Serie A Prop Futures (2025/26 Season)

The Serie A season in Italy is right around the corner, starting on Saturday, August 23. Napoli is coming into this season as the defending champions, beating out the 2nd place team Inter Milan by 1 point, but this is a very competitive league from year to year as they have had 3 different champions over the last 4 seasons so there are plenty of ways to find value in other areas as well. Now with the league ready to start up again, it is time to see what the best prop bets are for the season. 

AC Milan -175: AC Milan is coming into this season at -175 to finish in the top 4 and it is for good reason. They are coming off of a bad season by their standards as they finished in 8th place and missed out on all European competitions, but that is only going to ignite a fire in this team this season and now they do not have any European competitions to take focus away from the league. Napoli was in a similar position last season as they missed out on all European competitions the next year after winning the title, but they came back more focused last season and won the title again for the 2nd time in 3 years. AC Milan is going to have the hunger from that bad season last year and they are going to be focused more on the league as this will be priority number 1. They also made some big moves in the transfer window to improve their midfield and their defense so they have a chance to be a real force in this league this year. AC Milan at -175 to finish in the top 4 this season. 

Atalanta +275: Atalanta is coming into this season at +275 to finish in the top 4 and there is a lot of value in this considering how they have finished in the top 4 the last 2 seasons and finished in the top 5 the last 3 seasons. Each year they have improved more with more points as well as a better standing, and now they are coming off of one of their better seasons as they finished in 3rd place. They had one of the better defenses in the league, allowing 37 goals in their 38 matches, and they had one of the best attacks with 78 goals scored. They have also retained a lot of the quality they had on the team last season so they are going to continue being a force in this league. Atalanta has consistently been one of the better teams in the league over the last 3 years and they have been performing well in European competitions as well so it is hard to see them taking a big step back this year with the talent that they have. Atalanta at +275 to finish in the top 4 this season. 

Cremonese -163: Cremonese is coming into this season at -163 to be relegated and they are 1 of the 3 newly promoted sides. Over the last 4 seasons in Serie A, 2 of the 3 teams that have been promoted in a given year managed to stay in the league that season with only 1 of the 3 teams getting sent back down after 1 year. Cremonese is likely to be that team this season that returns to Serie B after 1 year since they were the weakest of the 3 coming up and did not make a lot of moves to improve. They finished 4th in Serie B last season and had to play their way into the league, even beating out Spezia who finished in 3rd. They still finished 15 points behind the 2nd place team that was promoted and out of the 3 teams being promoted, Cremonese had the worst defense and the worst attack. Cremonese also has a recent history of being sent right back down as they were promoted for the 2023/24 season and were the only team of those 3 that was sent back down after 1 season in Serie A. Cremonese does not have the quality to compete with some of the other bottom feeders in the league and they will likely be the worst team with a home at the bottom of the table all year. Cremonese at -163 to be relegated at the end of the season. 

Cagliari +225: Cagliari is coming into this season at +225 to be relegated at the end of the year and there is some value in that price considering how they do not have a great squad. They were promoted back to Serie A for the 2023/24 season and this will now be their 3rd straight season back in Serie A. Unfortunately for them, Serie A has a history of sending teams back down after 2 or 3 seasons and they have one of the worst squads in the league this year. They finished in 15th place last season and they had 20 losses on the year which is more than what 2 of the 3 teams that were relegated had. They only finished 5 points above the relegation as well, and that was with Monza occupying the bottom of the table with just 18 points, 11 points lower than the next team that got relegated. Cagliari has also finished the last 2 seasons with 36 points exactly and that has put them in a very tight race to the relegation zone in both years so if they take any steps back this season which is likely, it is going to have them in that relegation race all season. Cagliari at +225 to be relegated at the end of the season. 

Parma +300: Parma is coming into this season at +300 to be relegated at the end of the season and there is some value in that price considering that they were not very good last year. They finished in 16th place last season with 36 points and managed to stay up in their 1st year back in Serie A, but a lot of teams in Serie A over the years have been caught in that 2nd season up and Parma does not have a strong squad to improve from where they were last year. Parma was helped out a lot by the fact that they drew 15 matches last season, the 2nd most draws in the league behind Juventus, and those gave them a lot of points that they probably should not have earned. They only had 7 wins though which was the lowest in the league, not including the 3 teams that were relegated. They are going to regress from what they did last season with those 15 draws as that will not be sustainable for this squad, but they are going to need to win more matches to balance it out or another 7 wins season could easily see them end up in the relegation zone. Parma at +300 to be relegated at the end of the season. 

Cremonese +200: Cremonese is coming into this season at +200 to finish at the bottom of the table, but they are the worst of the 3 teams being promoted this season and they are going to be one of the worst teams all season. They have not done much to improve their squad for this season either while the other teams around them near the bottom of the league have. Cremonese at +200 to finish at the bottom of the table this season.