Texas A&M Aggies vs Saint Mary's Gaels Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/19/2026

Game Time: 7:35 pm ET, Thursday, March 19, 2026

Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Where to Watch:  truTV

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Texas A&M +3.5, Saint Mary’s -3.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Texas A&M +3.5, Saint Mary’s -3.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Texas A&M +3.5, Saint Mary’s -3.5; Over/Under:  147.5 points

Texas A&M Aggies:  21-11 (11-7) (6th place, SEC)

Saint Mary's Gaels:  27-5 (16-2) (2nd place, WCC)

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Texas A&M Aggies:  2-3  last 5

Saint Mary's Gaels:  4-1  last 5

Texas A&M is entering this game with a 21-11 record overall, an 11-7 record in conference games, and they are 1-2 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Oklahoma Sooners in their last game. Rashaun Agee and Rylan Griffen each led the team in points in that game with 13 while Richard Isaacs was next on the team with 12. Richard Isaacs led the team in assists with 3 in that game while Rashaun Agee led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 38.3% from the field, 25.8% from 3-point range, and 60% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 87.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 79.6 PPG against them. Texas A&M has an ATS record of 18-14 this season and their O/U record is 19-13.

Saint Mary’s is entering this game with a 27-5 record overall, a 16-2 conference record, and they are 2-3 in their neutral site games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Santa Clara Broncos in their last game. Paulius Murauskas led the team in points in that game with 26 while Mikey Lewis was next on the team with 23. Joshua Dent led the team in assists with 7 in that game while Andrew McKeever led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 44.4% from the field, 30% from 3-point range, and 89.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.6 PPG against them. Saint Mary’s has an ATS record of 19-12 this season and their O/U record is 14-17.

The current betting odds have Saint Mary's listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Saint Mary's has looked really good in their games this season with their 27-5 record overall and their 16-2 conference record which had them right at the top of the WCC. They haven't looked great in neutral site games though with their 2-3 record in those. Meanwhile, Texas A&M has looked good in their games this season with their 21-11 record overall and their 11-7 conference record which had them in the top half of the SEC. They weren't great in neutral site games either, going 1-2 in those. Texas A&M played in the tougher conference this season, but they haven't looked as good as their record suggests. They won a majority of their games in the SEC at the start of conference play by beating up on some of the worst teams in the conference. They haven't looked good to end the regular season though, going 2-3 in their last 5 games too, and they didn't go far in the SEC Tournament with a loss to Oklahoma early on. Saint Mary's has looked a lot better lately, going 4-1 in their last 5 games, and even though they played in a weaker conference, there are still some solid teams in that conference that they have beaten. Saint Mary's also had a good resume and they have the pedigree of a tournament team as this is not unfamiliar territory for them. Saint Mary's ended their conference tournament with a loss to Santa Clara, but they have been rolling all season and lately these two teams have been trending in opposite directions. The best way to place a bet here is on Saint Mary's to cover the spread in this game. 

Texas A&M Saint Mary's Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Thursday, March 19, 2026 (7:35 pm ET start time) is Saint Mary’s 84 Texas A&M 78.

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Texas A&M Aggies: 7-1 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick. 11-5 ATS versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 37% of their attempts or more. 23-16 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 7-4 UNDER on the road off a loss against a conference rival. 

Saint Mary's Gaels: 3-13 ATS as a neutral court favorite or pick. 4-8 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 20-30 ATS vs. good free throw shooting teams - making 72% of their attempts or more. 9-4 UNDER as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick.

Texas A&M Aggies:  N. Mundey (G) Out - Redshirt. M. Mgbako (F) Out - Foot.

Saint Mary's Gaels:  K. Gad (F) Out - Shoulder.

"It means a lot. When we didn't have a roster, we were piecing (it) together, a lot of people didn't know (about the NCAA Tournament), 'Hey, could we get in there?' And I thought this group could. I did from the start, I thought we could get in there." - Bucky McMillan on his team making the NCAA Tournament as a 10 seed.

"I've been on the other end of it two or three times, where I thought we were in and we didn't get in. Those were tough. But these last five years, we were a 5 seed three times and 7 seed twice. So those aren't as suspenseful. They're still special. The journey is what's special, and what you have to do to get in is tough. We had to win eight in a row, the last two of which were Santa Clara and Gonzaga. We did it in dominant fashion, and that pretty much got us in." - Randy Bennett on making the NCAA Tournament as a 7 seed. 

R. Agee 

R. Dominguez 

R. Griffen 

M. Hill 

J. Lane

J. Dent 

M. Lewis 

P. Murauskas 

D. Shaw 

H. Wessels

PPG: Rashaun Agee (14.7)

APG: Jacari Lane (3.2)

Reb/G: Rashaun Agee (8.9)

PPG: Paulius Murauskas (18.8)

APG: Joshua Dent (5.7)

Reb/G: Andrew McKeever (9.2)

Coaches:

Texas A&M Aggies: Bucky McMillan (1st season)

Saint Mary's Gaels: Randy Bennett (25th season)