by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Jul 28, 2026
Game Time: 10:10 pm ET, Wednesday, July 29, 2026
Venue: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
Where to Watch: MLB TV
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Mariners +119, Dodgers -144; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Mariners +120, Dodgers -145; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Mariners +120, Dodgers -145; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Seattle Mariners: 52-55 (3rd place, AL West)
Los Angeles Dodgers: 67-39 (1st place, NL West)
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Recent Form
Seattle Mariners: 4-6 last 10
Los Angeles Dodgers: 6-4 last 10
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Dodgers Preview and Analysis
The Mariners are entering this series off a loss and lost their 4-game series against the Texas Rangers 3-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 52-55 record overall and have a road record of 22-32. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Dodgers on Wednesday with the series opener still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .686 OPS. Luis Castillo is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Emerson Hancock is making his start in this game on Wednesday. He is 6-4 with a 3.16 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 3 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Cincinnati Reds.
The Dodgers are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 67-39 record overall and have a home record of 31-19. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Mariners on Wednesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Tuesday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .771 OPS. Justin Wrobleski is their starting pitcher on Tuesday while Eric Lauer is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 5-5 with a 4.83 ERA this season. His team won their last 8 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers, and 1 walk with 5 strikeouts on 4 hits through 5.1 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Mariners vs Dodgers Prediction
The current betting odds have the Dodgers listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Dodgers have looked great in their games this season with their 67-39 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL West. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 31-19 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Mariners haven't looked great in their games this season with their 52-55 record overall, but that record has them right near the top of the AL West. They have been a terrible road team though with their 22-32 road record this year. The Dodgers are 6-4 in their last 10 games and have one of the best offenses in MLB this season while the Mariners are 4-6 in their last 10 games and they haven't looked good lately, fumbling away their division. The Mariners are going with Hancock in this one and he has looked good this season. He is 6-4 with a 3.16 ERA and he hasn't been giving up many runs lately. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too. They do have one of the worst offenses in the league though and that is going to be an issue against one of the best teams in baseball. The Dodgers are going with Lauer in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 5-5 with a 4.83 ERA, but he has looked a lot better lately and the Dodgers have had a ton of success since acquiring him. He did give up 3 earned runs in his last start, but he hasn't been giving up as many runs since joining the Dodgers. The team has also had a ton of success with him lately, winning 8 games in a row now with him on the mound. The Dodgers are going to continue to roll here with one of the best offenses in the league. The best way to place a bet here is on the Dodgers to win this game.
Mariners Dodgers Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Wednesday, July 29, 2026 (10:10 pm ET start time) is Dodgers 4 Mariners 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Seattle Mariners: 69-57 (+5.6 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 20-21 (+2.4 units) on the moneyline when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%). 19-18 (+2.5 units) on the moneyline vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season. 23-17 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%).
Los Angeles Dodgers: 27-22 (-10.5 units) on the moneyline against AL West opponents. 282-181 (-14.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 147-82 (-14.3 units) on the moneyline in home games. 28-20 OVER against AL West opponents.
Key Injuries
Seattle Mariners: R. Refsnyder (DH) Ten Day IL - Knee. W. Wilson (3B) Sixty Day IL - Thumb. M. Brash (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. C. Criswell (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Donovan (3B) Ten Day IL - Groin. C. Vargas (RP) Sixty Day IL - Lat. L. Evans (SP) Sixty Day IL - Arm.
Los Angeles Dodgers: W. Smith (C) Sixty Day IL - Neck. B. Treinen (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Elbow. B. Graterol (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Snell (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. E. Hernandez (1B) Ten Day IL - Oblique. B. Casparius (RP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. E. Diaz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. T. Glasnow (SP) Sixty Day IL - Back. J. Cousins (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. G. Stone (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder. B. Miller (SP) Sixty Day IL - Shoulder.
Notable Quotes
“We had different aspirations coming in here and it didn't turn out that way. And we've got to turn it up.” - Dan Wilson after his team’s loss against the Rangers in their game on Monday.
“[The bullpen] has to start getting ahead in the count. The walks are just way too high. The bullpen usage has been minimal. So they all should be fresh. For what we are trying to do, we have to be better.” - Dave Roberts after his team’s loss against the Mets in their game on Sunday.
Starting Lineups
Seattle Mariners
Cole Young (L) 2B
Julio Rodríguez (R) DH
Dominic Canzone (L) RF
Randy Arozarena (R) LF
Josh Naylor (L) 1B
Luke Raley (L) CF
Mitch Garver (R) C
J.P. Crawford (L) 3B
Colt Emerson (L) SS
Los Angeles Dodgers
Shohei Ohtani (L) DH
Andy Pages (R) CF
Freddie Freeman (L) 1B
Max Muncy (L) 3B
Mookie Betts (R) SS
Tommy Edman (S) 2B
Kyle Tucker (L) RF
Teoscar Hernández (R) LF
Eliezer Alfonzo (S) C
Statistical Leaders
Seattle Mariners
Batting Average: Randy Arozarena (.284)
Hits: Randy Arozarena (103)
Home Runs: Dominic Canzone (16)
RBI: Cole Young (48)
Stolen Bases: Josh Naylor (21)
Wins: George Kirby (8)
Saves: Andrés Muñoz (18)
ERA: Matt Brash (0.54)
Los Angeles Dodgers
Batting Average: Enrique Hernández (1.000)
Hits: Freddie Freeman (117)
Home Runs: Shohei Ohtani (22)
RBI: Andy Pages (69)
Stolen Bases: Andy Pages (10)
Wins: Justin Wrobleski (11)
Saves: Tanner Scott (16)
ERA: Shohei Ohtani (1.79)
Managers:
Seattle Mariners: Dan Wilson (3rd season)
Los Angeles Dodgers: Dave Roberts (11th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
