TDG’s MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH
- Handicapper
- Team Del Genio
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
- Release Date
- 08/31/2025 05:58 PM
- Event Date
- 08/31/2025 07:10 PM
- Bet Type
- Over / Under
- Pick
-
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Over 8.5 (-121)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- Our 25* MLB Total of the Month is with the Atlanta/Philadelphia over at 7:10 pm et.
The Philadelphia Phillies won their third straight game on Saturday with a 3-2 victory against the Braves. The Phillies have played eight of their last thirteen games at home over the total after winning their previous game. Philadelphia is averaging 5.4 runs per game at home with a .276 batting average, a .346 on-base percentage, and a .465 slugging percentage. They have played sixteen of their last twenty-five games at home over the number when the oddsmakers installed the over/under at 8 or 8.5. Jesus Luzardo is their starting pitcher tonight. The southpaw has a 12-6 record with a 4.23 era and a 1.32 whip in twenty-seven starts this year. He began the season with a 1.44 era and a 1.02 whip in five starts in April. Since then, he has a 4.97 era and a 1.40 whip in twenty-two starts. His era at home is 4.92. He faces a Braves team that is swinging hot bats this month. In their last twenty-nine games, Atlanta is averaging 5.4 runs per game with a .255 batting average, a .331 on-base average, and a .413 slugging percentage.
The Braves have lost three games in a row, and they have played seven of their last eleven games over the total after losing their previous game. They have played fifteen of their last twenty-four games on the road over the number. Atlanta has played eighteen of their last twenty-nine games over the number against winning teams in the second half of the season, and they have played ten of those sixteen games on the road over the total. Hurston Waldrep is their starting pitcher tonight. Since getting called up from the minor leagues earlier this month, he has a 4-0 record in five appearances and four starts with a 0.90 era and a 0.93 whip. He lost his command of his splitter in his last start at Miami. He only gave up one earned run in five innings, yet he did not strike out any batters, and he gave up ten base hits. The right-hander’s effectiveness has been on borrowed time. Opposing hitters have a batting average of .259 in their batted balls against him in his 30 innings. In his 91 2/3 innings in the minor leagues this year, his babip was .303. The MLB babip average is .289. He has stranded 89.4% of the runners who got on base against him this month. In the minor leagues this year, he left only 63.4% of the runners who got on base against him. The MLB strand rate average is 72.4%. The Phillies are averaging 5.2 runs per game in the last month with a .267 batting average and a .426 slugging percentage in those twenty-eight games. Play the over.
Good luck - Team Del Genio.
