TCU Horned Frogs vs BYU Cougars Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/15/2025

Game Time: 10:15 pm ET, Saturday, November 15, 2025

Venue:  LaVell Edwards Stadium (LES), Provo, UT

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  TCU +4.5, BYU -4.5; Over/Under:  50.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  TCU +4.5, BYU -4.5; Over/Under:  51 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  TCU +4.5, BYU -4.5; Over/Under:  51.5 points

TCU Horned Frogs:  6-3 (3-3) (8th place, Big 12)

BYU Cougars:  8-1 (5-1) (2nd place, Big 12)

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TCU Horned Frogs:  lost their last game at home against the Iowa State Cyclones 20-17.

BYU Cougars:  lost their last game on the road against the Texas Tech Red Raiders 29-7.

TCU is entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 3-3 record in their conference games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Iowa State 20-17. Josh Hoover was the starting QB and he completed 34/50 passes for 319 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. Jeremy Payne led the team in rushing yards with 71. Jordan Dwyer led the receivers with 108 receiving yards on 11 receptions and 1 TD. Kaleb Elarms-Orr led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 7 assisted tackles while Kylin Jackson led the defense in sacks with 1. Bud Clark came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that one.

 

 

 

BYU is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they have a 5-1 record in their conference games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 4-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Texas Tech 29-7. Bear Bachmeier was the starting QB and he completed 23/38 passes for 188 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. LJ Martin led the team in rushing yards with 35. Chase Roberts led the receivers with 61 receiving yards on 6 receptions and 1 TD. Isaiah Glasker led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Jack Kelly led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have BYU listed as a 4.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. BYU has looked great in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall and their 5-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big 12. They are currently ranked inside the top 15 teams in the nation and they were the only undefeated team left in the Big 12 before losing to Texas Tech 29-7 in their last one. Meanwhile, TCU has looked good in their games this season with their 6-3 record overall, but their 3-3 conference record has them in the middle of the Big 12. They are off a 20-17 loss to Iowa State who hasn't looked good lately and they haven't been a great road team this year with their 2-2 road record. They have a really good offense that has been putting up a lot of points, but their defense hasn't looked good at times and that is going to be an issue in this one. BYU is no easy place to play at night and they will be looking to bounce back after their first loss of the season. BYU is still one of the best teams in the conference and they will be really focused on running the table so they can get to the Big 12 Championship and take another shot at Texas Tech who will likely meet them there. Even when BYU has looked down for the count, they continue to find ways to win games and will bounce back at home against an up and down TCU team. The best way to place a bet here is on BYU to cover the spread in this game. 

TCU BYU Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 15, 2025 (10:15 pm ET start time) is BYU 27 TCU 20.

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TCU Horned Frogs: 4-9 ATS in road lined games. 1-4 ATS as a road underdog. 1-4 ATS on the road vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 7-3 UNDER when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 8-4 UNDER when playing against a team with a winning record. 

BYU Cougars: 4-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 8-4 ATS vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game. 7-4 ATS versus good offensive teams - averaging 425 yards/game or more. 8-4 UNDER vs. good offensive  teams - scoring 31 or more points/game.

TCU Horned Frogs:  J. Jones (OG) Out - Undisclosed. C. Sempebwa (K) Out - Undisclosed. K. Barnes (RB) Out - Undisclosed. B. Whatley (DL) Out - Undisclosed. J. Hayes (WR) Out - Undisclosed. L. Lingard (LB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Jamerson (CB) Out - Undisclosed. K. Lemmermann (K) Out - Undisclosed. E. Jackson (CB) Out - Undisclosed. E. Small (WR) Out - Undisclosed. L. Kaiuway (TE) Out - Undisclosed. K. Abrams (LB) Out - Leg.

BYU Cougars:  M. Leach (S) Out - Undisclosed. C. Hagen (WR) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Purcell (DL) Probable - Undisclosed. T. Prassas (S) Out - Undisclosed. S. Moa (RB) Out - Undisclosed. M. McKenzie (CB) Out - Undisclosed.

“We’ve got to close games out better obviously. I don’t know if closing games out is the issue as much as it is committing critical mistakes in the game. The game gets closed out better if you make a ... field goal, if you don’t give up a punt return for a touchdown. It’s easier to close it out. The problem tonight was we didn’t get off the field.” - Sonny Dykes after his team’s loss against ISU in their last game. 

“A couple of passes and a muffed punt cost us, I think, 13 points. Even after that, I thought we were going to be able to respond and make a game of it in the second half, but we weren’t able to do that.” - Kalani Sitake after his team’s loss against Texas Tech in their last game. 

WR Dwyer, Jordan

WR McAlister, Eric

WR Manjack IV, Joseph

TE Rogers, DJ

QB Hoover, Josh

RB Barnes, Kevorian

WR Roberts, Chase

WR Hagen, Cody

WR Kingston, Parker

TE Ryan, Carsen

QB Bachmeier, Bear

RB Martin, LJ

Passing: Josh Hoover (2,690)

Rushing: Kevorian Barnes (443)

Receiving: Eric McAlister (834)

Touchdowns: Eric McAlister (8)

Passing: Bear Bachmeier (1,881)

Rushing: LJ Martin (824)

Receiving: Chase Roberts (652)

Touchdowns: Bear Bachmeier (9)

Coaches:

TCU Horned Frogs: Sonny Dykes (4th season)

BYU Cougars: Kalani Sitake (10th season)