Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/14/2026

Game Time: 9:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 14, 2026

Venue:  Boone Pickens Stadium, Stillwater, OK 

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +3.5, Oklahoma State -3.5; Over/Under:  72.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +3.5, Oklahoma State -3.5; Over/Under:  72.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas Tech +3.5, Oklahoma State -3.5; Over/Under:  73.5 points

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  8-1 (5-1) (2nd place, Big 12)

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  6-3 (4-2) (7th place, Big 12)

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Texas Tech Red Raiders:  won their last game at home against the West Virginia Mountaineers 53-48.

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  won their last game on the road against the Kansas State Wildcats 66-28.

Texas Tech is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 6-0 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against West Virginia 53-48. Thomas Castellanos was the starting QB and he completed 18/27 passes for 362 passing yards, 5 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. J'Koby Williams led the team in rushing yards with 160 and 1 TD. Kenny Johnson led the receivers with 84 receiving yards on 5 receptions and 2 TDs. Austin Romaine led the defense in that game with 15 tackles while Trey White led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Oklahoma State is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 4-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Kansas State 66-28. Drew Mestemaker was the starting QB and he completed 22/28 passes for 313 passing yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Caleb Hawkins led the team in rushing yards with 175 and 3 TDs. Miles Coleman led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Isaiah Chisom led the defense in that game with 11 tackles while DJ Jackson Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. LaDainian Fields came away with 2 interceptions for them while Quinton Hammonds came away with 1 INT in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas Tech listed as a 3.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas Tech has looked great in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They have been a good road team too with their 2-1 road record this year. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State has looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big 12. They have looked great on their home field too with their 4-0 home record this season. Oklahoma State is coming off a 66-28 win over Kansas State and they have looked like one of the best teams in the Big 12 at times, but they also have some head scratching losses as they have been really up and down all year. They have one of the best offenses in the nation and they have been putting up a ton of points all year, but they also have one of the worst defenses in the Big 12, giving up a ton of points in every game. Texas Tech took a bad road loss to Cincinnati, but that has been their only real slip up all year. They are still the defending champions of the Big 12 and they have looked like one of the best teams in the conference all year. They are coming off a 53-48 win over West Virginia in their last one and their offense has looked a lot better lately since making the switch at QB to Castellanos. Their defense hasn't looked great this season either, but that West Virginia game is also more of an anomaly since their defense hasn't looked that bad all season. Oklahoma State is very good, but that defense is going to be a big issue since Texas Tech has the talent on offense to keep up in this game and they also have the slightly better defense to lean on too. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas Tech to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Tech Oklahoma State Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 14, 2026 (9:30 pm ET start time) is Texas Tech 38 Oklahoma State 35.

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Texas Tech Red Raiders: 22-10 ATS against FBS division opponents. 18-6 ATS against conference opponents. 9-1 ATS vs. good teams - outscoring opponents by 10+ PPG on the season. 9-3 OVER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game. 11-6 OVER versus good offensive teams - averaging 5.9 yards/play or more. 

Oklahoma State Cowboys: 5-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 7-14 ATS at home vs. poor passing defenses - allowing 250 or more passing yards/game. 1-4 ATS at home vesus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 5-1 OVER after a win by 17 or more points. 9-5 OVER after playing their last game on the road.

Texas Tech Red Raiders:  D. Lee Jr. (WR) Out - Knee. J. Jones (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. C. Dickey (RB) Out - Ankle.

Oklahoma State Cowboys:  E. Thomas (WR) Questionable - Lower Body. T. Harris (WR) Out - Back.

“A good old-fashioned throwback Big 12 game broke out. I haven't been a part of that in a long time. I probably haven't seen anything like that, definitely since I've been here.” - Joey McGuire after his team’s win against WVU in their last game. 

“He had a really big day rushing the football, especially the first half. I thought that second drive of the third quarter, we were able to get it in his hands in the passing game a little bit and get him out in the open.” - Eric Morris on Caleb Hawkins after his team’s win against KSU in their last game. 

WR Johnson, Kenny

WR Hudson, Micah

WR Eakin, Coy

TE Carter Jr., Terrance

QB Hammond, Will

RB Williams, J'Koby

WR Bowick, Justin

WR Lewis, Terrence

WR Coleman, Miles

TE Kolb, Carson

QB Mestemaker, Drew

RB Hawkins, Caleb

Passing: Will Hammond (1,561)

Rushing: J'Koby Williams (954)

Receiving: Kenny Johnson (632)

Touchdowns: J'Koby Williams (7)

Passing: Drew Mestemaker (2,962)

Rushing: Caleb Hawkins (1,081)

Receiving: Justin Bowick (790)

Touchdowns: Justin Bowick (10)

Coaches:

Texas Tech Red Raiders: Joey McGuire (5th season)

Oklahoma State Cowboys: Eric Morris (1st season)