Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/19/2026

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Aug 18, 2026
Game Time: 7:40 pm ET, Wednesday, August 19, 2026
Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Where to Watch:  MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +108, Brewers -131; Over/Under:  7 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +105, Brewers -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +110, Brewers -130; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  59-66 (3rd place, AL West)
Milwaukee Brewers:  77-48 (1st place, NL Central)

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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  3-7 last 10
Milwaukee Brewers:  5-5 last 10



Seattle Mariners vs Milwaukee Brewers Preview and Analysis


The Mariners are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 59-66 record overall and have a road record of 26-37. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 27th in the MLB with a .687 OPS. Bryce Miller is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Logan Gilbert is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 9-7 with a 3.28 ERA this season. His team won 4 of their last 5 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HR, and 1 BB with 7 SO on 4 hits through 6 IP against the New York Yankees.

The Brewers are entering this series off a win and won their 4-game series against the Los Angeles Dodgers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 77-48 record overall and have a home record of 41-22. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 12th in the MLB with a .727 OPS. Kyle Harrison is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Dustin May is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-7 with a 4.13 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 walks with 6 strikeouts on 4 hits through 7 innings pitched against the San Diego Padres.


Mariners vs Brewers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Mariners listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have looked great in their games this season with their 77-48 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL Central with the best record in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 41-22 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mariners haven't looked good in their games this season with their 59-66 record overall which has them right in the middle of the AL West. They haven't been a good road team either with their 26-37 road record this year. The Mariners have looked terrible lately and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games now, but they are coming off a series win over the Astros and they are still in the Wild Card race in the AL. The Brewers are coming off a big series win over the Dodgers, but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and have been cooling off. The Brewers are going with May in this one and he hasn't looked great this season either. He is 6-7 with a 4.13 ERA and he was having a lot of trouble on the Cardinals this year. He has looked better lately, giving up 1 earned run in his last start and the team winning 2 of their last 3 games with him starting, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year. The Mariners haven't had a good offense this season, but lately they have been putting up a ton of runs and they are going to be desperate to get hot and stay in this playoff race. The Mariners are going with Gilbert in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 9-7 with a 3.28 ERA and the team has been having a ton of success with him lately. They have won 4 of their last 5 games with him starting and he is coming off a great start giving up no runs which has been a common theme for him lately. This is a great opportunity for the Mariners to take a game in this series now that they are starting to get hot. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Mariners Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, August 19, 2026 (7:40 pm ET start time) is Mariners 4 Brewers 3.
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MLB Betting Trends


Seattle Mariners: 240-222 (-21.9 units) on the moneyline in all games. 104-127 (-32.7 units) on the moneyline in road games. 45-62 (-8.3 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 6-3 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.

Milwaukee Brewers: 24-15 (+6.8 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 271-191 (+50.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 143-89 (+23.1 units) on the moneyline in home games. 6-3 UNDER against AL West opponents.

Key Injuries


Seattle Mariners:  V. Robles (RF) Day To Day - Shoulder. C. Emerson (SS) Ten Day IL - Wrist. C. Sulser (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Oblique. L. Raley (RF) Ten Day IL - Elbow. J. Crawford (SS) Ten Day IL - Wrist. W. Wilson (3B) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. M. Brash (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. C. Criswell (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. C. Vargas (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. L. Evans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Arm.

Milwaukee Brewers:  B. Turang (2B) Day To Day - Knee. A. Uribe (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. C. Pratt (SS) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. S. Frelick (RF) Ten Day IL - Shoulder. J. Romero (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Appendix. R. Zastryzny (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Woodruff (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. J. Kuhnel (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Shoulder. Q. Priester (SP) Sixty Day IL - Wrist. B. Fitzpatrick (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Zerpa (RP) Sixty Day IL - Forearm.


Notable Quotes


“Great to see the smile coming around the bases there and a huge run.” - Dan Wilson after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Sunday. 


“I didn’t want to lose Logan, I don’t care who it’s for. As long as he stays healthy, he’s going to pitch for a long time.” - Pat Murphy after his team’s win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Sunday. 


Starting Lineups


Seattle Mariners
Brendan Donovan (L) 3B
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Julio Rodríguez (R) CF
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Cole Young (L) 2B
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Weston Wilson (R) DH
Brock Rodden (S) SS

Milwaukee Brewers
William Contreras (R) DH
Luis Lara (S) CF
Jackson Chourio (R) LF
Jake Bauers (L) 1B
Andrew Vaughn (R) 3B
Gary Sánchez (R) C
Brandon Lockridge (R) RF
Joey Ortiz (R) SS
Jonathan Ornelas (R) 2B

Statistical Leaders


Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Brock Rodden (.300)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (120)
Home Runs:  Dominic Canzone (19)
RBI:  Cole Young (56)
Stolen Bases:  Josh Naylor (24)
Wins:  Logan Gilbert (9)
Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (22)
ERA:  Matt Brash (0.54)

Milwaukee Brewers
Batting Average:  Jihwan Bae (.500)
Hits:  Brice Turang (121)
Home Runs:  Jake Bauers (21)
RBI:  Brice Turang (76)
Stolen Bases:  David Hamilton (22)
Wins:  Aaron Ashby (13)
Saves:  Trevor Megill (22)
ERA:  Easton McGee (0.00)

Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (3rd season)
Milwaukee Brewers: Pat Murphy (3rd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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