Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 7, 2026
Venue: Grand Casino Arena, St Paul, MN
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Lightning -130, Wild +110; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Lightning -130, Wild +110; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Lightning -135, Wild +110; Over/Under: 6.5 goals
Season Record
Tampa Bay Lightning: 10-3-2 (3rd place, Atlantic Division)
Minnesota Wild: 11-3-3 (1st place, Central Division)
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Recent Form
Tampa Bay Lightning: 6-2-2 last 10
Minnesota Wild: 7-1-2 last 10
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Minnesota Wild Preview and Analysis
The Lightning are entering this game with 22 points, a 10-3-2 record overall, and they are 2-3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Chicago Blackhawks in their last game, winning that one at home 4-1. Ilya Mikheyev led the team in goals scored with 2 while Ryan McDonagh and Victor Hedman each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Erik Černák led the team in assists with 2 while Zemgus Girgensons led the team in shots on net in that game with 5. Andrei Vasilevskiy was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 1 goals on 26 shots with 25 saves and a .962 save percentage. Their offense has scored 56 goals this season averaging 3.7 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 46 goals against them allowing 3.1 goals per game.
The Wild are entering this game with 25 points, a 11-3-3 record overall, and they are 4-0-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Philadelphia Flyers in their last game, winning that one on the road 4-2, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the San Jose Sharks still to be played on Friday night. In their game against the Flyers, Matt Boldy, Danila Yurov, Joel Eriksson Ek, and Michael McCarron each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Matt Boldy, Blake Coleman, Bobby Brink, Jonas Brodin, Kirill Kaprizov, Olli Määttä, and Quinn Hughes each led the team in assists with 1 while Matt Boldy and Joel Eriksson Ek each led the team in shots on net in that game with 4. Jesper Wallstedt was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 25 shots with 23 saves and a .920 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 56 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 38 goals against them allowing 2.2 goals per game.
Lightning vs Wild Prediction
The current betting odds have the Lightning listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Lightning have looked good in their games this season with their 10-3-2 record overall which has them in the top half of their division in the East. They haven't been a great road team though with their 2-3-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Wild have looked great in their games this season with their 11-3-3 record overall which has them right at the top of their division in the West. They have looked great on home ice too with their 4-0-1 home record this season. The Wild were one of the best teams in the NHL last season and they have looked like one of the best teams this season. They have been rolling lately, now 7-1-2 in their last 10 games, and they have won 2 games in a row now. They have one of the best defenses in the NHL too, but they don't have a great offense and they don't score a ton of goals. They aren't in a great situation here either, playing this game on a back-to-back with a game against the Sharks on Friday. The Lightning have also looked great to start the season and they have been rolling too. They are 6-2-2 in their last 10 games and they are going to have a rest advantage here. They haven't looked nearly as good in their road games this season, but they do have one of the best goaltenders in the NHL to go toe-to-toe with the Wild who have had trouble scoring all year. The Lightning have also won 2 games in a row now with some momentum on their side, so look for the Lightning to take advantage of a tired Wild team. The best way to place a bet here is on the Lightning to win this game.
Lightning Wild Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Saturday, November 7, 2026 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Lightning 3 Wild 2.
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NHL Betting Trends
Tampa Bay Lightning: 111-80 (-7.5 units) on the moneyline in all games. 30-26 (-7.3 units) on the moneyline as a road favorite of -200 or less. 88-63 (-7.7 units) on the moneyline against poor power play killing teams - opp score on over 17.5% of chances. 31-21 OVER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game.
Minnesota Wild: 109-89 (+9.6 units) on the moneyline in all games. 41-43 (+9.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +200. 62-49 (+15.5 units) on the moneyline against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game. 22-13 OVER revenging a loss versus opponent.
Key Injuries
Tampa Bay Lightning: Y. Gourde (C) Out - Hip.
Minnesota Wild: M. Foligno (LW) Out - Lower Body. N. Foligno (LW) Out - Upper Body. J. Spurgeon (D) Out - Lower Body. B. Faber (D) Out - Skull. F. Gustavsson (G) Out - Hip.
Notable Quotes
"We didn't get a ton of big-time chances, but overall I liked the way we played. We played a pretty steady, solid team and give Chicago credit, that's a young team and they kept coming and kept coming. It showed because they scored in the end, but we had to get our job done tonight and we did." - Jon Cooper after his team’s win against the Blackhawks in their game on Thursday.
"I think we're just playing with good details, trying not to force a game and let it come to us. When we're detailed and play the right way, and we're hard and defend, the offense comes. When we have that mindset and everyone's contributing and playing the right way, we're pretty tough to beat." - Matt Boldy after their win against the Flyers in their game on Tuesday.
Starting Lineups
Tampa Bay Lightning
LW Jake Guentzel
C Brayden Point
RW Nikita Kucherov
LD Janis Jérôme Moser
RD Maxwell Crozier
G Andrei Vasilevskiy
Minnesota Wild
LW Kirill Kaprizov
C Joel Eriksson Ek
RW Matt Boldy
LD Quinn Hughes
RD Jonas Brodin
G Jesper Wallstedt
Statistical Leaders
Tampa Bay Lightning
Points: Nikita Kucherov (20)
Goals: Brandon Hagel (8)
Assists: Nikita Kucherov (16)
GAA: Andrei Vasilevskiy (2.75)
Minnesota Wild
Points: Kirill Kaprizov (26)
Goals: Kirill Kaprizov (15)
Assists: Quinn Hughes (17)
GAA: Jesper Wallstedt (2.06)
Coaches:
Tampa Bay Lightning: Jon Cooper (15th season)
Minnesota Wild: John Hynes (4th season)