CFB 20-Star Hi-Roller Total Annihilator -SAT
- Handicapper
- Jim Feist
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Missouri vs Vanderbilt
- Release Date
- 10/25/2025 02:21 AM
- Event Date
- 10/25/2025 03:40 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Missouri vs Vanderbilt Under 53.5 (-120)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- Missouri arrives with a potent offense, averaging roughly 41.7 points per game and allowing about 19.5 points on defense. They’re piling up yards: around 242 passing and 245 rushing per game. Among their key players: QB Beau Pribula leads the team with about 1,617 passing yards so far. RB Ahmad Hardy has emerged as a major threat, rushing for roughly 840 yards. Missouri’s defense is stout too — opponents average just over 4.1 yards per play.
On the Vanderbilt side, they’ve been quietly effective. They average about 41.4 points per game and give up about 20.0. QB Diego Pavia has thrown for approximately 1,569 yards this season. Vanderbilt’s offense is balanced and efficient, and their defense has tightened up, especially in home games.
Given these stats and match-up dynamics, here’s why Vanderbilt covering and the total going under makes sense: Missouri’s high-powered offense has been impressive, but Vanderbilt at home is disciplined and able to slow things down. Vanderbilt’s improved defensive consistency suggests they’ll force Missouri into a more deliberate pace. Meanwhile, the Commodores’ offense, led by Pavia, can keep enough pressure on Missouri without turning it into a shoot-out. I expect both defenses to win pivotal moments - the game stays comfortable but not wild, so the total stays under.
Jim's Play: 183. Missouri/Vandy UNDER