TDG’s NCAA-B ROUND ONE TOTAL OF THE YEAR
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Missouri vs Miami Florida
- Release Date
- 03/20/2026 05:32 PM
- Event Date
- 03/20/2026 10:07 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Missouri vs Miami Florida Under 145.5 (-110)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- Our 25* NCAA-B Tournament Round One Total of the Year is with the Missouri/Miami under at 10:10 pm et.
The Miami Hurricanes are playing at a slower pace than they were earlier in the year. The national average for possessions per game is 67.4. For the season, the Hurricanes are averaging 68.0 possessions per game. Yet in their previous ten games, their average possessions per game has dipped to 65.6, ranking 271st fewest in the country. Six of their previous nine games have had fewer than 65.6 possessions. Miami got eliminated in the ACC tournament in an 84-62 loss against Virginia, a game where there were only 62 possessions for each team. The Hurricanes average 81.9 points per game on 50.2% shooting, yet on the road, those averages dip to 77.5 points per game on 49.6% shooting. In the last two months, their scoring is 76.9 points per game on 49.0%. Miami’s offense has really struggled in their five games played on a neutral court this year. They are averaging 69.6 points per game on 42.2% shooting and a 30.5% clip from 3-point land. They have played four of those five games on a neutral court under the number. The Hurricanes have played four straight unders against non-conference opponents. They have played six of their previous nine games under the total against opponents with a winning percentage from 60% to 80%.
Missouri is on a three-game losing streak coming into the NCAA tournament after a 78-72 loss against Kentucky in the SEC tournament on Thursday of last week. The Tigers have played five of their previous six games under the number when playing with seven or more days between games. Missouri averages 79.7 points per game on 49.1% shooting and a 35.0% mark from 3-point range. On the road, their scoring average dips to 76.1 points per game on 33.8% shooting from the 3-point line. In their three games on a neutral court, they are averaging only 60.0 points per game on 36.6% shooting and a 29.0% clip from 3-point land. The Tigers have played nine of their previous fourteen games under the total when playing on the road. The Hurricanes have a +10.7 net point differential, and Missouri has played five of their previous eight games on the road under the number against opponents with a net point differential of +8.0 or higher. Miami has played ten of their previous sixteen games under the total against opponents with a field goal percentage of 45% or higher. Defensively, the Tigers are giving up 75.3 points per game on 43.6% shooting. In their thirteen games in non-conference play, they have held those opponents to 71.5 points per game on 41.7% shooting. The Tigers have played eight of their previous thirteen games under the total in non-conference play. They have also played nine of their previous thirteen tournament games under the number. Play the under.
Good luck- Team Del Genio.
