Vanderbilt Commodores vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/07/2026

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Saturday, March 7, 2026

Venue:  Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center, Knoxville, TN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +4.5, Tennessee -4.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +3.5, Tennessee -3.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Vanderbilt +3.5, Tennessee -3.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Vanderbilt Commodores:  23-7 (10-7) (6th place, SEC)

Tennessee Volunteers:  21-9 (11-6) (4th place, SEC)

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Vanderbilt Commodores:  2-3  last 5

Tennessee Volunteers:  3-2  last 5

Vanderbilt is entering this game with a 23-7 record overall, a 10-7 record in conference games, and they are 7-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Ole Miss Rebels in their last game. Tyler Tanner led the team in points in that game with 34 while AK Okereke and Duke Miles each were next on the team with 16. Tyler Tanner led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Devin McGlockton led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 38.7% from the field, 28.1% from 3-point range, and 73.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.9 PPG against them. Vanderbilt has an ATS record of 15-15 this season and their O/U record is 15-15.

Tennessee is entering this game with a 21-9 record overall, an 11-6 conference record, and they are 14-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the South Carolina Gamecocks in their last game. J.P. Estrella led the team in points in that game with 22 while Felix Okpara was next on the team with 20. Ja'Kobi Gillespie led the team in assists with 12 in that game while Felix Okpara led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 54.1% from the field, 28.6% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 80 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 PPG against them. Tennessee has an ATS record of 13-16-1 this season and their O/U record is 15-15.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked good in their games this season with their 21-9 record overall and their 11-6 conference record which has them right near the top of the SEC. They have looked great on their home court too with their 14-2 home record this season. Meanwhile, Vanderbilt has looked good in their games this season with their 23-7 record overall and their 10-7 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have been a good road team too with their 7-4 road record this year. Vandy definitely hasn't been at their best in road games this year with a majority of their losses this season coming on the road, and they haven't looked that good lately either. They are 2-3 in their last 5 games as the wheels have been starting to come off in this final stretch of the regular season. They are off a win over Ole Miss in their last one, but they had to go to OT to get the win against one of the weaker teams in the SEC. Tennessee hasn't been the same team this season that they have been in years past, but they have definitely gotten stronger as the conference schedule has gone on. They had a tougher start to the year, but now they are 3-2 in their last 5 games and have found their way toward the top of the conference. They are off a big win over South Carolina in their last one too and they are starting to play with some momentum on their side again, finding themselves ranked inside the top 25 once again. Look for Tennessee to continue on the right path here and win this final home game of the regular season against a Vandy team that has been falling apart lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Vanderbilt Tennessee Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, March 7, 2026 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 73 Vanderbilt 67.

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Vanderbilt Commodores: 6-3 ATS in a road game where the total is 140 to 149.5. 8-2 ATS off a road win. 7-3 ATS after playing a road game. 8-3 UNDER revenging a home loss vs opponent. 18-10 UNDER after scoring 85 points or more.

Tennessee Volunteers: 4-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 6-11 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 6-12 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 13-2 UNDER off a road win against a conference rival.

Vanderbilt Commodores:  M. James (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Kimble (G) Out - Knee.

Tennessee Volunteers:  N. Ament (F) Questionable - Leg. C. Massamba (G) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Phillips (F) Out - Shoulder.

"His ability to drive and score and get fouled and just do everything under the sun, steals and everything else. That guy was spectacular tonight.” - Mark Byington after his team’s win against Ole Miss in their last game. 

"I've said it before, if it were up to him, he'd play every game. But we've obviously got to make sure that we're doing the right thing for Nate." - Rick Barnes on the injury to Nate Ament.

D. McGlockton 

D. Miles 

T. Nickel 

A. Okereke 

T. Tanner

N. Ament 

B. Boswell 

D. Brown 

J. Gillespie 

F. Okpara

PPG: Tyler Tanner (19)

APG: Tyler Tanner (5.3)

Reb/G: Devin McGlockton (7)

PPG: Ja'Kobi Gillespie (18)

APG: Ja'Kobi Gillespie (5.6)

Reb/G: Nate Ament (6.4)

Coaches:

Vanderbilt Commodores: Mark Byington (2nd season)

Tennessee Volunteers: Rick Barnes (11th season)