pirates swept their three-game series at home against Milwaukee three weeks ago, yet the Brewers have won sixteen of their previous eighteen games at home when playing with double revenge from two or more losses in a row against their current opponent. Play Milwaukee with the money line.
Good luck — Team Del Genio.Team Del Genio made it SIX STRAIGHT MLB WINNERS IN A ROW by winning with San Diego yesterday! The Team is now on a 48-29 (62%) MLB winning run that maintains their long-running and reliable 139-89 (61%) MLB mark! Now the Team tests their 192-110 (64%) MLB run with side plays with this money line side winner for Monday night! DON’T MISS this Vegas J*A*C*K*P*O*T!
