Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/28/2022

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jul 27, 2022
Game Time: 12:35 pm ET, Thursday, July 28, 2022
Venue:  Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, MD
Where to Watch:  MASN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Rays -105, Orioles -115; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Tampa Bay Rays:  52-45 (3rd place, AL East)
Baltimore Orioles:  49-48 (4th place, AL East)
 
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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Rays:  5-5 last 10
Baltimore Orioles:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Preview and Analysis

 
The Rays enter this game on a 4 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Kansas City Royals 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 52-45 record overall and have a road record of 21-27. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Orioles on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 23rd in the MLB with a .689 OPS. Drew Rasmussen is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while there is no probable starting pitcher yet making his start in this game on Thursday. 
 
The Orioles enter this game on a 2 game winning streak. They lost their last series against the New York Yankees 2-1 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 49-48 record overall and have a home record of 28-19. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Rays on Thursday with the 3rd game still to be played on Wednesday. Their offense ranks 21st in the MLB with a .690 OPS. Tyler Wells is on the mound on Wednesday while Jordan Lyles will be throwing the first pitch in this game on Thursday. He is 6-8 with a 4.79 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 2 Ks on 8 hits through 5 IP against the New York Yankees. 

 

Rays vs Orioles Prediction

The current betting odds have the Orioles listed as a slight favorite in this game. The Rays have not been playing very well in their recent games. They have been losing a lot of games recently and their offense has not been very good as they are not scoring many runs in those games either. The Orioles have been playing very well recently and have continued the pace they were at going into the All-Star break. They have already won 2 games against the Rays in this series and they have been a very good team at home all season. Lyles is starting here and he has been great in his recent starts as well, he should have no problems pitching against this struggling Rays lineup. The Rays do not have a starter confirmed yet but their pitching has not been able to do much against the Orioles in this series and the Orioles are hitting well right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Orioles to win this game at home.
 
Rays Orioles Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 28, 2022 (12:35 pm ET start time) is Orioles 4 Rays 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Tampa Bay Rays: 204-139 (+32.8 Units) ML in all games. 88-73 (+8.4 Units) ML in road games. RYAN YARBROUGH is 13-6 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125.
Baltimore Orioles: 53-105 (-12.2 Units) ML against division opponents. JORDAN LYLES is 16-10 OVER in home games and 16-10 OVER against division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Tampa Bay Rays:  K. Kiermaier (CF) Early Sept - Hip. M. Zunino (C) Mid Aug - Shoulder. W. Franco (SS) Early Sept - Wrist.
Baltimore Orioles:  A. Wells (SP) Early Aug - Elbow. K. Bradish (SP) Early Aug - Shoulder. T. Lakins Sr. (RP) Early Aug - Elbow.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"The biggest factor was the break. Four or five days (off), then four more days." - Kevin Cash after his team’s loss against the Orioles on Tuesday. 
 
 
"He started an All-Star Game for a reason. He's one of the best pitchers in the American League. We had a tough time with him." - Brandon Hyde after his team’s win against the Rays on Tuesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Tampa Bay Rays
Yandy Diaz (R) 3B
Brandon Lowe (L) DH
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Ji-Man Choi (L) 1B
Isaac Paredes (R) 2B
Luke Raley (L) RF
Christian Bethancourt (R) C
Roman Quinn (S) CF
Yu Chang (R) SS
 
Baltimore Orioles
Cedric Mullins (L) CF
Trey Mancini (R) 1B
Ryan Mountcastle (R) DH
Anthony Santander (S) RF
Austin Hays (R) LF
Adley Rutschman (S) C
Ramon Urias (R) 3B
Rougned Odor (L) 2B
Jorge Mateo (R) SS
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Tampa Bay Rays
Batting Average:  Roman Quinn (.444)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (92)
Home Runs:  Isaac Paredes (14)
RBI:  Randy Arozarena (45)
Stolen Bases:  Randy Arozarena (20)
Wins:  Shane McClanahan (10)
Saves:  Colin Poche (6)
ERA:  J.P. Feyereisen (0.00)
 
Baltimore Orioles
Batting Average:  Ramon Urias (.268)
Hits:  Cedric Mullins (100)
Home Runs:  Anthony Santander (17)
RBI:  Anthony Santander (51)
Stolen Bases:  Jorge Mateo (24)
Wins:  Tyler Wells (7)
Saves:  Jorge Lopez (19)
ERA:  Cionel Perez (1.35)
 
Managers:
Tampa Bay Rays: Kevin Cash (8th season)
Baltimore Orioles: Brandon Hyde (4th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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