Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/24/2026

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jul 23, 2026
Game Time: 8:05 pm ET, Friday, July 24, 2026
Venue:  Globe Life Field, Arlington, TX
Where to Watch:  MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Rangers +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Rangers +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners -120, Rangers +100; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  51-52 (2nd place, AL West)
Texas Rangers:  51-51 (1st place, AL West)

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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  4-6 last 10
Texas Rangers:  5-5 last 10



Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers Preview and Analysis


The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-52 record overall and have a road record of 21-29. This is the series opener of a 4-game series with the Rangers on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .687 OPS. Emerson Hancock was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 4-4 with a 2.27 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 6 SO on 7 hits through 5.2 IP against the San Francisco Giants.

The Rangers are entering this series off a loss and lost their 3-game series against the Chicago White Sox 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 51-51 record overall and have a home record of 25-24. This is the 1st game of a 4-game series with the Mariners on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 16th in the MLB with a .722 OPS. Tyler Alexander was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while MacKenzie Gore is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-8 with a 4.80 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 walk with 7 strikeouts on 6 hits through 5.2 innings pitched against the Atlanta Braves.


Mariners vs Rangers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mariners haven't looked great in their games this season with their 51-52 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AL West. They haven't been a good road team either with their 21-29 road record this year. Meanwhile, the Rangers haven't looked great in their games this season with their 51-51 record overall, but that record has them right at the top of the AL West. They have looked better in their own ballpark though with their 25-24 home record this season. The Mariners are 4-6 in their last 10 games and they haven't looked great lately, but the Rangers are 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't looked any better, coming off a series loss to the White Sox. Neither offense has been great this season either, but the Mariners do have the better pitching matchup in this one and they can take advantage of that in this really important series. The Mariners are going with Miller in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 4-4 with a 2.27 ERA and he has been their ace this year. The team has lost 2 games in a row now with him starting, but he only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and that has been a common theme for him. The Rangers are going with Gore in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 6-8 with a 4.80 ERA and the team has had a lot of trouble with him this season. They have won 2 games in a row now with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme and he is coming off a terrible start in which he did give up 5 earned runs. The Mariners are going to be desperate to bounce back and get back to the top of the division here, so look for them to take advantage of this better pitching matchup. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Mariners Rangers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, July 24, 2026 (8:05 pm ET start time) is Mariners 2 Rangers 1.
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MLB Betting Trends


Seattle Mariners: 82-47 (+20.3 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 69-56 (+6.7 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 80-63 (+9.5 units) on the moneyline vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better. 28-19 OVER when the total is 7 to 7.5.

Texas Rangers: 210-216 (-21.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 75-116 (-26 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 or higher. 63-70 (-18.4 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 26-19 OVER as an underdog of +100 or higher.

Key Injuries


Seattle Mariners:  J. Crawford (SS) Day To Day - Undisclosed. R. Refsnyder (DH) Ten Day IL - Knee. W. Wilson (3B) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. M. Brash (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. C. Criswell (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Donovan (3B) Ten Day IL - Groin. C. Vargas (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. L. Evans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Arm.

Texas Rangers:  J. Jung (3B) Day To Day - Calf. K. Higashioka (C) Ten Day IL - Flexor Tendon. J. Corniell (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. J. Beeks (RP) Sixty Day IL - Back. C. Martin (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. C. Seager (SS) Ten Day IL - Back. C. Freeman (3B) Ten Day IL - Disc. J. Leiter (SP) Fifteen Day IL - Ankle. M. Helman (CF) Sixty Day IL - Hand. D. Jansen (C) Ten Day IL - Forearm. R. Garcia (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Baumler (RP) Sixty Day IL - Ribs. C. Bradford (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Montgomery (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow.


Notable Quotes


“Tough afternoon today.” - Dan Wilson after his team’s loss against the Reds in their game on Wednesday. 


“I thought we took good at-bats. Just again, the bases loaded, no outs -- that was the difference in the game. It's been a little bit of an issue the whole year, quite honestly, with the bases loaded situations. We gotta figure out how to score in those situations. A crooked number there at least ties or puts us in the lead. A couple guys had some good swings, but obviously just one hit away from really breaking that open, which we couldn't do.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s loss against the White Sox in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Seattle Mariners
Cole Young (L) 2B
Julio Rodríguez (R) DH
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Luke Raley (L) CF
Weston Wilson (R) 3B
Colt Emerson (L) SS

Texas Rangers
Wyatt Langford (R) DH
Justin Foscue (R) 2B
Jake Burger (R) 1B
Brandon Nimmo (L) RF
Ezequiel Duran (R) 3B
Cam Cauley (R) CF
Elias Díaz (R) C
Alejandro Osuna (L) LF
Nicky Lopez (L) SS

Statistical Leaders


Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Randy Arozarena (.281)
Hits:  Josh Naylor (98)
Home Runs:  Dominic Canzone (15)
RBI:  Cole Young (48)
Stolen Bases:  Josh Naylor (21)
Wins:  George Kirby (8)
Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (17)
ERA:  Matt Brash (0.54)

Texas Rangers
Batting Average:  Nicky Lopez (.326)
Hits:  Josh Jung (104)
Home Runs:  Jake Burger (17)
RBI:  Jake Burger (61)
Stolen Bases:  Evan Carter (11)
Wins:  Nathan Eovaldi (9)
Saves:  Jacob Latz (19)
ERA:  Marco Gonzales (0.00)

Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (3rd season)
Texas Rangers: Skip Schumaker (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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