Sean's CBB UNDERDOG SHOCKER! 4-0 START!
- Handicapper
- Sean Murphy
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Northern Iowa vs St. Johns
- Release Date
- 03/20/2026 08:58 AM
- Event Date
- 03/20/2026 07:25 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Northern Iowa +9.5 (-108)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- My selection is on Northern Iowa plus the points over St. John's at 7:10 pm et on Friday.
I think Northern Iowa can put St. John's on 'upset' alert in this first round matchup on Friday. The Red Storm are a long way from home in San Diego and coming off a Big East Tournament title run last week that culminated with an 'upset' win over Connecticut in the final. Of note, St. John's is now riding a four-game ATS winning streak, matching its longest such streak this season. It has reached four straight ATS victories on two previous occasions, first losing to Auburn as a neutral court favorite in November and then winning but never sniffing out the cover as a double-digit favorite against Seton Hall in January. Northern Iowa went through a lull in January but righted the ship from February on and battled its way to a Missouri Valley Conference title. Unlike St. John's, which had to play into last weekend, Northern Iowa's conference tourney wrapped up on March 8th. We know Ben Jacobson's Panthers will come in prepared. I like the fact that they employ a grind-it-out style that figures to frustrate Rick Pitino's Red Storm on Friday. This is a sneaky 12-5 matchup that few are talking about. In fact, St. John's is a trendy pick to go on a deep tournament run. Look for the Panthers to prove to be a 'tough out'. Take Northern Iowa (8*).