TOM'S 42-18 ATS RARE 5* NCAA BEST BET
- Handicapper
- Tom Stryker
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- BYU vs Iowa State
- Release Date
- 10/25/2025 01:28 AM
- Event Date
- 10/25/2025 03:36 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Iowa State -2.5 (-110)
(Consensus Line)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #186 IOWA ST (-) over BYU at 3:30 PM EST
Off back-to-back SU and ATS losses to Cincinnati and Colorado and with a week of rest, Iowa State will knock BYU from the ranks of the unbeatens with a solid performance over the Stormin' Mormons. The Cougars stroll into Ames with a 7-0 SU record and, off a huge home upset rivalry win over the Utes, they will be emotionally spent for this contest.
Technically speaking, this is a highly profitable for ISU. Since the start of the 2016 season, the Cyclones have assembled a 69-53 SU and 62-49-2 ATS record including a respectable 30-24 SU and 34-19-1 ATS mark provided their opponent played in the comforts of home last. With those two parameters live and Iowa State not laying double digits, this team trend jumps to a solid 29-14-1 ATS. Also, in their own backyard arriving off two or more straight up losses, the Cyclones hold a sensational 16-8 ATS tally including a stunning 13-0 SU and 11-2 ATS if they are favored.
This is actually a tough wagering spot for BYU. Since 1980, game eight road teams that hold a spotless 7-0 SU record own a weak 69-105-2 ATS record provided they are facing a foe that owns a team won/loss percentage of .670 or better. If our "play against" side is facing a foe that enters without steam off pointspread loss, this angle drops to a dismal 18-42 ATS. The Cougars fit both parts of that negative wagering situation.
Cyclones head coach Matt Campbell is one of the best in college football and he will have his troops primed and ready to make a serious statement here. Take Iowa State. Thanks and best of luck, Tom.
