Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction, Preview and Odds - 09/07/2025

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 7, 2025

Venue:  Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Buccaneers -2.5, Falcons +2.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Buccaneers -2.5, Falcons +2.5; Over/Under:  47.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Buccaneers -2, Falcons +2; Over/Under:  47.5 points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  0-0 (NFC South)

Atlanta Falcons:  0-0 (NFC South)

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  N/A

Atlanta Falcons:  N/A

The Buccaneers finished last season with a 10-7 record overall and they were 4-2 in their division games too. They had a 5-4 record in their home games and had a 5-3 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 29.5 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 22.6 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 399.6 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 341.8 yards per game. Baker Mayfield led the team in passing yards with 4,500, Bucky Irving led the team in rushing yards with 1,122, and Mike Evans led the team in receiving yards with 1,004.

The Falcons finished last season with an 8-9 record overall and they were 4-2 in their division games too. They had a 4-5 record in their home games and had a 4-4 record in their road games where they will be in this game. Last season, their offense was averaging 22.9 points per game and their defense was allowing an average of 24.9 points per game. Their offense was also averaging 369.8 yards per game and their defense was allowing an average of 345.2 yards per game. Kirk Cousins led the team in passing yards with 3,508, Bijan Robinson led the team in rushing yards with 1,456, and Drake London led the team in receiving yards with 1,271.

The current betting odds have the Buccaneers listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Buccaneers had a good season last year, finishing 10-7 overall and winning their division. They came up short in the playoffs, but they have been the team to beat in the NFC South in recent years and they are going to have a lot of that talent on their team from last season. The offense was already good last season and they have added more talent to that offense this season. The defense wasn't where it needed to be for a playoff team, but they should show some improvement with Todd Bowles still at the helm of this team. Meanwhile, the Falcons didn't have a great season, but they looked a lot better than they have in previous years. They were 8-9 and they were right in the playoff race until the last few games of the regular season. They will be looking to take a step forward this year with Penix Jr as their new starting QB and he did have some good flashes last season too. They are always going to have a good run game with Robinson and they have the weapons in their passing game too, but Penix is still inexperienced in the NFL and that could come back to bite them at times. The Bucs still have the more reliable QB with Baker Mayfield and the Falcons defense was terrible last season so the Bucs aren't going to struggle to put up points here. This divisional clash could come down to a field goal, but it is best to back the more reliable QB and offense in this season opener. The best way to place a bet here is on the Buccaneers to cover the spread in this game. 

Buccaneers Falcons Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 7, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Buccaneers 33 Falcons 30.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 22-15 ATS in all games. 13-5 ATS in road games. 9-4 ATS in games played on turf. 7-2 OVER in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 10-5 1H OVER in games where the line is +3 to -3.

Atlanta Falcons: 11-22 ATS in all games. 3-9 ATS as an underdog. 6-12 ATS in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-4 1H OVER as an underdog. 8-2 1H OVER versus division opponents.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers:  None.

Atlanta Falcons:  None.

“Well, obviously [Bridgewater] brings experience, but he brings a wealth of knowledge. He can command the offense right now. Him being older has a lot to do with it, but him being accurate and understanding what we’re trying to do has a lot to do with it as well. We had Kyle for four years and it was a good four-year run. We just feel like we’ve got a better chance with Teddy.” - Todd Bowles on naming Teddy Bridgewater the backup QB.

"Elijah has played a lot of football in the National Football League. He's played a lot for us. He's been here throughout the course of the last year and the course of this year. And we're fired up to get those guys out there and watch those guys play and compete to see who's going to be able to go out there versus Tampa." - Raheem Morris on his team’s offensive line coming into the new NFL season.

WR Evans, Mike

WR Godwin Jr., Chris

WR Egbuka, Emeka

TE Otton, Cade

QB Mayfield, Baker

RB Irving, Bucky 

WR Mooney, Darnell

WR London, Drake

WR McCloud III, Ray-Ray

TE Pitts Sr., Kyle

QB Penix Jr., Michael

RB Robinson, Bijan

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Passing: N/A

Rushing: N/A

Receiving: N/A

Touchdowns: N/A

Coaches:

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Todd Bowles (4th season)

Atlanta Falcons: Raheem Morris (2nd season)