Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 07/30/2026

by Rod Pearson

Wednesday, Jul 29, 2026
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Thursday, July 30, 2026
Venue:  Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA 
Where to Watch:  MLB TV, MLB Network


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +124, Dodgers -149; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +125, Dodgers -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Mariners +125, Dodgers -150; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Season Record

Seattle Mariners:  53-55 (3rd place, AL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers:  67-40 (1st place, NL West)

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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners:  5-5 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers:  6-4 last 10



Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis


The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Texas Rangers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 53-55 record overall and have a road record of 23-32. This is the series finale of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Thursday with the 2nd game still to be played on Wednesday. The Mariners won the series opener on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .689 OPS. Emerson Hancock is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bryce Miller is making his start in this game on Thursday. He is 4-5 with a 2.75 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 5 ER, 2 HR, and 1 BB with 0 SO on 6 hits through 5.1 IP against the Texas Rangers.

The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 67-40 record overall and have a home record of 31-20. This is the 3rd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Thursday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Wednesday. The Dodgers lost the 1st game of this series on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .773 OPS. Eric Lauer is their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Roki Sasaki is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 4-5 with a 4.71 ERA this season. His team won their last 4 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 2 walks with 9 strikeouts on 3 hits through 7 innings pitched against the New York Mets.


Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction

The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 67-40 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-20 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mariners haven't looked great in their games this season with their 53-55 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AL West. They have been a terrible road team though with their 23-32 road record this year. The Mariners took the 1st game of this series, but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't looked great lately with one of the worst offenses in MLB. The Dodgers have been rolling per usual with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games and they have had one of the best offenses in the league all season. Sasaki is on the mound for the Dodgers in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 4-5 with a 4.71 ERA and has been giving up quite a few runs this year, but lately he has looked a lot better. He is coming off a great start in which he only gave up 1 earned run and the team has been having a ton of success with him lately, winning 4 games in a row now with him starting. The Mariners are going with Miller in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 4-5 with a 2.75 ERA and hasn't been giving up many runs all year, but lately he hasn't looked great and the team has been having more trouble with him now. He is coming off a terrible start in which he gave up 5 earned runs and the team has lost 3 games in a row with him starting too. The Mariners have been slipping down the standings lately as they haven't been at their best so even with a better starter here, the Dodgers are the more reliable team with an offense that can do some serious damage. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mariners to win this game. 

Mariners Dodgers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Thursday, July 30, 2026 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 9 Mariners 5.
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MLB Betting Trends


Seattle Mariners: 21-20 (+9 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +125 to +175. 21-21 (+4.6 units) on the moneyline when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%). 20-18 (+4.7 units) on the moneyline vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season. 24-17 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%).

Los Angeles Dodgers: 27-23 (-12.9 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 282-182 (-16.7 units) on the moneyline in all games. 147-83 (-16.6 units) on the moneyline in home games. 29-20 OVER against AL West opponents.

Key Injuries


Seattle Mariners:  C. Emerson (SS) Day To Day - Undisclosed. W. Wilson (3B) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. M. Brash (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. C. Criswell (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Donovan (3B) Ten Day IL - Groin. C. Vargas (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. L. Evans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Arm.

Los Angeles Dodgers:  W. Smith (C) Sixty Day IL - Neck. B. Treinen (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Casparius (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. E. Diaz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Glasnow (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.


Notable Quotes


“When you're playing a really good team, in a good environment, that focus level kind of gets you where we need to be.” - Cal Raleigh after their win against the LA Dodgers in their game on Tuesday.  


"You can tell that they were looking up and trying to pull the baseball vs. Justin. A lot of balls that were up, a couple of them out of the zone that they were getting to. So clearly their plan was to get on the fastball or get on stuff that was up in the zone, and he didn't change eye levels enough. That's why he gave up a lot of slug." - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Mariners in their game on Tuesday. 


Starting Lineups


Seattle Mariners
Cole Young (L) 2B
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Julio Rodríguez (R) CF
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Cal Raleigh (S) C
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Rob Refsnyder (R) DH
Weston Wilson (R) 3B
J.P. Crawford (L) SS

Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Andy Pages (R) CF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Teoscar Hernández (R) LF
Dalton Rushing (L) C

Statistical Leaders


Seattle Mariners
Batting Average:  Randy Arozarena (.281)
Hits:  Randy Arozarena (103)
Home Runs:  Dominic Canzone (18)
RBI:  Dominic Canzone (49)
Stolen Bases:  Josh Naylor (21)
Wins:  George Kirby (8)
Saves:  Andrés Muñoz (19)
ERA:  Matt Brash (0.54)

Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average:  Enrique Hernández (1.000)
Hits:  Freddie Freeman (118)
Home Runs:  Shohei Ohtani (23)
RBI:  Andy Pages (69)
Stolen Bases:  Andy Pages (10)
Wins:  Justin Wrobleski (11)
Saves:  Tanner Scott (16)
ERA:  Shohei Ohtani (1.79)

Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (3rd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (11th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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