Texas Longhorns vs Missouri Tigers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/07/2026

Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 7, 2026

Venue:  Faurot Field at Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas -2.5, Mizzou +2.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas -2.5, Mizzou +2.5; Over/Under:  44 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas -2.5, Mizzou +2.5; Over/Under:  44.5 points

Texas Longhorns:  6-2 (3-2) (5th place, SEC)

Missouri Tigers:  6-2 (3-2) (7th place, SEC)

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Texas Longhorns:  won their last game at home against the Mississippi State Bulldogs 31-3.

Missouri Tigers:  won their last game on the road against the Arkansas Razorbacks 34-10.

Texas is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 5-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Mississippi State 31-3. Arch Manning was the starting QB and he completed 16/20 passes for 220 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Raleek Brown led the team in rushing yards with 30. Emmett Mosley V led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Jelani McDonald led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Rasheem Biles led the defense in sacks with 3. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Missouri is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 3-2 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against Arkansas 34-10. Austin Simmons was the starting QB and he completed 20/31 passes for 179 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jamal Roberts led the team in rushing yards with 138 and 1 TD. Cayden Lee led the receivers with 78 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Santana Banner and Nicholas Rodriguez each led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Donta Simpson led the defense in sacks with 1. Trajen Greco came away with the only interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Texas listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Texas has looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have been a good road team too with their 1-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, Missouri has looked good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall and their 3-2 conference record which has them in the top half of the SEC. They have looked great on their home field too with their 4-0 home record this season. Missouri is coming off a 34-10 win over Arkansas in their last one, but they beat up on one of the worst teams in the conference and lately they have looked really up and down from week to week. They have picked up some really nice wins at home this season and have looked like a different team there, but they have also looked really bad in their road games against elite competition. They are going to have the luxury of being at home here, but they do have to play one of the best teams in the SEC who is going to be desperate here since they have no more margin for error. Texas is coming off a 31-3 win over Mississippi State in their last one and they are starting to gain some momentum now with 2 wins in a row. They still have a path to the CFP and they have one of the best defenses in the nation to lean on. Arch Manning hasn't looked great at times, but he has shown some flashes and has proven that he does have some greatness in there. They have only played 1 road game, but they did manage to beat a good Tennessee team and that score was a lot closer than the game actually was. Texas still has the pieces to go to a National Championship this season, but this is a must win game for them and they aren't going to take any teams lightly the rest of the way. The best way to place a bet here is on Texas to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas Missouri Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 7, 2026 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Texas 31 Missouri 24.

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Texas Longhorns: 2-8 ATS in road lined games. 6-11 ATS after allowing 14 points or less last game. 6-11 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 10-5 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 7-2 UNDER off a home win by 17 points or more.

Missouri Tigers: 8-4 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 21-14 ATS in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49. 31-20 ATS vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att. 8-3 UNDER off a win against a conference rival. 8-4 UNDER after playing their last game on the road.

Texas Longhorns:  C. Simmons (DL) Questionable - Ankle. H. Smothers (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. McCutcheon (WR) Questionable - Illness. T. Goosby (OG) Out - Knee. Z. Williams (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. K. Lockett (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed.

Missouri Tigers:  D. Smith (DL) Questionable - Undisclosed. B. Norfleet (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. G. Hoffman (TE) Out - Undisclosed. J. Brady (WR) Out - Undisclosed. C. Green (OG) Out - Undisclosed. A. Hardy (RB) Out - Leg.

“I don’t know what our potential is. We're a growing team that continues to find ways to win.” - Steve Sarkisian after his team’s win against Mississippi State in their last game.  

“It was big. It was a swing of the momentum. We just went on a run. That’s something that we like to do on offense, just go on a run.” - Jamal Roberts after their win against Arkansas in their last game. 

WR Wingo, Ryan

WR Coleman, Cam

WR Mosley V, Emmett

TE Masunas, Michael

QB Manning, Arch

RB Smothers, Hollywood

WR Montgomery, Naeshaun

WR Olugbode, Donovan

WR Lee, Cayden

TE Norfleet, Brett

QB Simmons, Austin

RB Roberts, Jamal

Passing: Arch Manning (1,727)

Rushing: Raleek Brown (452)

Receiving: Ryan Wingo (470)

Touchdowns: Cam Coleman (7)

Passing: Austin Simmons (1,952)

Rushing: Jamal Roberts (1,005)

Receiving: Cayden Lee (756)

Touchdowns: Jamal Roberts (10)

Coaches:

Texas Longhorns: Steve Sarkisian (6th season)

Missouri Tigers: Eli Drinkwitz (7th season)