Wisconsin Badgers vs Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/10/2026

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Venue:  State Farm Center, Champaign, IL

Where to Watch:  Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin +11.5, Illinois -11.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin +11.5, Illinois -11.5; Over/Under:  155.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Wisconsin +12.5, Illinois -12.5; Over/Under:  154.5 points

Wisconsin Badgers:  16-7 (8-4) (7th place, Big Ten)

Illinois Fighting Illini:  20-4 (11-2) (2nd place, Big Ten)

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Wisconsin Badgers:  3-2  last 5

Illinois Fighting Illini:  4-1  last 5

Wisconsin is entering this game with a 16-7 record overall, an 8-4 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Indiana Hoosiers in their last game. Nolan Winter led the team in points in that game with 26 while Nicholas Boyd was next on the team with 20. Nicholas Boyd led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Nolan Winter led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 38% from the field, 33.3% from 3-point range, and 91.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 83 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 75.2 PPG against them. Wisconsin has an ATS record of 12-11 this season and their O/U record is 13-10.

Illinois is entering this game with a 20-4 record overall, an 11-2 conference record, and they are 12-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Michigan State Spartans in their last game. David Mirković led the team in points in that game with 18 while Andrej Stojaković was next on the team with 17. David Mirković led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Zvonimir Ivisic led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 36.6% from the field, 27.8% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.9 PPG against them. Illinois has an ATS record of 15-9 this season and their O/U record is 9-15.

The current betting odds have Wisconsin listed as an 11.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Wisconsin has looked good in their games this season with their 16-7 record overall and their 8-4 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They have been a good road team too with their 3-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, Illinois has looked great in their games this season with their 20-4 record overall and their 11-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-1 home record this season. Illinois has been rolling in their games lately and they are starting to look like one of the best teams in the conference. They are 4-1 in their last 5 games, but they are off a loss to Michigan State in their last one and they really let that game slip away after leading for most of the time. They went into that game off a huge win over Northwestern, but they really haven't been blowing out many opponents lately. Wisconsin is 3-2 in their last 5 games and they are off a loss to Indiana in their last one, but that was a really tight game that went to OT and Wisconsin has played in a lot of those lately. They didn't have the best start to the conference schedule as they struggled against stronger opponents, but they have found their groove lately and have been able to compete with the top teams in the Big Ten. Even when they have lost lately, it hasn't been by much and they will be looking to bounce back after such a tight loss in their last game. Look for Wisconsin to bounce back here and keep this game competitive. The best way to place a bet here is on Wisconsin to cover the spread in this game. 

Wisconsin Illinois Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 10, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Illinois 88 Wisconsin 80.

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Wisconsin Badgers: 3-8 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 2-5 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. 18-8 OVER as an underdog. 8-4 OVER off a road loss against a conference rival. 

Illinois Fighting Illini: 21-13 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points. 10-5 ATS off a loss against a conference rival. 11-4 ATS after allowing 85 points or more. 11-3 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points. 7-2 OVER off a road loss against a conference rival.

Wisconsin Badgers:  A. Rapp (F) Questionable - Illness.

Illinois Fighting Illini:  J. Jakstys (C) Out - Undisclosed. K. Boswell (G) Out - Hand. T. Rodgers (G-F) Questionable - Knee.

“Well, we would try to get a stop there at the end, and I thought we did a good job of switching on Wilkerson. I haven’t seen that clip yet. I thought Blackwell did a really good job of walling him up. I’ll see whether he just fell down and they blew the whistle or if there was actual contact.” - Greg Gard on the final plays of the game in his team’s loss against Indiana in their last game. 

"High-level college basketball game. Two really good teams, about what I expected it to be. [MSU was] a team that had lost twice and played great, so my hat's off to Tom." - Brad Underwood after his team’s loss against MSU in their last game. 

A. Bieliauskas 

J. Blackwell 

N. Boyd 

A. Rohde 

N. Winter

K. Boswell 

T. Ivisic 

D. Mirkovic 

A. Stojakovic 

K. Wagler

PPG: Nick Boyd (20)

APG: Nick Boyd (3.7)

Reb/G: Nolan Winter (8.8)

PPG: Keaton Wagler (17.8)

APG: Keaton Wagler (4.2)

Reb/G: David Mirkovic (8.1)

Coaches:

Wisconsin Badgers: Greg Gard (11th season)

Illinois Fighting Illini: Brad Underwood (9th season)