Expert Sports Picks and Analysis from Al McMordie

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Previews and Odds - 09/28/2022

Wednesday, Sep 28, 2022

The Wednesday sports card features action in MLB.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Cincinnati Reds at 12:35 PM ET. Bryce Wilson takes the ball for the Pirates to pitch against Luis Cessa for the Reds. Pittsburgh is a -120 money line favorite with the total set at 8 (all odds from DraftKings).The Cleveland Guardians play at home against the Tampa Bay Rays at 6:10 PM ET. The Guardians tap Triston McKenzie to take the mound against the Rays’ Tyler Glasnow. Cleveland is a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Detroit Tigers are at home against the Kansas City Royals at 6:40 PM ET. Matt Manning pitches for the Tigers against Daniel Lynch for the Royals. Detroit is a -135 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Atlanta Braves visit Washington to play the Nationals at 7:05 PM ET. The Braves turn to Jake Odorizzi in their starting rotation to pitch against the Nationals’ Josiah Gray. Atlanta is a -215 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The New York Yankees play in Toronto against the Blue Jays on TBS at 7:07 PM ET. Gerrit Cole gets the starting assignment for the Yankees to battle against Mitch White for the Blue Jays. New York is a -125 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. New York plays at home against Miami, with the Mets tapping Taijuan Walker to pitch against the Marlins’ Jesus Luzardo. The Mets are a -190 money line favorite with an over/under of 7. Boston hosts Baltimore with Rich Hill pitching for the Red Sox against Dean Kremer for the Orioles. The Red Sox are a -115 money line favorite with a total of 9. Three more MLB games start at 7:40 PM ET. Philadelphia travels to Chicago with the Phillies tapping Aaron Nola to duel against the Cubs’ Hayden Wesneski. The Phillies are a -190 money line road favorite. Chicago is at Minnesota with Johnny Cueto pitching for the White Sox against Josh Winder for the Twins. The White Sox are a -115 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Milwaukee plays at home against St. Louis, with the Brewers turning to Brandon Woodruff to pitch against the Cardinals’ Jose Quintana. The Brewers are a -140 money line favorite with a total of 7. The Houston Astros host the Arizona Diamondbacks at 8:10 PM ET. Justin Verlander takes the hill for the Astros to pitch against Zac Gallen for the Diamondbacks. Houston is a -190 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Los Angeles Angels are at home against the Oakland A’s at 9:38 PM ET. The Angels tap Michael Lorenzen to pitch against the A’s Adrian Martinez. Los Angeles is a -190 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. Two more MLB games begin at 9:40 PM ET. Los Angeles plays at San Diego with Julio Urias pitching for the Dodgers against Joe Musgrove for the Padres. The Dodgers are a -135 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Texas visits Seattle with the Rangers turning to Martin Perez to pitch against the Mariners’ George Kirby. The Colorado Rockies play at San Francisco at 9:45 PM ET. Jose Urena takes the mound for the Rockies against a starting pitcher yet to be determined by the Giants.

NFL Scoring is Down

by Team Del Genio

Tuesday, Sep 27, 2022

Scoring is down in the NFL this season. For the first two weeks of the season, teams are averaging 21.41 points per game. In the first two weeks of the season last year, teams averaged 24.0 points per game. Let’s consider the implications of teams averaging 2.59 fewer points per game. The average combined score last year in the first two weeks of the season was 48 points. In the first two weeks of this season, the combined score is just 42.82. The scoring is down even more in this third week of the regular season. Through Sunday night’s low-scoring affair between San Francisco and Denver, teams are averaging only 20.37 points per game, and the average combined score for the previous fifteen games this week has been only 40.74 points. The betting market has yet to catch up with the under posting a 29-17-1 record this season. For prime-time games, the under has cashed in seven of the nine games. These under trends will probably fade as the oddsmakers and the betting market adjusts. Yet when we see the oddsmakers install an over/under below 40 as they did for the Monday night Cowboys/Giants game, we should not get scared off an under play. We had the under for that Monday night game, and bettors won with 39.5 tickets and pushed with 39s with Dallas winning the game, 23-16, to continue the lower-scoring trend. These numbers fly in the face of the conventional wisdom that the NFL has evolved into an offensive-dominated league. Certainly, rule changes designed to protect the quarterback and wide receivers running routes in the middle of the field have had an impact. Yet it would be more precise to indicate that these rule changes help the passing game. Yet with more teams passing the ball more often, scoring has not necessarily increased, as the early season numbers indicate. Perhaps offenses are simply behind the progress of defenses since more and more head coaches opt to not play their first-string offensive players in the preseason. More than a third of the opening week's starting quarterbacks did not take a snap in the preseason. Only three quarterbacks who did not play in the preseason led their team to a victory in Week 1, and two of those quarterbacks were playing against teams who also did not play their quarterback in the preseason. Kirk Cousins led Minnesota to a win against Green Bay with Aaron Rodgers and Justin Herbert led the Los Angeles Chargers to a victory against Derek Carr and the Las Vegas Raiders. Only the Baltimore Ravens with Lamar Jackson started 1-0 after their quarterback did not play in the preseason. Matthew Stafford, Kyler Murray, Dak Prescott, Russell Wilson, Joe Burrow, and Ryan Tannehill were all losing quarterbacks in Week 1 after not playing in the preseason. These 11 quarterbacks combined for an 86.1 passer rating and a 6.9 yards per attempt average, which was a significant drop from their combined 100.4 passer rating and 7.7 yards per attempt average in 2021.If rust is the reason for the scoring decline, then it will be a short-term phenomenon. Yet some reasons support the notion that defenses may be catching up to the recent trends on offense that have emphasized the passing attack. More and more defenses are embracing the principles of Vic Fangio who deploys 3-4 base fronts with two high safeties. The two-high safety look became an effective counter to explosive offenses like Kansas City who thrived on big plays from Patrick Mahomes. Yet the Chiefs struggled against teams who played these two-high safety looks. These defensive concepts are now being used against other high-octane offenses like the Los Angeles Rams and the Buffalo Bills. For those who consider NFL trends to be cyclical in nature, then it makes sense that it would only be a matter of time before defenses began to adjust, adapt, and catch up to these new offensive principles. Injuries and poor play on the offensive line are likely playing a role as well. Some observers are concerned that college football is not doing as good a job as they have in the past in training linemen for the next level. As more and more programs rely on pass-reliant passing offenses in the Air Raid vein, many offensive linemen are getting drafted by NFL teams despite the lack of experience playing with a hand on the ground at the line of scrimmage before the snap. Perhaps it is no coincidence that other teams are finding success running the football. As defenses play more nickel and dime sub-packages to defend against passing attacks, those teams that move in a different direction by emphasizing the run can take advantage of these schemes and lack of linebacker depth on the roster. The Philadelphia Eagles and the Detroit Lions are two teams with heavy run tendencies who are scoring plenty of points early this season. Bettors should consider these early under trends with a grain of salt. Yet it is important to monitor the possibility that the high-scoring games of the past which compelled oddsmakers to install the over/under in the 50s for many NFL games may be starting to wane.Good luck - TDG.

NFL Week 4 Break Down

by AAA Sports

Tuesday, Sep 27, 2022

Week 4BEST GAME – Kansas City at Tampa Bay (+2.5)Kansas City 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATSTampa Bay 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATSPatrick Mahomes is arguing with coaches. Tom Brady is destroying tablets. What will one of these guys do when one of them loses Sunday night and falls to .500? Light the stadium on fire? KC appears to be having all sorts of trouble after a non-existent running game and disastrous special teams play led to a loss to the Colts. Andy Reid is taking the hit for the Keystone Kops debacle, but the players have a lot of clean up. Speaking of cleaning up messes, Brady’s Bucs went nearly an entire game without a touchdown, then completely fudged up the potential 2-point conversion in a loss to the Packers. Who’s more pissed in the family – Gisele or TB12?WORST GAME – New York Jets at Pittsburgh (-3.5)New York 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATSPittsburgh 1-2 SU 1-1-1 ATSDon’t expect a lot of great quarterback play in this one. Zach Wilson might make his season debut (just waiting for doctors to clear him), and the Jets will no doubt protect him by staying on the ground as long as they can move the chains. If he can’t go, it’s another dose of Joe Flacco. In Pittsburgh, there is some pressure to bench vet Mitch Trubisky and see what they have in rookie Kenny Pickett. Mike Tomlin is not the panicking kind, but if they fall to 1-3 on Sunday, it might be time for someone else under center.BIGGEST SPREAD – New England at Green Bay (-10.5)New England 1-2 SU, 0-2-1 ATSGreen Bay 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATSThe Patriots were finally able to put some points on the board, but still were trounced at home by the Ravens. And now they travel to Green Bay with the very real possibility that Break-Glass-in-Case-of-Emergency quarterback Brian Hoyer will be starting his first game since Week 4 of the 2020 season. NE is tight-lipped about the status of QB Mac Jones (high ankle sprain, on top of a back injury suffered in Week 2), but why risk the health of the future of your franchise in a game that is probably unwinnable anyway? BTW, the last time the Pats were double-digit dogs was in the 2002 Super Bowl, when they were +14.5 and beat the Rams.SMALLEST SPREAD – Denver at Las Vegas (-1.5)Denver 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATSLas Vegas 0-3 SU, 0-3 ATSIs it too late for Josh McDaniels to return to New England? Might be able to solve problems for both franchises. McDaniels was called on the carpet by owner Mark Davis after LV went 1 for 12 on third down and could score only twice in six red zone trips in a loss to Tennessee. Yikes. The books are betting on the losing streak to end, always a dangerous strategy. What should concern McDaniels is that through three games Russell Wilson hasn’t really been Russell Wilson, and this could be the game that that happens.LARGEST TOTAL – Buffalo at Baltimore (51.5)Buffalo 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATSBaltimore 2-1 SU, 2-1 ATSRight now Lamar Jackson is the best player in the National Football League. Whoever is No. 2 is so far behind that no one really cares. Jackson had three touchdown passes and more than 100 yards rushing vs. New England, something no one else has done more than once. The Bills have too much talent and pride to play a field position game in this one, so a wide-open battle can be expected.SMALLEST TOTAL – New England at Green Bay (39.5)This one opened at 42.5, but dropped three points on the news that Mac Jones was dealing with a high ankle sprain. The Patriots won’t talk about the injury, but the entire league knows that the Patriots will try to grind this one out whether or not Jones is a go. Green Bay’s offense appears to have taken a step back as well.

Big Al's Daily Angle: MLB Previews and Odds - 09/27/2022

by Big Al Staff

Tuesday, Sep 27, 2022

The Tuesday sports card features action in MLB.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Cleveland Guardians are at home against the Tampa Bay Rays at 6:10 PM ET. Shane Bieber takes the ball for the Guardians to pitch against Corey Kluber for the Rays. Cleveland is a -150 money line favorite, with the total set at 7. The Pittsburgh Pirates play at home against the Cincinnati Reds at 6:35 PM ET. The Pirates give the ball to Mitch Keller to pitch against the Reds’ Hunter Greene. Pittsburgh is a -115 money line favorite with an over/under of 7. The Kansas City Royals play at Detroit against the Tigers at 6:40 PM ET. Zack Greinke pitches for the Royals against Joey Wentz for the Tigers. Both teams are priced at -110 with a total of 8. The Atlanta Braves travel to Washington to play the Nationals at 7:05 PM ET. The Braves turn to Kyle Muller to pitch against the Nationals’ Paolo Espino. The New York Yankees are at Toronto against the Blue Jays at 7:07 PM ET. Jameson Taillon takes the hill for the Yankees against Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays. Both teams are priced at -110 with an over/under of 7.5. Two more games throw out the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins with Carlos Carrasco taking the ball against Pablo Lopez. The Mets are a -210 money line favorite with a total of 7. Boston plays against Baltimore with Michael Wacha pitching for the Red Sox against Kyle Bradish for the Orioles. Boston is a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 9. Three more games start at 7:40 PM ET. Philadelphia plays at Chicago with Zach Wheeler pitching for the Phillies against Marcus Stroman for the Cubs. Philadelphia is a -165 money line road favorite. Chicago is at Minnesota with the White Sox tapping Lance Lynn to pitch against the Twins’ Bailey Ober. Philadelphia is a -165 money line road favorite. St. Louis visits Milwaukee with Miles Mikolas pitching for the Cardinals against Adrian Houser for the Brewers. Both teams are priced at -110 with an over/under of 8.The Houston Astros play at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks at 8:10 PM ET. Lance McCullers pitches for the Astros against Zach Davies for the Diamondbacks. The Astros are a -215 money line favorite with a total of 8. The Los Angeles Angels play at home against the Oakland A’s at 9:38 PM ET. The Angels turn to Jose Suarez in their starting rotation to pitch against James Kaprielian for the A’s. Los Angeles is a -210 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. Two MLB games begin at 9:40 PM ET. The Los Angeles Dodgers play at San Diego against the Padres with Tyler Anderson taking the ball for the Dodgers against Blake Snell for the Padres. Los Angeles is a -120 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Texas Rangers play at Seattle Mariners with Jesus Tinocho pitching for the Rangers against Robbie Ray for the Mariners. The San Francisco Giants host the Colorado Rockies at 9:45 PM ET. The Giants turn to Alex Wood in their starting rotation against German Marquez for the Rockies. San Francisco is a -190 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.

College Football: 3 Winless ATS Teams- Should You Buy Low?

by Kyle Hunter

Monday, Sep 26, 2022

We’re already to week five in the college football season. Time flies when you are having a good time. College football is a fan favorite for a reason. We’ve had yet another early season full of upsets and all kinds of craziness. In general, a good idea is to try to buy low and sell high. That is good stock market advice and college football betting advice as well. You want to try to find teams who have been burning money and buy in on them if there is a good reason to expect better results going forward. Let’s take a look at three winless teams ATS so far this year. Are they teams I’d be interested in backing going forward at all? They need to be evaluated on a case by case basis. Georgia State Panthers (0-4 ATS This Season) Georgia State had a season win total of 7.5 before the season. There have been a lot of sharp bettors looking to bet on this team so far this year, but it hasn’t worked out. Georgia State’s defense has let them down. The Panthers have allowed at least 35 points in all four of their contests. I think this is a well-coached team and they have played a relatively tough schedule, especially for a Sun Belt program. I don’t have much interest in backing them against the triple option attack of Army this weekend, but going forward there should be some chances. The schedule lightens up later in the season for the Panthers, and virtually no one is going to want to bet them based on how they have been burning money. I think there will be some solid contrarian spots to bet on this team. Auburn Tigers (0-4 ATS This Season) Bryan Harsin was reportedly going to be fired if the Missouri Tigers beat Auburn this past Saturday. Auburn tried to give them the game, but Missouri refused to take it. That was one the craziest finishes in college football this year. Missouri missed a very short game winning field goal in regulation and then fumbled the ball right before the goal line when they would have won the game in overtime. Harsin is still in a really bad spot, and this Auburn team lacks a real identity at this point. I see no reason to try to be looking for a time to buy low on this squad. There will have to be some major changes here before I’m interested in backing them. Utah State Aggies (0-4 ATS This Season)Utah State had an amazing run last season. The Aggies won the Mountain West Conference in stunning fashion in 2021. They entered the season last year with a win total of 3 or 3.5. They are now 1-3 overall and 0-4 ATS this season. Their lone win is over lowly UConn. They also lost at home 35-7 to Weber State. Logan Bonner threw 36 touchdowns and 12 interceptions last season. So far this year, Bonner has 6 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Bonner threw a whopping 5 interceptions in Utah State’s home loss to UNLV last week. That was a game where Utah State actually won the box score, but finished a ridiculous -6 in turnover margin.Blake Anderson is a really good coach, and I do think Utah State will continue to fight the rest of the season. This is a team I will look for spots to bet on later in the year.

Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL and MLB Previews and Odds - 09/26/2022

by Big Al Staff

Monday, Sep 26, 2022

The Monday sports card features action in the NFL and MLB.The second week in the National Football League concludes with the Monday Night Football with the New York Giants hosting the Dallas Cowboys on ABC, ESPN, and and the ESPN2 Peyton and Eli “Manningcast” at 8:15 PM ET. The Giants started the season 2-0 with a 19-16 upset victory at home against Carolina as a 1-point favorite last Sunday. Daniel Jones completed 22 of 34 passes for 176 yards with a touchdown and no interceptions in the victory. New York opened their season with a 21-20 upset win at Tennessee as a 5.5-point underdog. The Cowboys evened their record at 1-1 with a 20-17 upset victory at home against Cincinnati as a 7.5-point underdog last Sunday. Cooper Rush, playing for the injured Dak Prescott, completed 19 of 31 passes for 235 yards with a touchdown pass and no interceptions. Dallas started the season with a 19-3 loss at home to Tampa Bay as a 2.5-point underdog. The Giants are a 1-point favorite, with the total set at 39 (all odds from DraftKings). Major League Baseball has four games on its schedule. The Pittsburgh Pirates play at home against the Cincinnati Reds at 6:35 PM ET. The Pirates lost for the ninth time in their last ten games after their 8-3 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Sunday. Their record fell to 56-97 with the loss. The Reds ended a three-game losing streak with a 2-1 win at home against Milwaukee yesterday. They raised their record to 59-94 with the win. Roansy Contreras takes the ball for Pittsburgh to pitch against Chase Anderson for Cincinnati. The Pirates are a -140 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.The Atlanta Braves travel to Washington to play the Nationals at 7:05 PM ET. The Braves have won two in a row with their 8-2 victory in 11 innings at Philadelphia on Sunday. Their 95-58 record places them 1 1/2 games behind the New York Mets for first place in the National League East. The Nationals are on a three-game winning streak after a 6-1 win in Miami yesterday. They raised their record to 53-99. Washington turns to Cory Abbott in their starting rotation to duel against a starting pitcher yet to be named by Atlanta. The New York Yankees play in Toronto against the Blue Jays at 7:07 PM ET. The Yankees won their seventh straight game with their 2-0 victory against the Red Sox in a rain-shortened game stopped after six innings. They improved their record to 94-58, which keeps them in first place by 8 1/2 games over the Blue Jays. Toronto won their second straight game with a 7-1 victory at Tampa Bay on Sunday. Neither New York or Tampa Bay has named their starting pitcher. The Boston Red Sox are at home against the Baltimore Orioles at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox have lost six in a row after their loss to the Yankees last night. They have a 72-80 record. The Orioles lost for the second-straight time yesterday in a 6-3 loss at home to Houston in 11 innings. Their record dropped to 79-73 with the loss. With Seattle’s loss at Kansas City on Sunday, Baltimore is still four games behind the Mariners for the final wild card spot in the American League playoff race. Connor Seabold takes the mound for Boston to pitch against Jordan Lyles for the Orioles. The Red Sox are a -130 money line favorite with a total of 9.5.

The Worst 2-0 Football Team in the NFL

by Oskeim Sports

Sunday, Sep 25, 2022

It’s the 2022 feel-good story, right? The New York Giants have struggled through three straight head coaches that didn’t last past Year 2. Brian Daboll, former Buffalo offensive coordinator, was hired in the offseason to try and get the Giants headed in the right direction. After two weeks of the 2022 NFL season, Daboll and the Giants are 2-0. The turnaround is happening!Or is it?The Giants WinsNew York has two wins so far this season. They beat Tennessee 21-20 in Week 1 after a gutsy two-point conversion call by Daboll. Last week, the Giants won when K Graham Gano hit a 56-yard field goal with just over three minutes to play against Carolina. Then, Daboll gambled and picked up a key first down late in the game to run the clock out.The combined record of the Titans and the Panthers at this point in the season is 0-4. Carolina hasn’t won more than five games in a few years and the Titans appear to be on a downward slide. It’s not like the Giants beat the Bills or Chiefs. The question then is – Are the Giants one of the worst 2-0 teams in NFL history?The HistorySince the NFL merger in 1970, there have been 11 teams that have started an NFL season 2-0 with a four-point or less point differential. The 2012 Philadelphia Eagles won their first two games that season by one point each. After the 2-0 start, the Eagles won just two more games and finished 4-12.History says that the Giants probably aren’t as good as their 2-0 record suggests. The teams in this category – 2-0 with a point differential of +4 or less – have gone on to finish their respective seasons with a .455 winning percentage. That is the equivalent of 7.7 wins and 9.3 losses in a 17-game season.Three of the 11 teams went on to 11-win season. The Giants happened to be one of them. In 2016, the Giants started 2-0 with a 20-19 win over Dallas and a 16-13 victory over the Saints. New York ended up 11-5 and earned an NFC wild card. The Giants got beat by Green Bay in the playoffs that year.Seattle in 2019 and Carolina in 2003 were the other two teams to start a season 2-0 with a +4 or less point differential and go on to win 11 games. That is not the norm. In looking at 2-0 teams regardless of their point differential, it is interesting to find that those teams finish the rest of the season with a .567 winning percentage.In 2022 so far, there are five other teams in addition to the Giants that are 2-0. Miami (+17), Buffalo (+55), Kansas City (+26), Philadelphia (+20), and Tampa Bay (+26) are all unbeaten after two games. When you don’t account for point differential, all 2-0 teams since the merger go on to win 9.6 games and lost 7.4 games per season.Are the Giants the Worst 2-0 in NFL History?The answer to that question will come when the 2022 season concludes, but precedent is not on the side of the Giants. Only five of the 11 teams on this list finished their season with a winning record.The Giants currently rank 18th in DVOA which, if you don’t know what that is, it’s a measure of the Giants taking into account the quality of their opponents. Even more telling is ESPN’s Power Index. The Giants are currently 27th out of 32 teams. They rank right behind No. 26 Atlanta. The Falcons are 0-2.

Big Al's Daily Angle: NFL and MLB Previews and Odds - 09/25/2022

by Big Al Staff

Sunday, Sep 25, 2022

The Sunday sports card features action in the NFL and MLB.The second week in the National Football League continues with 14 games. Nine games kick off at 1 PM ET. The New Orleans Saints travel to Carolina to play the Panthers as a 2.5-point road favorite with the total set at 41 (all odds from DraftKings). The Chicago Bears play at home against the Houston Texans as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 39. The Kansas City Chiefs are at Indianapolis against the Colts as a 5.5-point road favorite with a total of 50.5. The Buffalo Bills play in Miami against the Dolphins as a 4.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 53.5. The Minnesota Vikings host the Detroit Lions as a 6-point favorite with a total of 52.5. The Baltimore Ravens visit New England to play the Patriots as a 2.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 44. The Cincinnati Bengals are in New York against the Jets as a 6-point road favorite with a total of 45. The Las Vegas Raiders play at Tennessee against the Titans as a 2-point road favorite with an over/under of 45.5. Philadelphia is at Washington as a 6.5-point road favorite with a total of 47.5. The Los Angeles Chargers host the Jacksonville Jaguars at 4:05 PM ET as a 3-point favorite with an over/under of 42.5. Three more NFL games kick off at 4:25 PM ET. The Los Angeles Rams visit Arizona to play the Rams as a 3.5-point road favorite with a total of 48.5. The Seattle Seahawks play at home against the Atlanta Falcons as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 42. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are at home against the Green Bay Packers as a 1.5-point favorite with a total of 42. The San Francisco 49ers travel to Denver to play the Broncos on NBC and Peacock at 8:20 PM ET for Sunday Night Football. The 49ers are a 1.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 44.5. Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 1:05 PM ET. The Houston Astros play at Baltimore against the Orioles as a -165 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Atlanta Braves are at Philadelphia against the Phillies as a -125 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Tampa Bay Rays play at home against the Toronto Blue Jays at 1:10 PM ET as a -140 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Chicago Cubs visit the Pittsburgh Pirates at 1:35 PM ET with both teams priced at -110 with an over/under of 8. Two MLB games start at 1:40 PM ET. The Miami Marlins host the Washington Nationals as a -175 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Milwaukee Brewers are at Cincinnati against the Reds as a -145 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Three more MLB games begin at 2:10 PM ET. The Chicago White Sox play at home against the Detroit Tigers as a -250 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Minnesota Twins are at home against the Los Angeles Angels as a -115 money line favorite with an over/under of 8. The Seattle Mariners travel to Kansas City to play the Royals as a -180 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Cleveland Guardians play at Texas against the Rangers at 2:35 PM ET as a -135 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. The San Diego Padres are at Colorado against the Rockies at 3:10 PM ET as a -150 money line road favorite with a total of 11. The San Francisco Giants visit Arizona to play the Diamondbacks at 3:40 PM ET. The New York Mets play at Oakland against the A’s at 4:07 PM ET as a -315 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7. The Los Angeles Dodgers are at home against the St. Louis Cardinals at 4:10 PM ET as a -150 money line favorite with a total of 9. The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox on ESPN at 7:08 PM ET for Sunday Night Baseball. The Yankees are a -175 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5.

NFL Sunday Player Props

by ASA, Inc.

Saturday, Sep 24, 2022

Tua Tagovailoa Over .5 INTS (-115)After an insane comeback last week where Tua went nuclear for 469 yards and 6 TDs, he gets Bills Mafia coming to Hard Rock in week 3. Josh Allen looks unstoppable, giving us hopes of a righteous shootout (52.5 o/u) with some of the best WRs in football. Tua threw 2 picks last week and will likely be asked to air it out all afternoon once again. Buffalo has arguably the best safety combo in the league with Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer patrolling the deep shots. More passing volume means more opportunity for picks. Justin Fields Under 176.5 Pass Yards (-114)Fields has been terrible throwing the football so far in 2022. Yes, he has played two solid defenses in SF and GB but he has completed just 15 passes through two games. The Bears have very few weapons and they have leaned heavily on the run to keep the ball out of their QBs hands. While playing from behind against GB, Fields amounted just 11 pass attempts. In the lowest point total for Sunday (39.5), expect a slow pace with few chunk plays. AJ Dillion Over 11.5 Rush Att (-110)Aaron Jones was the star of Sunday night last week, amassing 15 carries for 132 yards. Even so, AJ Dillion still led the back field with 18 rush attempts. Aaron Rodgers has struggled against Tampa Bay’s physical defense in the past, throwing for 160 yards and 2 INTs the last time he traveled to Raymond James Stadium. Look for the Packers to stay on schedule as much as possible and use their RBs to stay ahead of the chains. Green Bay realizes that Dillons touches may not be as explosive as Jones’ but are completely necessary to grind opposing defenses.

NFL Game Three Home Chalk That Doesn't Walk

by Tom Stryker

Saturday, Sep 24, 2022

Now that the NFL is off and running and each team has a couple of games under their belt, there is hope that things will settle down in the league. There are always surprises early in the season and we’ve been treated to a few major upsets and a couple of incredible comebacks. There will likely be more. Thankfully, with the help of my pro football database, the same one that was featured in the December 13th, 2010, issue of the ESPN Insider magazine, I’ve been able to isolate and profit from a number of early season technical situations that have performed very well. My “NFL Game Three Home Chalk That Doesn’t Walk” system is one that has made my clients and I a great deal of profit over the years. The research I did on this particular situation was pretty basic and simple. I wanted to see how a 1-1 SU team did at home checking in off a straight up loss. My gut told me that these teams probably did pretty well. I couldn’t have been more wrong. Take a peek at this handicapping gem: Since 1986, PLAY AGAINST any game three NFL home favorite that owns a 1-1 SU record provided they take the field off a straight up non-division road loss, if they are battling a foe that is competing in their third regular season game. 36-Year ATS Record = 40-11-2 ATS for 78.4 percent This Week’s Play = DETROIT LIONS The knee-jerk reaction would be to side with that 1-1 SU host thinking they would bounce back of a road loss. That simply doesn’t happen. Last week, after knocking off Green Bay at home in its season opener, Minnesota traveled to Philadelphia on Monday night and dropped a 24-7 decision to the Eagles. Now, the Purple People Eaters are back in the Twin Cities laying points to a Lions bunch that arrives with steam off a home win and cover over the Commanders. Our Game Three Home Chalk That Doesn’t Walk system demands that we fade the Vikes in this spot. Good luck with the Lions on Sunday in this huge NFC North battle!

Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 09/24/2022

by Big Al Staff

Saturday, Sep 24, 2022

The Saturday sports card features action in NCAAF, MLB, and CFL.The fourth week of the college football regular season continues with 55 games between FBS opponents. Seven nationally-televised NCAAF games kick off at noon ET. Michigan host Maryland on Fox as a 17-point favorite with the total set at 64.5 (all odds from DraftKings). Auburn plays at home against Missouri on ESPN as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 51.5. TCU travels to SMU on ESPNU as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 71. Kansas is at home against Duke on FS1 as a 7-point favorite with an over/under of 63.5. Iowa State plays at home against Baylor on ESPN2 as a 2-point favorite with a total of 45.5. Clemson visits Wake Forest on ABC as an 8-point road favorite with an over/under of 55.5. Eastern Michigan is at home against Buffalo on the CBS Sports Network as a 6-point favorite with a total of 59. Five NCAAF games on national television at 3:30 PM ET. Tennessee hosts Florida on CBS as an 11-point favorite with an over/under of 63. Texas plays at Texas Tech on ESPN as a 7-point road favorite with a total of 61. North Carolina is at home against Notre Dame on ABC as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 55.5. Cincinnati plays at home against Indiana on ESPN2 as a 16.5-point favorite with an over/under of 57. Toledo travels to San Diego State on FS1 as a 3-point road favorite with a total of 45. Two nationally-televised NCAAF games begin at 4 PM ET. Oregon visits Washington State on Fox as a 6.5-point road favorite with an over/under of 57.5. Central Florida is at home against Georgia Tech on ESPNU as a 21-point favorite with a total of 57. Five NCAAF games on national television start at 7 PM ET. UNLV travels to Utah State on the CBS Sports Network as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 62. Kentucky hosts Northern Illinois on ESPN2 as a 27-point favorite with a total of 54. Iowa plays at Rutgers on FS1 as an 8-point road favorite with an over/under of 34. Texas plays Arkansas at AT&T Stadium in Dallas on ESPN as a 2-point favorite with a total of 50. Marshall is at Troy on the NFL Network as a 3-point road favorite with an over/under of 51.5. Two more nationally-televised NCAAF games begin at 7:30 PM ET. Ohio State plays at home against Wisconsin on ABC as a 19.5-point favorite with a total of 57. South Carolina is at home against Charlotte on ESPNU as a 23.5-point favorite with an over/under of 66.5. Oklahoma hosts Kansas State on Fox at 8 PM ET as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 53. BYU plays at home against Wyoming on ESPN2 as a 21.5-point favorite with an over/under of 50. San Jose State is at home against Western Michigan on the CBS Sports Network as a 6.5-point favorite with a total of 49. Utah visits Arizona State on ESPN at 10:30 PM ET as a 16-point road favorite with an over/under of 54. Washington hosts Stanford on FS1 at 10:30 PM ET as a 13.5-point favorite with a total of 62. Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The New York Yankees play at home against the Boston Red Sox at 1:05 PM ET as a -165 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Atlanta Braves travel to Philadelphia to play the Phillies at 4:05 PM ET as a -135 money line road favorite with a total of 8. The New York Mets play at Oakland against the A’s at 4:07 PM ET as a -380 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7. Two MLB games throw out the first pitch at 6:10 PM ET. The Miami Marlins host the Washington Nationals as a -225 money line favorite with a total of 6.5. The Tampa Bay Rays are at home against the Toronto Blue Jays as a -115 money line favorite with an over/under of 6.5. The Chicago Cubs travel to Pittsburgh to play the Pirates at 6:35 PM ET with both teams priced at -110 with a total of 7.5. The Milwaukee Brewers are at Cincinnati to play the Reds at 6:40 PM ET as a -215 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.Two MLB games start at 7:05 PM ET. The Houston Astros play at Baltimore against the Orioles as a -195 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Cleveland Guardians are at Texas to play the Rangers as a -125 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8. Three more MLB games begin at 7:10 PM ET. The Seattle Mariners visit Kansas City to play the Royals as a -175 money line road favorite with a total of 8. The Chicago White Sox host the Detroit Tigers as a -180 money line favorite with an over/under of 8.5. The Minnesota Twins are at home against the Los Angeles Angels as a -135 money line favorite with a total of 7. Two MLB games start at 8:10 PM ET. The Arizona Diamondbacks play at home against the San Francisco Giants as a -125 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The San Diego Padres are at Colorado as a -200 money line road favorite with a total of 10.5. The Los Angeles Dodgers host the St. Louis Cardinals at 9:10 PM ET as a -180 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Week 16 in the Canadian Football League concludes with two games. The Toronto Argonauts play at Ottawa against the Redblacks as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 46.5. The British Columbia Lions are at home against the Calgary Stampeders as a 1-point favorite with an over/under of 54.5.

Big Al's Daily Angle: NCAAF, MLB and CFL Previews and Odds - 09/23/2022

by Big Al Staff

Friday, Sep 23, 2022

The Friday sports card features action in NCAAF, MLB, and CFL.The fourth week of the college football regular season continues with three games between FBS opponents. Syracuse hosts Virginia on ESPN at 7 PM ET. The Orange won their third straight game this season with a 32-39 victory against Purdue as a 1.5-point favorite on Saturday. The Cavaliers come off a 16-14 victory against Old Dominion as a 9-point underdog last Saturday. Syracuse is a 10-point favorite, with the total set at 54 (all odds from DraftKings).Air Force hosts Nevada on FS1 at 8 PM ET. The Falcons come off a 17-14 upset loss to Nevada as a 16.5-point favorite on Friday. The Wolf Pack got beat, 24-0, against Iowa last Saturday as a 24-point underdog. Air Force is a 24.5-point favorite with an over/under of 46.5. Boise State plays at UTEP on the CBS Sports Network at 9 PM ET. The Broncos won their second straight game this season with a 30-7 victory against Tennessee-Martin on Saturday. The Miners got upset, 27-10, as a 2-point favorite last Saturday. Boise State is a 16-point road favorite with a total of 45.5.Major League Baseball has 15 games on its schedule. The Chicago Cubs play at the Pittsburgh Pirates at 6:35 PM ET as a -115 money line road favorite with an over/under of 8.5. Two more games throw out the first pitch at 6:40 PM ET. The Washington Nationals play at Miami against the Marlins. Milwaukee is at Cincinnati against the Reds with the Brewers a -155 money line road favorite with a total of 8.5.Three MLB games start at 7:05 PM ET. The New York Yankees host the Boston Red Sox as a -205 money line favorite on Apple TV+ as a -205 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Houston Astros play at Baltimore against the Orioles as a -145 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The Philadelphia Phillies are at home against the Atlanta Braves as a -155 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. The Tampa Bay Rays are at home against the Toronto Blue Jays at 7:10 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with a total of 7. The Texas Rangers play at home against the Cleveland Guardians at 8:05 PM ET as a -120 money line favorite with an over/under of 7.5. Four more MLB games start at 8:10 PM ET. The Chicago White Sox play at home against the Detroit Tigers as a -180 money line favorite with a total of 7.5. The Los Angeles Angels play at Minnesota against the Twins. The San Diego Padres are at Colorado against the Rockies as a -155 money line road favorite with an over/under of 11.5. The Seattle Mariners play at Kansas City against the Royals. The San Francisco Giants are at Arizona against the Diamondbacks at 9:40 PM ET as a -130 money line road favorite with a total of 7.5. The New York Mets are at Oakland against the A’s as a -225 money line road favorite with an over/under of 7. The Seattle Mariners travel to Los Angeles to play the Dodgers on Apple TV+ at 10:10 PM ET as a -165 money line favorite with a total of 8.5. Week 16 in the Canadian Football League kicks off with one game. The Montreal Alouettes host the Hamilton Tiger-Cats as a 2.5-point favorite with an over/under of 52.

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