by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Sep 02, 2025
Game Time: 12:45 pm ET, Saturday, September 6, 2025
Venue: Kyle Field, College Station, TX
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: USU +29.5, TAMU -29.5; Over/Under: 53.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: USU +29.5, TAMU -29.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: USU +29.5, TAMU -29.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Utah State Aggies: 1-0 (0-0) (4th place, MWC)
Texas A&M Aggies: 1-0 (0-0) (8th place, SEC)
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Recent Form
Utah State Aggies: won their last game at home against the UTEP Miners 28-16.
Texas A&M Aggies: won their last game at home against the UTSA Roadrunners 42-24.
Utah State Aggies vs Texas A&M Aggies Preview and Analysis
Utah State is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against UTEP 28-16. Bryson Barnes was the starting QB and he completed 19/28 passes for 233 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Miles Davis led the team in rushing yards with 88 and 1 TD. Miles Davis led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Noah Avinger led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while John Miller and Bronson Olevao Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 1. Noah Flores came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Texas A&M is entering this game with a 1-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their conference games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 0-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against UTSA 42-24. Marcel Reed was the starting QB and he completed 22/34 passes for 289 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Marcel Reed led the team in rushing yards with 39. Mario Craver led the receivers with 122 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 2 TDs. Taurean York led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Rylan Kennedy led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the team came away with an interception for them in that one.
Utah State vs Texas A&M Prediction
The current betting odds have Texas A&M listed as a 29.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas A&M is 1-0 overall after a solid win to open up the season. They beat an in-state rival UTSA team that gave them some trouble at first, but once that Texas A&M offense got going, they were tough to stop. They won that game 42-24 and didn't cover the spread, but the offense looked a lot better throughout the game so this is going to be another game at home where their offense puts up points. The defense didn't look great as they gave up 24 points to a lesser opponent, but they will be looking to tighten up that defense in this 2nd game. Meanwhile, Utah State is 1-0 overall and looked good in their season opener with a home win against UTEP. UTEP isn't a great team though so that was a good win for Utah State to start the season, but they weren't really tested against that kind of opponent at home. Now they are playing their first road game of the season and it is against an SEC opponent so this will be a much tougher game for them to move the ball. They only gave up 16 points to UTEP last week, but this Texas A&M offense is rolling right now and they aren't going to take their foot off the gas at home. UTSA was an in-state rival so they brought their best effort for Texas A&M, Utah State isn't going to bring that same energy in this game though so look for Texas A&M to roll here. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas A&M to cover the spread in this game.
Utah State Texas A&M Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, September 6, 2025 (12:45 pm ET start time) is Texas A&M 56 Utah State 14.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Utah State Aggies: 6-4 1H ATS as a road underdog of 28.5 to 35 points. 31-20 1H ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 18-7 OVER in all lined games. 11-4 OVER as an underdog.
Texas A&M Aggies: 8-17 ATS in all lined games. 5-11 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 2-9 ATS in non-conference games. 8-3 OVER off a home win. 6-3 OVER after scoring 37 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
Utah State Aggies: C. Thompson Jr. (WR) Questionable - Shoulder.
Texas A&M Aggies: D. Brooks (S) Probable - Undisclosed. R. Fatheree II (OG) Out - Leg. J. Myles (WR) Out - Leg.
Notable Quotes
“It was a really gratifying day. I’m really fortunate to be the coach at Utah State. The stadium was electric and with the HURD, our alumni and just the community members, it was really a home field advantage. I felt lucky to be the coach tonight. I'm super proud of the young men that I'm coaching and of them battling and persevering and showing resiliency from beginning to end. Ultimately, that's what winning college football games takes. With our first game, a new program, new players, there's a lot that goes into that, and I was really excited about the effort.” - Bronco Mendenhall after his team’s win against UTEP in their last game.
“A lot of the big question marks, I think showed to be good. We wanted to get more explosive on offense, we did. We wanted to get more explosive in the return game, we did. We wanted to see Marcel throw the ball a little bit better, he did.” - Mike Elko after his team’s win against UTSA in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Utah State Aggies
WR Thompson Jr., Corey
WR Starling, Demick
WR Boyd, Brady
TE Lane, Broc
QB Barnes, Bryson
RB Jacobs, Javen
Texas A&M Aggies
WR Craver, Mario
WR Bussey, Terry
WR Concepcion, KC
TE Niblack, Amari
QB Reed, Marcel
RB Moss, Le'Veon
Statistical Leaders
Utah State Aggies
Passing: B. Barnes (233)
Rushing: M. Davis (88)
Receiving: M. Davis (61)
Touchdowns: M. Davis (1)
Texas A&M Aggies
Passing: M. Reed (289)
Rushing: M. Reed (39)
Receiving: M. Craver (122)
Touchdowns: M. Craver (2)
Coaches:
Utah State Aggies: Bronco Mendenhall (1st season)
Texas A&M Aggies: Mike Elko (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
