Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/29/2025

Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Venue:  Yankee Stadium, Bronx, NY 

Where to Watch:  TBS

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +176, Yankees -217; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +175, Yankees -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays +175, Yankees -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Tampa Bay Rays:  53-53 (4th place, AL East)

New York Yankees:  57-48 (2nd place, AL East)

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Tampa Bay Rays:  3-7 last 10

New York Yankees:  4-6 last 10

The Rays are entering this series off a loss and got swept in their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 3-0 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-53 record overall and have a road record of 22-25. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Yankees on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .721 OPS. Drew Rasmussen is their starting pitcher on Monday while Joe Boyle is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 SO on 0 hits through 5 IP against the Atlanta Braves.

The Yankees are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Philadelphia Phillies 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 57-48 record overall and have a home record of 31-21. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Rays on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 1st in the MLB with a .787 OPS. Rookie pitcher Cam Schlittler is their starting pitcher on Monday while Max Fried is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 11-4 with a 2.62 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 4 earned runs, 0 homers, and 3 walks with 3 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.1 innings pitched against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Yankees listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Yankees have looked good in their games this season with their 57-48 record overall which has them right near the top of the AL East. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-21 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Rays haven't looked great in their games this season with their 53-53 record overall which has them right near the bottom of the AL East. They haven't been a good road team either with their 22-25 road record this season. The Yankees have been cold lately as they are 4-6 in their last 10 games, but the Rays have still been colder as they are 3-7 in their last 10 and just got swept by the Reds in their last series. The Yankees also have one of the best offenses in the MLB and they have the better pitching matchup here to take advantage of. Fried is on the mound for the Yankees in this one and he has been their ace this season. He is 11-4 with a 2.62 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs all year. He did give up 4 earned runs in his last start and the team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting, but he will be looking to bounce back at home with a better start since that hasn't been a common theme for him this year and the Rays offense hasn't been putting up many runs lately either. The Rays are going with Boyle in this one and he has looked good this season, but he has only had a few appearances and hasn't really been a starter either. He is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and was great in his only real start this year, but he hasn't had to face an offense like this for an extended period of time so the Yankees will be able to get to him for some runs. The best way to place a bet here is on the Yankees to win this game and on the runline. 

Rays Yankees Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, July 29, 2025 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Yankees 7 Rays 1.

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Tampa Bay Rays: 125-100 (+10.2 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 56-45 (+5.7 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 72-66 (+9.9 units) on the moneyline vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season. 6-3 UNDER as a road underdog of +175 to +250.

New York Yankees: 240-202 (-28.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 121-100 (-28.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 179-141 (-40.1 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 29-19 UNDER as a favorite of -200 or more.

Tampa Bay Rays:  B. Baker (RP) Day To Day - Calf. H. Kim (SS) Ten Day IL - Back. S. Fairchild (RF) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Lowe (2B) Ten Day IL - Foot. H. Bigge (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. R. Palacios (LF) Sixty Day IL - Knee. M. Rodriguez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm. S. McClanahan (SP) Sixty Day IL - Triceps. A. Faedo (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. N. Lavender (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

New York Yankees:  A. Judge (RF) Ten Day IL - Flexor Strain. C. Schmidt (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. M. Leiter Jr. (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Fibular. F. Cruz (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. R. Yarbrough (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. O. Cabrera (3B) Sixty Day IL - Ankle. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. L. Gil (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. G. Cole (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.

“I was really proud of Shane. Said that to him. That was a gutsy outing. He didn’t have his best stuff. He wasn’t executing pitches at the rate he wants to. But man, he committed to every pitch to keep it there, 2-0.” - Kevin Cash after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Sunday.

“The play he makes on Turner -- [McMahon] has that kind of ease in which he does it. It was pretty impressive. He had a couple of other good ones, and obviously the big hit there.” - Aaron Boone after his team’s win against the Phillies in their game on Sunday.

Chandler Simpson (L) CF

Yandy Díaz (R) DH

Jonathan Aranda (L) 1B

Junior Caminero (R) 3B

Josh Lowe (L) RF

Jake Mangum (S) LF

Tristan Gray (L) 2B

Taylor Walls (S) SS

Matt Thaiss (L) C

Trent Grisham (L) CF

Ben Rice (L) 1B

Cody Bellinger (L) RF

Giancarlo Stanton (R) DH

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (L) 2B

Jasson Domínguez (S) LF

Ryan McMahon (L) 3B

Anthony Volpe (R) SS

Austin Wells (L) C

Batting Average:  Richie Palacios (.750)

Hits:  Yandy Díaz (114)

Home Runs:  Junior Caminero (26)

RBI:  Junior Caminero (68)

Stolen Bases:  José Caballero (33)

Wins:  Shane Baz (8)

Saves:  Pete Fairbanks (17)

ERA:  Connor Seabold (1.35)

Batting Average:  Ryan McMahon (.500)

Hits:  Aaron Judge (129)

Home Runs:  Aaron Judge (37)

RBI:  Aaron Judge (85)

Stolen Bases:  Jasson Domínguez (15)

Wins:  Max Fried (11)

Saves:  Devin Williams (16)

ERA:  Adam Ottavino (0.00)

Managers:

Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (11th season)

New York Yankees: Aaron Boone (8th season)