by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Nov 20, 2025
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Saturday, November 22, 2025
Venue: Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
Where to Watch: ABC
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Tennessee -4, Florida +4; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Tennessee -4, Florida +4; Over/Under: 57 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Tennessee -4.5, Florida +4.5; Over/Under: 57.5 points
Season Record
Tennessee Volunteers: 7-3 (3-3) (8th place, SEC)
Florida Gators: 3-7 (2-5) (12th place, SEC)
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Tennessee Volunteers: won their last game at home against the New Mexico State Aggies 42-9.
Florida Gators: lost their last game on the road against the Mississippi Rebels 34-24.
Tennessee Volunteers vs Florida Gators Preview and Analysis
Tennessee is entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against New Mexico State 42-9. Joey Aguilar was the starting QB and he completed 17/23 passes for 204 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. DeSean Bishop led the team in rushing yards with 80 and 1 TD. Chris Brazzell II led the receivers with 65 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Daevin Hobbs led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 3 assisted tackles while Dominic Bailey and Caleb Herring each led the defense in sacks with 1. Ty Redmond and William Wright each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Florida is entering this game with a 3-7 record overall and they have a 2-5 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 0-5 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Ole Miss 34-24. DJ Lagway was the starting QB and he completed 16/31 passes for 218 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jadan Baugh led the team in rushing yards with 61 and 1 TD. TJ Abrams led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 3 receptions. Jordan Castell led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles while Jaden Robinson led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Jayden Woods came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Tennessee vs Florida Prediction
The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked good in their games this season with their 7-3 record overall, but their 3-3 conference record has them right in the middle of the SEC. They are currently ranked inside the top 25 though and they are off a 42-9 get right win over New Mexico State in their last one. Meanwhile, Florida hasn't looked good in their games this season with their 3-7 record overall and their 2-5 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They had high hopes entering the season, but their season has been a disaster with the offense not looking nearly as good as it was supposed to. DJ Lagway has taken a big step back this season and they already fired their head coach earlier in the year so this is a team that is just going through the motions now. They are off a 34-24 loss to Ole Miss in their last one and they showed a lot of fight in that game, but that loss has now made them ineligible for a bowl game this year so they don't really have much left to play for. The defense has looked good at times, but they have been giving up more points as the season has gone on, and they aren't going to be able to stop this Tennessee offense that has been one of the best offenses in the SEC this year. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game.
Tennessee Florida Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 22, 2025 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 34 Florida 20.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Tennessee Volunteers: 4-8 ATS in road lined games. 7-14 ATS against conference opponents. 2-6 ATS after a 2 game home stand. 5-0 UNDER in a road game where the total is between 56.5 and 63.
Florida Gators: 6-3 ATS as a home underdog. 5-1 ATS when the total is between 56.5 and 63. 5-0 UNDER in a home game where the total is between 56.5 and 63. 6-3 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points.
Key Injuries
Tennessee Volunteers: S. Walton (CB) Out - Undisclosed. M. Kitselman (TE) Out - Undisclosed. J. Dodson (WR) Out - Undisclosed. W. Moe Jr. (OG) Questionable - Undisclosed. P. Lewis (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. R. Gibson III (CB) Out - Undisclosed. J. McCoy (CB) Out - Knee.
Florida Gators: T. Livingston (TE) Probable - Undisclosed. A. Barber (OG) Probable - Undisclosed. B. Thornton (CB) Questionable - Undisclosed. T. Jones Jr. (QB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Boireau (DL) Out - Undisclosed. G. Gumbs Jr. (DL) Out - Unknown. R. Kearney (OG) Out - Undisclosed. J. Toombs (CB) Out - Undisclosed. D. Johnson (CB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Jackson (RB) Out - Undisclosed. M. Caraway Jr. (CB) Out - Undisclosed. A. Gates (CB) Out - Undisclosed. L. McCray (DL) Out - Undisclosed. T. Jackson (LB) Out - Undisclosed. V. Brown III (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. E. Wilson III (WR) Out - Leg. D. Wilson (WR) Out - Leg.
Notable Quotes
“Our offense was a little up and down. (Two) turnovers hurt. During the week, we had a day where the offense was not on edge at practice.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against NMSU in their last game.
“They played their hearts out. There’s no quit in this team. They went out there on that field and defined who they are.” - Billy Gonzales after his team’s loss against Ole Miss in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Tennessee Volunteers
WR Matthews, Mike
WR Brazzell II, Chris
WR Staley, Braylon
TE Kitselman, Miles
QB Aguilar, Joey
RB Bishop, DeSean
Florida Gators
WR Mizell, Aidan
WR Sturdivant, J. Michael
WR Brown III, Vernell
TE Hansen, Hayden
QB Lagway, DJ
RB Baugh, Jadan
Statistical Leaders
Tennessee Volunteers
Passing: Joey Aguilar (2,941)
Rushing: DeSean Bishop (770)
Receiving: Chris Brazzell II (873)
Touchdowns: DeSean Bishop (10)
Florida Gators
Passing: DJ Lagway (1,980)
Rushing: Jadan Baugh (808)
Receiving: Vernell Brown III (473)
Touchdowns: Jadan Baugh (7)
Coaches:
Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (5th season)
Florida Gators: Billy Gonzales (Interim)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
