ASA Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK! DAY GAME! 80%!
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Baylor vs Cincinnati
- Release Date
- 10/24/2025 02:12 AM
- Event Date
- 10/25/2025 04:00 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Baylor +3.5 (-108)
(DraftKings)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #123 ASA PLAY ON Baylor +3.5 over Cincinnati, Saturday at 4:00 PM ET - This is a classic buy low, sell high spot with the 6-1 Bearcats overvalued and the 4-3 Bears undervalued. Baylor has faced the much tougher schedule with Auburn, SMU, ASU, KSU and TCU all on the Bears resume. Cincinnati has won 6 straight games but really had favorable scheduling with most of those wins. UC beat Kansas despite getting outgained 10.9YPP to 7.4YPP, the win against ISU was essentially an even game and their win over UCF was a miracle at best. Central Florida had 413 total yards to 306, 15 less first downs and a time of possession deficit of 19 minutes. Both teams faced Oklahoma State and won convincingly but Baylor had much better numbers against the Cowboys than Cincinnati did. Baylor is putting up 486 total yards per game (11th most) at 6.3YPP with the #1 rated passing offense in college football at 344PYPG. The Bears should have a ton of success in that area of the game as the Bearcats allow 240PYPG (97th). Cincinnati has some great overall numbers too including the #2 yards per play offense but the only good defense they faced was Nebraska’s in the first game of the season and they managed just 17 points and 271 total yards of offense. As we mentioned in the beginning of this analysis, this is a great spot to buy low on Baylor and sell high on Cincinnati.