Tennessee Volunteers vs Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/10/2026

Game Time: 4:15 pm ET, Saturday, October 10, 2026

Venue:  Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR

Where to Watch:  SEC Network

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -13.5, Arkansas +13.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -13.5, Arkansas +13.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Tennessee -13.5, Arkansas +13.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

Tennessee Volunteers:  4-1 (1-1) (8th place, SEC)

Arkansas Razorbacks:  2-3 (0-2) (15th place, SEC)

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Tennessee Volunteers:  won their last game at home against the Auburn Tigers 24-14.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  lost their last game on the road against the Texas A&M Aggies 34-7.

Tennessee is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 1-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against Auburn 24-14. Faizon Brandon was the starting QB and he completed 3/8 passes for 0 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 1 interception before getting replaced by George MacIntyre who completed 8/10 passes for 86 yards. DeSean Bishop led the team in rushing yards with 220 and 3 TDs. Mike Matthews led the receivers with 57 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Dejuan Lane and Amare Campbell each led the defense in that game with 9 tackles while Dejuan Lane led the defense in sacks with 2. Dejuan Lane and Tevis Metcalf each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.

 

 

 

Arkansas is entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 2-1 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas A&M 34-7. KJ Jackson was the starting QB and he completed 13/25 passes for 111 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Sutton Smith led the team in rushing yards with 41. Chris Marshall led the receivers with 76 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 1 TD. Ben Bogle led the defense in that game with 16 tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Tennessee listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Tennessee has looked good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall and their 1-1 conference record which has them right in the middle of the SEC. They have been a good road team too with their 1-0 road record this year. Meanwhile, Arkansas has looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall and their 0-2 conference record which has them right near the bottom of the SEC. They have looked better on their home field though with their 2-1 home record this season. Arkansas is coming off a 34-7 loss to Texas A&M in their last one and they have struggled to look competitive in their games. They haven't really been in any of their games against decent opponents and their offense has looked terrible, having a lot of trouble just putting up points. Tennessee has had a really good start to their season with their only loss being a 3 point loss against Texas who is ranked 1st in the nation. They are coming off a 24-14 win over Auburn in their last one and their defense has looked really good this year, not giving up many points. Their offense hasn't looked as good lately and they do have some questions at QB now, but they do still have a great rushing attack to counter that. Arkansas doesn't have a good defense either, so Tennessee will be able to move the ball here regardless of who the QB is, and that Arkansas offense will continue to have trouble against another good defense. The best way to place a bet here is on Tennessee to cover the spread in this game. 

Tennessee Arkansas Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 10, 2026 (4:15 pm ET start time) is Tennessee 27 Arkansas 10.

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Tennessee Volunteers: 19-30 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 120 rushing yards/game or less. 11-25 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 3.25 rushing yards/carry or less. 14-20 ATS off 3 or more consecutive unders. 20-12 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive unders. 23-11 UNDER when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). 

Arkansas Razorbacks: 16-8 ATS as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. 45-28 ATS after a loss by 17 or more points. 37-27 ATS in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56. 15-7 UNDER as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points. 36-28 UNDER vs. good passing defenses - allowing 5.75 or less passing yards/att.

Tennessee Volunteers:  B. Brady (LS) Questionable - Undisclosed. Q. Moss (CB) Out - Undisclosed. W. Moe Jr. (OG) Out - Undisclosed. J. Gordon (RB) Questionable - Leg. J. Harmon (LB) Out - Knee.

Arkansas Razorbacks:  H. Hendrix (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Lassiter (TE) Out - Upper Body.

“(Coming off the bench midgame) is the hardest thing to do. We rep our (second-teamers in practice) a bunch. That helps in their preparation.” - Josh Heupel after his team’s win against Auburn in their last game. 

“Every single person in the program, starting with me, needs to look in the mirror and find ways to improve. Be mad but find ways to get better.” - Ryan Silverfield after his team’s loss against Texas A&M in their last game. 

WR Jackson, Radarious

WR Matthews, Mike

WR Staley, Braylon

TE Brame, DaSaahn

QB Brandon, Faizon

RB Bishop, DeSean

WR Marshall, Chris

WR Brown, CJ

WR Cisse, Ismael

TE Lockwood, Ty

QB Jackson, KJ

RB Smith, Sutton

Passing: Faizon Brandon (697)

Rushing: DeSean Bishop (540)

Receiving: Mike Matthews (318)

Touchdowns: DeSean Bishop (7)

Passing: KJ Jackson (1,038)

Rushing: Braylen Russell (136)

Receiving: Chris Marshall (549)

Touchdowns: Ismael Cisse (2)

Coaches:

Tennessee Volunteers: Josh Heupel (6th season)

Arkansas Razorbacks: Ryan Silverfield (1st season)