ASA CFB Sunday Slaughter! 8-3 (73%) CFB RUN!
- Handicapper
- ASA, Inc.
- League
- NCAAF
- Competition
- Notre Dame vs Miami Florida
- Release Date
- 08/30/2025 02:06 AM
- Event Date
- 08/31/2025 07:45 PM
- Bet Type
- Point Spread
- Pick
-
Notre Dame -3 (-107)
(BetOnline)
- Outcome
- Loss
- Analysis
- #231 ASA PLAY ON Notre Dame -3 over Miami FL, Sunday at 7:30 PM ET - We’re set for the ESPN 30 for 30 documentary “Catholics vs Convicts” rematch on Sunday in Miami. That film was based on a 1988 match up between these 2 teams with a Lou Holtz led ND team topping a Jimmy Johnson led Miami team 31-30. We like the Irish in this one. While it is a home game for Miami, they have one of the weakest home field advantages in CFB playing in the Dolphins Hard Rock Stadium which is 30 miles from the U of M campus. We expect the well followed Irish to have just as many fans as the Canes if not more. Both teams have had plenty of time to prep for this huge match up which gives Notre Dame a big edge here as they have the MUCH better coaching staff. Cane head coach Cristobal is a very good recruiter but an outright poor coach. His spread record since taking over at Miami is 14-24 ATS and he’s already lost 6 games outright as a 7 point or more favorite (in 3 years) include 2 losses as a 20 point or more chalk. They had arguably the best QB in college last year (Cam Ward), were favored in every game, and still had 3 losses. Notre Dame lost to OSU in the National Championship game and they return 12 starters from that team. Unlike Cristobal, the Irish head coach Freeman has a stellar 29-12 ATS mark. ND will start a redshirt freshman QB Carr but he is surrounded by a strong O Line and one of the top RB’s in the country (Love). We think they’ll have one of the top defenses in the country as well. Miami has transfer QB Beck from Georgia under center this year. We feel he is vastly overrated. Miami also lost their top 6 pass catchers from last year and their top RB Martinez who had over 1,000 yards on the ground. Beyond QB, and we’re not so sure Miami has a huge advantage there, we feel ND has an edge at most positions and coaching will be a big factor here as discussed above. We’ll lay this small number with the Irish.
