Matt Fargo - Akron vs Texas Tech

Fargo's CBB Ultimate Underdog (4-1 Thursday)

Handicapper
Matt Fargo
League
NCAAB
Competition
Akron vs Texas Tech
Release Date
03/20/2026 07:45 AM
Event Date
03/20/2026 12:40 PM
Bet Type
Point Spread
Pick
Akron +7.5 (-105) (DraftKings)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
This is a play on the AKRON ZIPS for our CBB Friday Ultimate Underdog. Akron won the Mid-American Conference Tournament and while many will say it is because Miami Ohio lost in the opening round but the Zips were actually favored and finished the regular season with the highest NET Ranking and KenPom Rating. The offense is one of the best in the country, No. 8 in Effective Field Goal Percentage while sitting No. 14 in Three-Point Shooting. This offense makes them a live dog on the moneyline and one of their key losses was by only eight points at Purdue. Texas Tech is still talented but shorthanded with little room for error. The Red Raiders lost J.T. Toppin and he was averaging 21.8 ppg, 10.8 rpg, 1.7 bpg before suffering a season-ending ACL injury. With him, Texas Tech was No. 24 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, per BartTorvik, but dropped to No. 119 after his injury so his loss affects both ends. 10* (741) Akron Zips

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