ASA NCAA First Round ATS Rout! Tests 75% RUN!
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- California Baptist vs Kansas
- Release Date
- 03/20/2026 04:04 AM
- Event Date
- 03/20/2026 10:07 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Kansas -13.5 (-115)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #768 ASA PLAY ON Kansas -13.5 over Cal Baptist, Friday at 9:45 PM ET - We love this spot for KU. They are coming off an embarrassing 22 point loss vs Houston in the Big 12 tourney which usually sets up nicely in the Big Dance. Teams off 20+ point losses in their most recent game are an impressive 28-14 ATS (67%) in their opening NCAA tourney game. The Jayhawks should be highly motivated here. This is a terrible match up for Cal Baptist who won the WAC. They are a very small team ranking 312th in average height facing a Kansas team who is 24th in average height and should destroy them on the boards. The Lancers take very few 3 point shots (328th in percentage of shots from deep) and have zero shot to score a bunch of points inside the paint vs the Jayhawks who are 6th in the country in blocked shot percentage. CB is not a great shooting team sitting outside the top 300 in eFG%. Their best player is 5’10 Dominique Daniels who will have a hard time outside vs KU’s lengthy and good defensive guards and if he gets to the rim, his shots have a good chance of getting swatted. They rely on a lot of 1 on 1 offense as they rank 361st (out of 365) in assists per FG made and that won’t work vs KU. They also turn the ball over at a high rate of 18%. Defensively the Lancers have solid numbers on the season but they’ve played mainly low tier offensive teams (average rank 267th offensive efficiency). They faced 3 power conference teams this season, all from the Big 12, allowing 91 points vs BYU (lost by 30), 91 points vs a bad Utah team, and 78 points vs Colorado. KU will have, by far, the best player on the court in potential #1 pick in the draft (Peterson) and we think they roll in this one.
