Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/03/2026

by Rod Pearson

Monday, Mar 02, 2026
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 3, 2026
Venue:  KeyBank Center, Buffalo, NY
Where to Watch:  ESPN+


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline:  Knights +100, Sabres -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
Bet365:  Moneyline:  Knights +100, Sabres -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals
BetMGM:  Moneyline:  Knights +100, Sabres -120; Over/Under:  6.5 goals

Season Record

Vegas Golden Knights:  28-18-4 (1st place, Pacific Division)
Buffalo Sabres:  35-19-6 (2nd place, Atlantic Division)

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Recent Form
Vegas Golden Knights:  3-5-2 last 10
Buffalo Sabres:  7-2-1 last 10



Vegas Golden Knights vs Buffalo Sabres Preview and Analysis


The Golden Knights are entering this game with 70 points, a 28-18-4 record overall, and they are 14-10-7 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Pittsburgh Penguins in their last game, losing that one on the road 5-0. No one on the team scored a goal or recorded an assist for them. Reilly Smith led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Adin Hill was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 5 goals on 22 shots with 17 saves and a .773 save percentage. Their offense has scored 199 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 191 goals against them allowing 3.2 goals per game.



The Sabres are entering this game with 76 points, a 35-19-6 record overall, and they are 17-8-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Tampa Bay Lightning in their last game, winning that one on the road 6-2. Josh Norris led the team in goals scored with 2 while Rasmus Dahlin, Zach Metsa, Alex Tuch, and Tage Thompson each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Rasmus Dahlin led the team in assists with 2 while Tage Thompson led the team in shots on net in that game with 6. Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 38 shots with 36 saves and a .947 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 206 goals this season averaging 3.4 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 181 goals against them allowing 3 goals per game.


Golden Knights vs Sabres Prediction

The current betting odds have the Sabres listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Sabres have looked really good in their games this season with their 35-19-6 record overall which has them right near the top of their division in the East. They have looked great on home ice too with their 17-8-3 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Golden Knights have looked great in their games this season with their 28-18-4 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West. They have been a good road team too with their 14-10-7 road record this year. The Golden Knights haven't been a great road team though and they definitely haven't looked good lately. They are 3-5-2 in their last 10 games as they have struggled coming back from the Olympic Break and they have lost 2 games in a row now too, coming off a 5-0 loss to the Penguins in their last one. The Sabres have been rolling though and they have been red hot since coming back from the break. The Sabres are 7-2-1 in their last 10 games and they have won 3 games in a row now, coming off a 6-2 road win over the Lightning in their last one. The Sabres haven't made the playoffs in years either, but they look right on track to end that drought this season. The Sabres have also looked a lot better in their home games this season so they can take advantage of this Golden Knights team that hasn't been their best on the road and hasn't been playing well lately either. The best way to place a bet here is on the Sabres to win this game. 

Golden Knights Sabres Prediction:  Our NHL Pick for Tuesday, March 3, 2026 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Sabres 4 Knights 2.
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NHL Betting Trends


Vegas Golden Knights: 131-111 (-24.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 63-56 (-9.5 units) on the moneyline after playing a road game. 73-62 (-23.7 units) on the moneyline against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game. 27-20 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150.

Buffalo Sabres: 110-114 (+6.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 61-48 (+11 units) on the moneyline in home games. 13-7 (+9.4 units) on the moneyline after scoring 6 goals or more in their previous game. 8-3 UNDER after a 3 game winning streak.

Key Injuries


Vegas Golden Knights:  M. Stone (RW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. J. Rondbjerg (RW) Day To Day - Undisclosed. B. Howden (C) Out - Lower Body. C. Hart (G) Out - Leg. W. Karlsson (C) Out - Lower Body.

Buffalo Sabres:  J. Danforth (RW) Day To Day - Lower Body. J. Greenway (LW) Out - Abdomen. C. Timmins (D) Out - Leg. J. Kulich (C) Out - Ear.


Notable Quotes


“He was getting looked at. I assume he’ll be on the plane with us to Buffalo. And then, probably have a better update tomorrow. Upper body is all I was told. See where it lands.” - Bruce Cassidy after his team’s loss against the Penguins in their game on Sunday.


"I thought we got off to a great start, skated really well, moved the puck well, supported the puck well coming out of the zone that led to a lot of good opportunities. I thought tonight we made some good plays and then we put them in the back of the net." - Lindy Ruff after his team’s win against the Lightning in their game on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Vegas Golden Knights
LW Ivan Barbashev
C Jack Eichel
RW Mark Stone
LD Jeremy Lauzon
RD Shea Theodore
G Adin Hill

Buffalo Sabres
LW Peyton Krebs
C Tage Thompson
RW Alex Tuch
LD Mattias Samuelsson
RD Rasmus Dahlin
G Alex Lyon

Statistical Leaders


Vegas Golden Knights
Points: Jack Eichel (68)
Goals: Pavel Dorofeyev (28)
Assists: Jack Eichel (47)
GAA: Akira Schmid (2.55)

Buffalo Sabres
Points: Tage Thompson (63)
Goals: Tage Thompson (32)
Assists: Rasmus Dahlin (39)
GAA: Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (2.62)

Coaches:
Vegas Golden Knights: Bruce Cassidy (4th season)
Buffalo Sabres: Lindy Ruff (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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