Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 05/03/2026

Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Sunday, May 3, 2026

Venue:  Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH

Where to Watch:  NBC, Peacock

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Raptors +7.5, Cavaliers -7.5; Over/Under:  210.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Raptors +7.5, Cavaliers -7.5; Over/Under:  210.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Raptors +8.5, Cavaliers -8.5; Over/Under:  211.5 points

Toronto Raptors:  46-36 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)

Cleveland Cavaliers:  52-30 (2nd place, Central Division)

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Toronto Raptors:  6-4 last 10

Cleveland Cavaliers:  6-4 last 10

The Raptors are entering the playoffs with a 46-36 record overall this season and they were 22-19 in their road games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Scottie Barnes led the team in points in that game with 25 while RJ Barrett and Ja'Kobe Walter each were next on the team with 24 points. Scottie Barnes led the team in assists in that game with 14 while RJ Barrett led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 46% from the field, 36.1% from 3-point range, and 82.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.8 PPG against them. The Raptors have an ATS record of 46-42 this season and their O/U record is 36-52.

The Cavaliers are entering the playoffs with a 52-30 record overall this season and they were 27-14 in their home games where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Toronto Raptors. Evan Mobley led the team in points in that game with 26 while Donovan Mitchell was next on the team with 24 points. James Harden led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Evan Mobley led the team in rebounds with 14. They were 43% from the field, 26.8% from 3-point range, and 70.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 119.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.4 PPG against them. The Cavaliers have an ATS record of 35-53 this season and their O/U record is 44-44.

The current betting odds have the Cavaliers listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Cavaliers have looked good in their games this season with their 52-30 record overall which had them in the top half of the East. They have looked great on their home court too with their 27-14 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Raptors have looked good in their games this season with their 46-36 record overall which had them in the top half of the East. They have been a good road team too with their 22-19 road record this year. This is game 7 of a 7-game series between the 4 seeded Raptors and the 5 seeded Cavaliers in the East for the 1st round of the NBA playoffs. This series is all evened up 3-3 after the Raptors won game 6 by a score of 112-110. The Raptors held serve once again at home in game 6 and the home team has won every game in this series. The Raptors have looked a lot better in the last 4 games of this series, but they have started to have more trouble in the last 2 games now. They had a chance to win game 5 on the road and take a 3-2 series lead going back to Toronto, leading that game for 3 quarters, but they fell apart in the 4th and ended up losing by 5 points. Now they bounced back with a win on their home court and have looked a lot better there in this series, but once again they were leading by double digits for most of that game and they still let the Cavaliers come back late and force OT. They almost got eliminated in OT and needed a miraculous shot to drop right at the end just to win by 2 points, but that has been an issue for the Raptors all season. The Raptors had a lot of trouble against stronger opponents in the NBA all season and they had a big issue with closing out games too, falling apart a lot in the 4th quarter like they have in the last 2 games. Other than game 5, the Cavaliers have been solid at home in this series and this will be the game where they step up at home and show that they are the better team. The Raptors have had a good run in this series, but they were overachieving a lot this season and this will be the end of the line for them as they haven't shown that they can win on the road. The best way to place a bet here is on the Cavaliers to cover the spread in this game. 

Raptors Cavaliers Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, May 3, 2026 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Cavaliers 117 Raptors 106.

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Toronto Raptors: 17-6 ATS against Central division opponents. 32-24 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 9-3 ATS on the road after a win by 6 points or less. 16-9 UNDER as a road underdog. 16-9 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%).

Cleveland Cavaliers: 25-45 ATS as a favorite. 9-17 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite. 14-25 ATS versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 free throws/game or less. 25-19 UNDER in home games. 

Toronto Raptors:  B. Ingram (SF) Day To Day - Heel. I. Quickley (PG) Out - Hamstring.

Cleveland Cavaliers:  None.

“It was only half a second, but it felt like an eternity. I was happy for him, for this team, for this city, that the shot went down.” - Darko Rajakovic on the game winning shot after his team’s win against the Cavaliers in the 6th game of this series on Friday.

“This is why you fight so hard to get home-court advantage. We knew this wasn’t going to be easy. This is the playoffs, this is what it’s about. We’ve got to recover and get ready for Sunday’s game.” - Kenny Atkinson after his team’s loss against the Raptors in game 6 of this series on Friday. 

PG Jamal Shead

SG Brandon Ingram

SF RJ Barrett

PF Scottie Barnes

C Jakob Poeltl

PG James Harden

SG Donovan Mitchell

SF Max Strus

PF Evan Mobley

C Jarrett Allen

PPG: Brandon Ingram (21.5)

APG: Immanuel Quickley (5.9)

Reb/G: Scottie Barnes (7.5)

PPG: Donovan Mitchell (27.9)

APG: James Harden (7.7)

Reb/G: Evan Mobley (9)

Coaches:

Toronto Raptors: Darko Rajakovic (3rd season)

Cleveland Cavaliers: Kenny Atkinson (2nd season)