Serie A Futures (2025/26 Season)

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Saturday, Aug 16, 2025
The Serie A season in Italy is right around the corner, starting on Saturday, August 23. Napoli is coming into this season as the defending champions, beating out the 2nd place team Inter Milan by 1 point, but this is a very competitive league from year to year as they have had 3 different champions over the last 4 seasons. Now with the league ready to start up again, it is time to see who has the best chance at lifting the Serie A Title this season. 


To Win Outright

Napoli +162: Napoli is coming into this season as the team with the best chance at lifting the trophy according to the oddsmakers. Napoli is coming off of a season where they won the Serie A Title by 1 point over the 2nd place side and that title race went right down to the final match of the season. They had the best defense in the league last season as they only allowed 27 goals in their 38 matches, but their attack only scored 59 goals and was not nearly as strong as the other 2 teams in the top 3. Their defense is likely going to take a step back this season as well since they did lose some key pieces and it will be tough to recreate the kind of defensive season they had last year. They still have lots of quality in their attack and midfield, but they also played all of last season without playing in any European competitions and that was a big reason for their success in the league. Now they are going to have Champions League to worry about this season which will take away focus from the league and they do not have the depth that some of the other major players have in Serie A so winning the title in B2B years feels like a stretch for this squad, especially as the favorite to do so. There is no real value in Napoli to lift the trophy at this price as there are better options to go with. 


Inter Milan +275: Inter Milan is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at lifting the trophy according to the oddsmakers. Inter Milan is coming off of a good season as they finished in 2nd place in the league, losing the title to Napoli by 1 point, and they also finished 2nd place in Champions League as they lost to PSG in the Final. They still came away empty handed last year so it was not a great season by their standard, but that is only going to increase their hunger to win this season and what they did last year was still impressive, performing so well in those 2 competitions. They are going to be under new management this season and they already had a taste with him in the Club World Cup, but they still have all of the quality and depth from last season so it may not click right away, but they will figure things out as the season goes on and they are once again going to be a force in the league. They have also won the Serie A Title twice over the last 5 seasons and they have been a consistent dominant force over the last decade, always giving themselves a chance in the title race. Inter Milan is going to be focused on the league this year after coming so close last year and they have the talent as they only allowed 35 goals in their 38 matches last season while scoring 79 goals. Last season likely refocused this squad and they are going to be motivated to win a trophy with their new manager this year. There is a lot of value in Inter Milan at this price since they still have the best squad in the league. 


Juventus +500: Juventus is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at lifting the trophy according to the oddsmakers. Juventus is coming off of a good season as they finished in 4th place in the league and have been building themselves back up after the turmoil they went through just a few seasons ago. They had one of the better defenses in the league last season as they allowed 35 goals in their 38 matches, but their attack was a big problem with only 58 goals scored. They have made some moves to fix that as they brought in a striker and they still have a lot of quality in their midfield and on defense, but they did lose their goalkeeper which could have a big impact. Juventus is going to continue to improve this season as they look to be a stronger force in Serie A, but Champions League is still going to be a big focus for them and they do not have the quality in their depth to make a deep run in both competitions. Their defense also got exposed in the Club World Cup as they fell flat on their face against the stronger teams they had to face so when push comes to shove in this league, Juventus will drop points in the key matches against other Italian giants. Juventus will continue to improve this season, but there is no real value in them winning the title at this price. 


AC Milan +550: AC Milan is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at lifting the trophy according to the oddsmakers. AC Milan is coming off of a bad season by their standards as they finished in 8th place and were 2 points out of a European spot. Their attack was good with 61 goals in their 38 matches and their defense only allowed 43 goals, but neither was at the elite level they needed to be at to compete with the top 4. They have made some big moves in the transfer window though and they have added to that midfield with a lot more quality and depth, also improving the defense with more quality as well. This is a rare season where AC Milan is not in any European competitions so they are going to have the hunger to perform better in the league and they will be highly focused on the league now with no European competitions to take away from their focus. AC Milan is also one of the champions of Serie A in the last 4 seasons so the players know what it takes to win in this league and they are a big wild card that could come out as one of the more dominant teams. AC Milan is not going to take a step back from where they were last season with the talent they have so there is a lot of upside with AC MIlan to exceed expectations this year. They have the quality to compete with the other Italian giants so there is some good value in AC Milan to win the title at this price. 


Roma +1000: Roma is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at lifting the trophy according to the oddsmakers. Roma is coming off of a good season as they finished in 5th place in the league and earned themselves a Europa League spot. They have been a very consistent team in Serie A over the years as they always seem to find their way into Europa League, but they struggle to make the top 4 every season so winning the title feels very out of reach for them still. They do have some quality in their attack, but they lost some key pieces in the transfer window. Their midfield and their defense lacks a lot of quality as well so they will likely be a competitive team as they usually are, but they do not have the quality to compete with the top teams. They also have Europa League to worry about and they always seem to make a good run in the competition so that is going to take away focus from the league and they will likely end up as another fringe team fighting for the Europa or Conference League spots. There is no real value in Roma to win the title at this price. 


Atalanta +2000: Atalanta is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at lifting the trophy according to the oddsmakers. Atalanta is coming off of a great season as they finished in 3rd place in Serie A and they have been improving a lot over the last 2 seasons, starting to establish themselves as a dominant team in Serie A. They had one of the better defenses as they only allowed 37 goals in their 38 matches and they had one of the best attacks with 78 goals scored as well. They still have a lot of the quality that they had last season so they are going to be a force in Serie A once again, but they are also coming off of a disappointing Champions League campaign so that will likely be a big focus for them this year. They certainly have the quality to compete with some of the bigger clubs in the league, but Champions League is going to take away from that focus on the league and they still lack the depth that some of the other teams have. Atalanta is an interesting dark horse at this price, but there are still better options to go.


Lazio +3300: Lazio is coming into this season as the team with the next best chance at lifting the trophy according to the oddsmakers. Lazio is coming off of a season where they finished in 7th place in the league and they missed out on European competition by goal differential. They scored 61 goals in their 38 matches last season, but they also allowed 49 goals and they will not be able to compete with the bigger clubs like that. They have been a consistent Europa team for the last few years, but making the top 4 has always been a struggle for them, and it is only going to get harder this year. They took a big step back last season and now they have lost a lot of quality and depth that they used to have. They are going to continue to take a step back this year as they have changed up the squad quite a bit and it lacks the quality that a lot of these other teams have around them. Lazio will be lucky to even qualify for European competition this year unless they make some big moves in the transfer window. Lazio has no real value to win the title at this price. 


Recommendation

The Serie A in Italy is always fluctuating with a very competitive top 7, but there are still some clear contenders coming into this season. Inter Milan is still the best option coming into the season as they do have the best squad and have been so dominant in the league over the last few years. AC Milan also has some value though as they did make some big moves to improve the squad and they have no European competitions to participate in so winning the Serie A Title is going to be priority number 1. Inter Milan at +275 is the best option for a Serie A winner followed by AC Milan at +550 as a dark horse. 


All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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