VW'S MLB DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH
- Handicapper
- Vegas Writer
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers
- Release Date
- 08/03/2026 12:05 PM
- Event Date
- 08/03/2026 07:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Over 8 (-118)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- With the Pittsburgh Pirates sending Bubba Chandler to the hill and the Milwaukee Brewers giving the ball to Brandon Sproat, I like this one to soar into double digits.
Chandler, who is 3-8 with a 4.56 ERA in 21 appearances (20 starts, is 1-5 with a 4.38 ERA in 12 games (11 starts). And 10 of the home runs he's allowed were on the road. And over his last five starts, he is 0-1 with a 4.97 ERA.
With Sproat, we have a guy who is 3-6 with a 5.05 ERA in 20 appearances this season, including 18 starts, and who has struggled more at home than on the road. Sproat has a home ERA of 5.98, much worse than his road ERA (4.33). And in his lone start against the Pirates, he's 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA.
Two of three meetings in Pittsburgh last month went over the posted total, while all three averaged 12.3 runs per game. The last five meetings in Milwaukee have averaged 10.2 runs per game, with three of the games going over nine runs.
