Sean Murphy - Hofstra vs Alabama

Sean's 10* CBB 1ST RD TOTAL OF YEAR! 16-4 RUN

Handicapper
Sean Murphy
League
NCAAB
Competition
Hofstra vs Alabama
Release Date
03/20/2026 06:08 AM
Event Date
03/20/2026 03:21 PM
Bet Type
Over / Under
Pick
Hofstra vs Alabama Under 158.5 (-110) (Consensus Line)
Outcome
Loss
Analysis
First Round Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Hofstra and Alabama at 3:15 pm et on Friday. You have to figure that a lot of bettors gravitated to this 'over' when looking at the first round matchups. That's simply the knee-jerk reaction for most casual bettors when you see Alabama involved in a game. I'm not convinced Hofstra will be a willing or able dance partner to push this one 'over' the total on Friday, however. The Pride have connected on 30+ field goals just five times this entire season. Two of those games came against little-known non-Division I opponents in Molloy College and SUNY-Old Westbury. The other three ended up totalling 158, 143 and 122 points - all settling out below the number we're working with on Friday. The Crimson Tide are of course no strangers to track meets. While they do have an elite offense, they've also faced plenty of 'pro-style' offensive opponents that obliged them in high-scoring affairs in the SEC. On the flip side, most will look at Alabama's defense as vulnerable but keep in mind, the Crimson Tide have faced an incredible difficult schedule this season - one of the toughest in the entire country this season. This won't be a slugfest by any means, but I'm not convinced it will be a track meet either. Take the under (10*).

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