Yesterday’s Results for Mississippi vs Oklahoma

ASA SEC TOTAL OF THE YEAR 12-5 (71%)! 12 ET

Analysis: #149/150 ASA PLAY ON Under 53 Points – Ole Miss vs Oklahoma, Saturday at 12 PM ET - We’re getting some decent value on the Under in this game. The total opened 51.5 and had moved up to 54.5. Our opinion is there is no reason to bet this Over even at 51.5 so we’ll take the Under. Oklahoma has the best defense in the country ranking #1 in total defense, YPP allowed, and #2 in scoring D allowing only 9 PPG. They’ve played 7 games this season and allowed 5 offensive TD’s. The Sooner offense has been OK at best. They’ve been held to 26 points or less in 4 of their 6 FBS games and the 2 games they topped 26 points were vs Kent (133rd total defense) and Temple (74th total defense). All 7 OU games have gone Under the Total and those games are averaging 46 total points. Ole Miss brings in a highly ranked offense but a closer look reveals the average total defense rank of the teams they’ve faced is 73rd. They’ve faced 3 top 50 defenses this year and been held to 24 or less in 2 of those games (vs LSU and Washington State). Last week they did put up 35 points on a top 30 UGA defense but the Rebels only had 351 total yards which would normally get you to around 24 points with an average yards per point number (15 yards per point). 4 of Mississippi’s 6 games vs FBS opponents this year have totaled 55 or fewer points. Heavy rain is possible on Saturday in Norman which should slow down both offenses. We like the Under in this one.