MLB Major MISMATCH (Blowout)
- Handicapper
- Kyle Hunter
- League
- MLB
- Competition
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox
- Release Date
- 08/31/2025 03:28 AM
- Event Date
- 08/31/2025 01:35 PM
- Bet Type
- Run Line
- Pick
-
Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+125)
(BetMGM)
- Outcome
- Win
- Analysis
- *3 Star Play on Red Sox -1.5* The Pittsburgh Pirates have taken the first two games of this series. I don't think they'll finish a sweep in Boston. Mitch Keller has fallen apart since the All Star Break. Keller has an 8.31 ERA and a 5.31 FIP in his last six starts. He has a long history of pitching much worse after the break.
Lucas Giolito has allowed one run or less in four of his last six starts. I think he can take care of this Pirates lineup. Pittsburgh is second worst in the majors in wOBA against right handed pitching. They have a high BABIP in recent games suggesting regression on the way.
The Pirates are still just 22-46 on the road this year. The Red Sox are 41-27 at home. Boston is in a tight race in the AL East. I like them to finish this game out with a much needed comfortable win.
Take Boston -1.5.
