ASA NCAA Daytime Dominator! 6-2 (75%) HEATER!
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NCAAB
- Competition
- Tennessee State vs Iowa State
- Release Date
- 03/20/2026 03:39 AM
- Event Date
- 03/20/2026 03:07 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Iowa State -24.5 (-110)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- #764 ASA PLAY ON Iowa State -24.5 over Tennessee State, Friday at 2:50 PM ET - Tennessee State faced the 325th most difficult schedule this season and now they take a huge jump up vs Iowa State who sits at 6th nationally per KenPom. The Tigers faced one top 50 team all season and lost that game by 29 points vs Tennessee and turned the ball over at a 28% rate in that game. That’s not idea vs ISU. The most important thing an opposing offense better be able to do vs this high level ISU defense (4th nationally in efficiency) is protect the ball. The Cyclones create turnovers at a 22% rate on the season (4th most in the country) which leads to extra possessions. TSU ranks just 170th in offensive turnover rate despite facing only 1 team all season long ranked in the top 50 in defensive turnover rate. That’s not a good recipe for success for the Tigers in this game. Offensively the Clones have a huge advantage ranking top 30 in both FG% and 3 point FG% despite facing a slate of defenses with an average rank of 20th nationally (efficiency). TSU ranks 140th in FG% and 237th in 3 point FG% and that was facing an average defensive rank of 250th. The Tigers take very few 3’s (344th in percentage of 3 point shots taken) and they don’t shoot them well. If an underdog can hit 3’s at a high rate, upsets can happen but that doesn’t apply here. For the season, Iowa State has an average adjusted PPP of +32 points per 100 possessions while TSU has a negative value in that metric. The Cyclones have shown they have no problem pounding lower level opponents winning all 8 of their games vs non-top 150 opponents by at least 25 points. Let’s lay it.
