Team Del Genio - Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars

TDG’s NHL DIVISION GAME OF THE MONTH

Handicapper
Team Del Genio
League
NHL
Competition
Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars
Release Date
02/02/2026 06:19 PM
Event Date
02/02/2026 08:37 PM
Bet Type
Moneyline
Pick
Dallas Stars -145 (BetMGM)
Outcome
Win
Analysis
Our 25* NHL Central Division Game of the Month is with the Dallas Stars with the money line versus the Winnipeg Jets at 8:37 pm et. The Dallas Stars went through a twelve-game stretch during which they only won two games last month. Three of those losses were in overtime, and another loss came after a shootout. Both of their victories were in regulation time. Yet the Stars have battled out of that slump and have now won four games in a row and five of their previous six games after a 3-2 victory at Utah on Saturday. Their 73 points put them in third place in the Western Conference and sixth most in the NHL. They have won nine of their previous thirteen games at home after winning three or more games in a row. After completing their three-game road trip, they come back home to Dallas having won six of their previous eight games at home after playing three or more games in a row on the road. Jake Oettinger is their goaltender tonight. He has a 21-10-4 record with a 2.69 goals-against average and a .900 save percentage. In his eighteen starts at home, he has a 2.50 goals-against average and a .903 save percentage, which is a little below his expectations. In his career at home, he has a 2.47 goals-against average and a .909 save percentage. The Stars have won seventeen of their previous twenty-three games at home when the oddsmakers installed the over/under at 5.5. This is just the eighth time this year when the oddsmakers installed the over/under at 5.5 in a home game for Dallas. They have won five of those games coming into tonight. They have won eight of their previous eleven games at home when the oddsmakers installed them as a money line favorite up to a -150 price. The Stars have won fifteen of their previous twenty games at home against teams winning 40% to 49% of their games, and they have won four of those five games this year. Winnipeg won for the second time in their previous three games with a 2-1 victory at Florida on Saturday. Despite this recent run, it looks like a lost season for the Jets. Their 51 points have them tied with Chicago for sixth place in the Central Division. They have won twice in their previous seven games after playing a game where they did not allow more than one goal. Goalie Conner Hellebuyck missed a month of the season due to an injury. Winnipeg went 3-8-1 in the twelve games he was out before he returned on December 13th. Yet, like with Adin Hill with Vegas, we should not underestimate how difficult it can be for goaltenders to regain their top form after coming back from an injury. The Jets have lost five of their last six starts. In his twelve starts last month, he had a 3.07 goals-against average and a .895 save percentage. Winnipeg finishes their four-game road trip tonight, which started last Tuesday. They have won only once in their previous eight games when playing for the fourth time on the road in the previous seven days. They have pulled off only two upset victories in their previous eleven games on the road when the oddsmakers installed them as an underdog. The Stars are averaging 3.3 goals per game, and the Jets have won only two times in their previous fifteen games on the road against opponents who are averaging 3.0 or more goals per game. Dallas has a +0.5 net goal differential this year, and Winnipeg is winless in their previous four games on the road against opponents with a +0.5 or better net goal differential. Play Dallas with the money line. Good luck - Team Del Genio.

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