Vegas Golden Knights vs Washington Capitals Prediction, Preview and Odds - 02/27/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Feb 26, 2026
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Friday, February 27, 2026
Venue:  Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights -105, Capitals -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights -105, Capitals -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights -105, Capitals -115; Over/Under:  5.5 goals

Season Record

Vegas Golden Knights:  28-16-14 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Washington Capitals:  30-23-7 (4th place, Metropolitan Division)

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Recent Form
Vegas Golden Knights:  4-4-2 last 10
Washington Capitals:  6-3-1 last 10



Vegas Golden Knights vs Washington Capitals Preview and Analysis


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 70 points, a 28-16-14 record overall, and they are 14-8-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Kings in their last game, winning that one on the road 6-4. Pavel Dorofeyev led the team in goals scored with 2 while Colton Sissons, Reilly Smith, Brandon Saad, and Ivan Barbashev each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Tanner Laczynski led the team in assists with 3 while Brayden McNabb and Pavel Dorofeyev each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 4 goals on 19 shots with 15 saves and a .789 save percentage. Their offense has scored 197 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 183 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.



The Capitals are entering this game with 67 points, a 30-23-7 record overall, and they are 18-10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game, winning that one at home 3-1. Aliaksei Protas, Rasmus Sandin, and Trevor van Riemsdyk each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Aliaksei Protas, Declan Chisholm, Hendrix Lapierre, and Jakob Chychrun each led the team in assists with 1 while Anthony Beauvillier and Ethen Frank each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Logan Thompson was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goal on 24 shots with 23 saves and a .958 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 192 goals this season averaging 3.2 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 178 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


Golden Knights vs Capitals Prediction

The current betting odds have the Golden Knights listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Golden Knights have looked great in their games this season with their 28-16-14 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West. They have been a good road team too with their 14-8-7 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Capitals have looked good in their games this season with their 30-23-7 record overall which has them in the top half of their division in the East. They have looked good on home ice too with their 18-10-3 home record this season. The Capitals are off a 3-1 win over the Flyers in their first game back from the Olympic Break and they looked good going into the break with their 6-3-1 record in their last 10 games. They did struggle to beat the Flyers though and needed 2 late goals to win, their offense struggling a lot. The Golden Knights didn't look great going into the break as they are 4-4-2 in their last 10 games, but they are off a 6-4 road win over the Kings in their first game back and they have won 3 games in a row now too. They had a really slow start in that win against the Kings and were even trailing into the 3rd period, but their offense exploded in the 3rd with 5 goals scored and that is going to propel them into this next game. The Golden Knights have the better offense coming out of the break and they have been the more consistent team all season too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Golden Knights to win this game. 

Golden Knights Capitals Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Friday, February 27, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Knights 4 Capitals 3.
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NHL Betting Trends


Vegas Golden Knights: 131-109 (-21.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-47 (-21.8 units) on the moneyline when the money line is -100 to -150. 62-66 (-20.7 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 15-9 OVER after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game.

Washington Capitals: 126-112 (+7.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 37-20 (+6.2 units) on the moneyline as a home favorite of -200 or less. 43-28 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 23-14 OVER at home when the money line is -100 to -150.

Key Injuries


Vegas Golden Knights:  M. Marner (RW) Day To Day - Not Injury Related. M. Stone (RW) Day To Day - Not Injury Related. S. Theodore (D) Day To Day - Not Injury Related. J. Eichel (C) Day To Day - Not Injury Related. N. Hanifin (D) Day To Day - Not Injury Related. B. Howden (C) Out - Lower Body. C. Hart (G) Out - Leg. J. Rondbjerg (RW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. W. Karlsson (C) Out - Lower Body.

Washington Capitals:  T. Wilson (RW) Day To Day - Illness. J. Carlson (D) Day To Day - Lower-Body.


Notable Quotes


“I mean, that’s what good teams do. They pick up each other no matter what. Maybe we looked a little bit different on the paper tonight, but we're still the Golden Knights, and that’s how we play.” - Pavel Dorofeyev after their win against the LA Kings in their game on Wednesday.


“We just have to find ways to win games. So, tonight I don't think it was our best, but coming off the break, shaking some of the rust off and finding a way to win and get us some momentum and start this final push off on the right foot was important.” - Spencer Carbery after his team’s win against the Flyers in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Vegas Golden Knights
LW Ivan Barbashev
C Jack Eichel
RW Braeden Bowman
LD Brayden McNabb
RD Shea Theodore
G Adin Hill

Washington Capitals
LW Aliaksei Protas
C Dylan Strome
RW Alex Ovechkin
LD Jakob Chychrun
RD Matt Roy
G Logan Thompson

Statistical Leaders


Vegas Golden Knights
Points: Jack Eichel (68)
Goals: Pavel Dorofeyev (28)
Assists: Jack Eichel (47)
GAA: Akira Schmid (2.53)

Washington Capitals
Points: Tom Wilson (49)
Goals: Tom Wilson (23)
Assists: John Carlson (36)
GAA: Logan Thompson (2.41)

Coaches:
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (4th season)
Washington Capitals: Spencer Carbery (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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