UNLV Rebels vs Boise State Broncos Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 12/05/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Friday, December 5, 2025

Venue:  Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID 

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  UNLV +3.5, BSU -3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  UNLV +3.5, BSU -3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  UNLV +3.5, BSU -3.5; Over/Under:  57.5 points

UNLV Rebels:  10-2 (6-2) (1st place, MWC)

Boise State Broncos:  8-4 (6-2) (4th place, MWC)

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UNLV Rebels:  won their last game on the road against the Nevada Wolf Pack 42-17.

Boise State Broncos:  won their last game on the road against the Utah State Aggies 25-24.

UNLV is entering this game with a 10-2 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 5-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Nevada 42-17. Anthony Colandrea was the starting QB and he completed 15/22 passes for 270 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Jai'Den Thomas led the team in rushing yards with 103 and 4 TDs. Jaden Bradley led the receivers with 71 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Tre Fulton led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jaheem Joseph led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Boise State is entering this game with an 8-4 record overall and they have a 6-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 3-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Utah State 25-24. Max Cutforth was the starting QB and he completed 26/49 passes for 341 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Dylan Riley led the team in rushing yards with 120 and 1 TD. Quinton Brown led the receivers with 66 receiving yards on 1 reception and 1 TD. Ty Benefield and Boen Phelps each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Bol Bol led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Boise State listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Boise State has looked good in their games this season with their 8-4 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Mountain West. They have also looked great on their home field this year with their 5-1 home record. Meanwhile, UNLV has looked really good in their games this season with their 10-2 record overall and their 6-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the MWC. They have been a good road team too with their 5-1 road record this season. UNLV is off a 42-17 win over Nevada in their last one and their offense has been rolling all season, putting up a ton of points in a lot of their games, but their defense has been an issue for them. They have been giving up a ton of points all season and against some bad teams too. Their defense is going to continue being an issue in this one, especially when they are 5-1 in road games this year but their 1 loss was against Boise State in a game that they gave up 56 points in. Boise State definitely hasn't been the best team in the conference this season, but they earned the right to play in this game after a 4-way tie and they are going to make the most of their opportunity as they are still the defending champions of the MWC. They have also looked a lot better in their home games all year, putting up a ton of points in those games while blowing their opponents out, and they already handled this UNLV team at home earlier this season. The best way to place a bet here is on Boise State to cover the spread in this game. 

UNLV Boise State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Friday, December 5, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Boise State 45 UNLV 35.

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UNLV Rebels: 2-9 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 6-21 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 22-31 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 4-0 OVER revenging a road loss against an opponent. 

Boise State Broncos: 13-3 ATS as a home favorite. 14-7 ATS against conference opponents. 7-2 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 12-6 OVER as a home favorite. 9-4 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.9 yards/play or more.

UNLV Rebels:  V. Gumms (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Jackson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Haynes (OG) Out - Undisclosed. C. Friel (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. J. Eubanks (LB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Ausbon (DL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Buchanan (CB) Out - Undisclosed. K. Moore (CB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Jones (RB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Orji (QB) Out - Undisclosed.

Boise State Broncos:  C. Martin (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. H. Schmidt (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Madsen (QB) Questionable - Ankle. S. Lane II (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Washington (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. McCoy (CB) Out - Knee. B. Ford (WR) Out - Undisclosed.

"We are very excited to have the opportunity to play for the Mountain West title. I'm proud of the buy-in during year one from a team returning only two starters and with over 70 new players in the program. This team has improved every week during the season and we hope to play our best game in Boise." - Dan Mullen on his team playing in the MWC Championship.

“That was a ballgame. Our first lead was in the fourth quarter. That’s a culture win, that’s a team win.” - Spencer Danielson after his team’s win against USU in their last game. 

WR Reynolds, DaeDae

WR Bradley, Jaden

WR Irvin Jr., DeAngelo

TE Elksnis, Nick

QB Colandrea, Anthony

RB Thomas, Jai'Den

WR Marshall, Chris

WR Bates, Cameron

WR Caples, Latrell

TE Lauter, Matt

QB Madsen, Maddux

RB Sherrod, Malik

Passing: Anthony Colandrea (3,050)

Rushing: Jai'Den Thomas (944)

Receiving: Jaden Bradley (834)

Touchdowns: Jai'Den Thomas (13)

Passing: Maddux Madsen (1,994)

Rushing: Dylan Riley (1,016)

Receiving: Latrell Caples (515)

Touchdowns: Dylan Riley (11)

Coaches:

UNLV Rebels: Dan Mullen (1st season)

Boise State Broncos: Spencer Danielson (3rd season)