Game Time: 7:45 pm ET, Saturday, October 25, 2025
Venue: Kroger Field at Commonwealth Stadium, Lexington, KY
Where to Watch: SEC Network
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Tennessee -8.5, Kentucky +8.5; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Tennessee -9, Kentucky +9; Over/Under: 54.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Tennessee -9, Kentucky +9; Over/Under: 54.5 points
Season Record
Tennessee Volunteers: 5-2 (2-2) (9th place, SEC)
Kentucky Wildcats: 2-4 (0-4) (15th place, SEC)
Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Hollywood Sports is on a HOT STREAK in college football on a 12-1 CFB RUN for +$10,850 PROFIT! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.
Recent Form
Tennessee Volunteers: lost their last game on the road against the Alabama Crimson Tide 37-20.
Kentucky Wildcats: lost their last game at home against the Texas Longhorns 16-13 in overtime.
Tennessee Volunteers vs Kentucky Wildcats Preview and Analysis
Tennessee is entering this game with a 5-2 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Alabama 37-20. Joey Aguilar was the starting QB and he completed 28/44 passes for 268 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. DeSean Bishop led the team in rushing yards with 123 and 2 TDs. Braylon Staley led the receivers with 92 receiving yards on 10 receptions and 1 TD. Edrees Farooq led the defense in that game with 3 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Kentucky is entering this game with a 2-4 record overall and they have a 0-4 record in their conference games too. They are 2-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas 16-13 in OT. Cutter Boley was the starting QB and he completed 31/39 passes for 258 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Cutter Boley led the team in rushing yards with 45 and 1 TD. Seth McGowan led the receivers with 68 receiving yards on 7 receptions. Ty Bryant led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Steven Soles Jr. led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Tennessee vs Kentucky Prediction
The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked good in their games this season with their 5-2 record overall, but their 2-2 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They are off a 37-20 loss to Alabama in their last one and they haven't looked as good lately since the conference schedule started, but they do have one of the best offenses in the SEC and they are catching a break in this game. Meanwhile, Kentucky hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 2-4 record overall and their 0-4 conference record which has them right at the bottom of the SEC. They are one of the worst teams in the SEC this season and their offense has looked terrible all year. They are off a 16-13 loss in OT to Texas in their last one and didn't look terrible in that one, but that game was more of an indictment on Texas. Kentucky hasn't had a bad defense this year either, but they are going to have their hands full with this Tennessee offense that has been putting up a ton of points all year. They were fine against a struggling Texas offense last week, but this Kentucky defense won't be able to hold Tennessee at bay here and Kentucky doesn't have the talent on offense to compete with Tennessee either. This is a nice game for Tennessee to bounce back and get right against one of the worst teams in the SEC. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game.
Tennessee Kentucky Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 25, 2025 (7:45 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 28 Kentucky 17.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today. And if you enjoyed this Tennessee Volunteers Kentucky Wildcats prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
NCAAF Betting Trends
Tennessee Volunteers: 18-8 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 6-1 ATS when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 5-2 ATS in games played on turf. 6-2 OVER when the total is between 49.5 and 56.
Kentucky Wildcats: 37-56 ATS off a home loss. 33-47 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 6-0 OVER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 7-2 OVER after scoring 14 points or less last game.
Key Injuries
Tennessee Volunteers: B. Bolton (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Carter (LB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Smith Jr. (WR) Out - Undisclosed. R. Jackson (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Davis (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Gibson III (CB) Out - Undisclosed. J. McCoy (CB) Out - Knee.
Kentucky Wildcats: K. Saunders (DL) Probable - Undisclosed. J. Kattus (TE) Probable - Undisclosed. W. Rodriguez (TE) Probable - Undisclosed. A. Selm (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. F. Farrier II (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. S. McGowan (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Waller Jr. (CB) Doubtful - Undisclosed. E. Brown (TE) Out - Undisclosed. D. Washington Jr. (WR) Out - Undisclosed. N. Smith (DL) Out - Undisclosed. D. Smith (LB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Smith (LB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Wilcox (RB) Out - Personal. T. Stellato (WR) Out - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
“We just got to be us. You look at our two losses, a lot of chances, a lot of self-inflicted wounds. We’re hurting ourselves. We’re making these games a lot harder than they should be. In this league, the margins are very small.” - DeSean Bishop after their loss against Alabama in their last game.
“I appreciate our players and our coaches have worked really hard. We are getting better. I know… it’s a bottom-line business, I understand that… But I really care about the way they approach things, the way they invest and how they work and the improvement that we’re making.” - Mark Stoops on his team this season.
Starting Lineups
Tennessee Volunteers
WR Matthews, Mike
WR Brazzell II, Chris
WR Staley, Braylon
TE Kitselman, Miles
QB Aguilar, Joey
RB Bishop, DeSean
Kentucky Wildcats
WR Farrier II, Fred
WR Maclin, Ja'Mori
WR Law, Kendrick
TE Kattus, Josh
TE Rodriguez, Willie
QB Boley, Cutter
RB McGowan, Seth
Statistical Leaders
Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: Joey Aguilar (1,948)
Rushing: DeSean Bishop (604)
Receiving: Chris Brazzell II (602)
Touchdowns: Chris Brazzell II (7)
Kentucky Wildcats
Passing: Cutter Boley (885)
Rushing: Seth McGowan (476)
Receiving: Kendrick Law (199)
Touchdowns: Seth McGowan (7)
Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (5th season)
Kentucky Wildcats: Mark Stoops (13th season)